Supreme Court Complicates Tariff Issues; AI and Private Credit Continue to Keep Markets Uneasy.
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy W?
Source: Barron's
Market Concerns: The market faces significant challenges beyond tariff adjustments, particularly related to AI advancements and private credit issues.
Tariff Break Impact: A temporary relief from tariffs may not be sufficient to alleviate broader market anxieties.
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Analyst Views on W
Wall Street analysts forecast W stock price to rise
26 Analyst Rating
18 Buy
8 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 79.570
Low
75.00
Averages
118.16
High
150.00
Current: 79.570
Low
75.00
Averages
118.16
High
150.00
About W
Wayfair Inc., through its e-commerce platform, offers a selection of furniture, decor, housewares and home improvement products. The Company’s customers span a range of demographics, with annual household incomes ranging from $25,000 to over $250,000, and also include business professionals, from small startups to global enterprises. Its family of brands includes Wayfair, AllModern, Birch Lane, Joss & Main, Perigold and Wayfair Professional. It also features certain products under its house brands, such as Three Posts and Mercury Row. The Company operates through two segments: U.S. and International. The U.S. segment primarily consists of amounts earned through product sales through Wayfair's family of sites in the U.S. The International segment primarily consists of amounts earned through product sales through the Company’s international sites. It operates as Wayfair.ca in Canada, Wayfair.co.uk in the United Kingdom and Wayfair.ie in Ireland.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Beat: Wayfair reported adjusted earnings per share of 85 cents for Q4 2025, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of 66 cents, indicating a strong improvement in profitability and boosting market confidence in future performance.
- Sales Growth: The company achieved quarterly sales of $3.337 billion, reflecting a 6.9% year-over-year increase, exceeding the Street's expectation of $3.301 billion, which demonstrates its ability to maintain robust growth in a competitive market and enhance market share.
- Customer Activity: As of December 31, 2025, active customers totaled 21.3 million, a slight decline of 0.5% year-over-year; however, the company recorded its third consecutive quarter of new customer growth, indicating sustained brand appeal despite the slight drop in overall customer numbers.
- Future Outlook: Wayfair anticipates mid-single-digit year-over-year revenue growth for Q1 2026, with gross margins projected between 30% and 31%, and adjusted EBITDA expected to be 4.5% to 5.5% of net revenue, providing a positive financial outlook for investors.
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Market Concerns: The market faces significant challenges beyond tariff adjustments, particularly related to AI advancements and private credit issues.
Tariff Break Impact: A temporary relief from tariffs may not be sufficient to alleviate broader market anxieties.
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- Market Rally: The Supreme Court's 6-3 ruling against Trump's global tariffs led to a surge in e-commerce stocks, with Amazon rising over 1%, Etsy climbing 5%, and Shopify, Wayfair, and eBay all gaining more than 3%, reflecting renewed investor confidence in the sector.
- Tariff Impact: Trump's tariffs had previously forced e-commerce companies to raise prices, alter supply chains, and even lay off staff; however, this ruling provides legal clarity that may enable these businesses to recover billions in tariff costs.
- Consumer Sentiment: Despite the positive ruling, economic uncertainty persists, as Etsy's annual report highlighted pressures from reduced discretionary spending and evolving buyer behavior, leading to cautious forecasts for first-quarter gross merchandise sales.
- Industry Response: The National Retail Federation stated that the ruling offers
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- Tariff Ruling Impact: The Supreme Court's 6-3 ruling invalidates Trump's tariff policies, stating he lacked authority under the International Economic Powers Act, resulting in Amazon's stock rising over 1% and Etsy climbing 5%.
- E-Commerce Market Rebound: Following the ruling, shares of Shopify, Wayfair, and eBay surged over 3%, while Pinduoduo's parent company also saw a 3% increase, indicating renewed market confidence in the e-commerce sector.
- Small Business Pressure: Trump's tariffs had severely disrupted e-commerce platforms, forcing many small businesses to raise prices or lay off staff; Etsy's annual report highlighted a pullback in consumer spending, leading to pessimistic sales forecasts.
- Industry Outlook Uncertainty: Despite the ruling providing some market confidence, both Etsy and Amazon express concerns over future tariff policy changes, particularly regarding their impact on consumer demand and discretionary spending, leaving the industry facing significant uncertainty.
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- Retailer Rally: Following the Supreme Court's tariff ruling, Amazon shares rose over 2% and Shopify climbed 4%, indicating retailers' resilience under tariff pressures, which could boost market confidence and consumer spending.
- Opendoor Beats Estimates: Opendoor reported fourth-quarter revenue of $736 million, exceeding the LSEG estimate of $549 million, although it anticipates a first-quarter adjusted EBITDA loss in the range of $30 million to $32 million; management aims for positive adjusted net income by the end of 2026, showcasing long-term growth potential.
- Comfort Systems Strong Performance: Comfort Systems reported a fourth-quarter EPS of $9.37, surpassing the FactSet estimate of $6.75, with revenue of $2.65 billion exceeding the $2.34 billion forecast, highlighting the company's robust performance in the HVAC and electrical services sector.
- Chemours Shares Plunge: Chemours' fourth-quarter EPS was only 5 cents, below the FactSet estimate of 7 cents, with revenue of $1.33 billion matching market expectations, reflecting challenges in the industrial and specialty chemicals sector, leading to an 18% drop in share price.
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- Pharmaceutical Leadership: Barclays upgraded Eli Lilly to overweight, asserting that its GLP-1 drugs signify a durable structural shift in obesity treatment, positioning the company for sustained long-term growth as a market leader.
- E-commerce Valuation Boost: Barclays raised Etsy's rating from equal weight to overweight, anticipating that as topline growth improves, EBITDA valuations will expand, setting a price target of $72, reflecting optimism about future performance.
- Tech Stock Buying Opportunity: Citigroup reiterated Microsoft as a buy, highlighting that the stock is at a decade low valuation and trading at a discount to the S&P 500 on forward P/E, suggesting investors should seize the buying opportunity.
- Aerospace Service Growth: Morgan Stanley upgraded GE Aerospace to overweight with a price target of $425, citing the company's advantages in durable service growth, pricing power, and a strong balance sheet, with future free cash flow likely underestimated.
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