SpaceX Covers 400 Million with First-Gen Service, Plans Second-Gen Launch in 2027
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 22 2026
0mins
Should l Buy ASTS?
Source: stocktwits
- Broad User Coverage: According to an FCC report, SpaceX's first-generation service covers over 400 million people, with more than 6 million customers accessing it monthly, demonstrating its strong market appeal and user base.
- Intensifying Competition: The FCC noted that AST SpaceMobile plans to deploy 45 to 60 satellites and initiate commercial direct-to-device services in 2026, indicating that market competition is accelerating and SpaceX needs to strengthen its market position.
- Technology Upgrade Plans: SpaceX aims to launch its second-generation Starlink system in 2027, which is expected to significantly enhance its direct-to-device service capabilities, thereby strengthening its competitive edge against traditional providers like Verizon and AT&T.
- Market Sentiment Shifts: While retail sentiment on SpaceX remains in the 'bearish' territory, AST SpaceMobile's sentiment stays 'bullish', highlighting significant differences in investor expectations across different companies.
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Analyst Views on ASTS
Wall Street analysts forecast ASTS stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 84.430
Low
43.00
Averages
91.68
High
137.00
Current: 84.430
Low
43.00
Averages
91.68
High
137.00
About ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. is engaged in building a global cellular broadband network in space to operate directly with standard, unmodified mobile devices based on its intellectual property (IP) and patent portfolio and designed for both commercial and government applications. The Company is engaged in designing and developing the constellation of BlueBird (BB) satellites and has planned space-based Cellular Broadband network distributed through a constellation of low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites. Its SpaceMobile Service is being designed to provide high-speed cellular broadband services to end-users who are out of terrestrial cellular coverage using existing mobile devices. The Company intends to continue testing capabilities of the BW3 test satellite, including further testing with cellular service providers and the government. The Company has operations in India, Scotland, Spain, and Israel.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
AST SpaceMobile to Hold Quarterly Business Update Call
- Quarterly Update Call: AST SpaceMobile will hold a quarterly business update call on March 2 at 5 PM ET, aimed at addressing questions from retail and institutional shareholders regarding the company's business and financial results, thereby enhancing investor engagement.
- Investor Question Submission: The company encourages investors to submit questions via email, ensuring that key topics of interest are covered during the call, which enhances transparency and fosters communication between the company and its shareholders.
- Global Network Development: AST SpaceMobile is building the first global broadband network in space that connects directly with standard mobile devices, aiming to provide 4G and 5G services to nearly 6 billion mobile subscribers, showcasing its extensive potential in both commercial and government applications.
- Forward-Looking Statement Risks: The company cautions investors about the risks and uncertainties associated with forward-looking statements, including market demand, regulatory approvals, and competitive pressures, which could lead to significant differences between actual results and expectations.
See More
AST SpaceMobile to Hold Quarterly Business Update Call
- Quarterly Call Announcement: AST SpaceMobile will hold a quarterly business update conference call on March 2 at 5:00 PM ET, aimed at providing retail and institutional shareholders with the latest business and financial results, enhancing investor communication.
- Investor Question Opportunity: The company encourages investors to submit questions via email, with management answering select inquiries during the call, which not only increases transparency but may also enhance investor trust and engagement.
- Live Webcast Access: The call will be accessible via a live webcast on AST SpaceMobile's Investor Relations website, ensuring timely information dissemination and availability of an archive for later viewing, further improving information accessibility.
- Global Network Vision: AST SpaceMobile is building the first global broadband network in space that connects directly with standard mobile devices, aiming to provide 4G and 5G services to nearly 6 billion mobile subscribers, showcasing the company's strategic potential in commercial and government applications.
See More
Retail Investor Sentiment on Palantir and AST SpaceMobile
- Palantir Price Warning: RBC Capital Markets analyst Rishi Jaluria predicts a 62% drop in Palantir's stock price, targeting $50 per share, reflecting concerns over its high valuation despite a $300 billion market cap increase since early 2023.
- Foundry Challenges: Jaluria expresses skepticism about Palantir's Foundry segment, suggesting that the customization required for new clients will hinder scalability, potentially impacting the company's long-term growth prospects.
- AST SpaceMobile's Grim Outlook: UBS analyst Christopher Schoell sets a price target of $43 for AST SpaceMobile, implying a 48% downside, primarily due to increased competitive pressure from SpaceX's acquisition of EchoStar's S-Band spectrum.
- Significant Production Risks: AST SpaceMobile's rapid growth hinges on timely and efficient satellite launches, with any production issues or inflationary pressures posing a substantial risk to its stock price, highlighting the uncertainties in the industry.
See More
Nio and AST SpaceMobile Growth Prospects Analysis
- Nio's Sales Surge: Nio's deliveries reached 221,970 vehicles in 2024, a 39% increase, with expectations to rise 58% to 351,221 vehicles in 2025, indicating strong growth potential in the EV market, particularly driven by its premium ET-series sedans and Onvo SUVs.
- Market Expansion Strategy: Nio is actively expanding into the European market to reduce reliance on the saturated Chinese EV market, a strategy that not only enhances its international market share but also may alleviate macro pressures from ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions.
- AST Satellite Network Development: AST SpaceMobile plans to deploy 45-60 LEO satellites by the end of 2026, with revenue projected to surge from $4 million to $699 million by 2027, showcasing significant growth potential in the satellite communications market.
- Government Contract Opportunities: AST's selection as a prime contractor for the U.S. Missile Defense Agency's SHIELD program not only diversifies its business model but also may provide stable government contract revenue, further enhancing its profitability prospects.
See More
Analysis of Investment Opportunities in High-Growth Stocks
- Nio's Growth Potential: Nio is projected to deliver 221,970 vehicles in 2024, a 39% increase from 2023, and expects a further 58% growth to 351,221 vehicles in 2025, showcasing strong growth potential in the EV market despite macro pressures in China.
- Profit Expectations: Nio anticipates achieving its first profit in Q4 2025, a pivotal moment that could attract more investor attention and elevate its stock price, especially given its current valuation of less than 1 times this year's sales.
- AST SpaceMobile's Market Expansion: AST plans to deploy 45-60 satellites in orbit by the end of 2026 and aims to expand to 243 satellites in the coming years, with revenue expected to surge from $4 million in 2024 to $699 million by 2027, indicating significant potential in the low-earth orbit satellite market.
- Government Contract Opportunities: AST's selection as a prime contractor for the U.S. Missile Defense Agency's SHIELD program suggests diversification beyond telecom contracts, enhancing its competitive position in the market.
See More
Ten Large-Cap Stocks with Worst Performance Last Week
- Astera Labs: Astera Labs (NASDAQ:ALAB) saw a significant decline of 23.74% this week after reporting fourth-quarter financial results that fell short of market expectations, raising investor concerns about its future profitability.
- Medpace Holdings: Medpace Holdings (NASDAQ:MEDP) experienced a slump of 20.69% this week, driven by disappointing fourth-quarter results and multiple analyst firms lowering their price targets, which intensified negative sentiment around the stock.
- Zillow Group: Zillow Group (NASDAQ:Z) decreased by 20.89% this week due to mixed fourth-quarter financial results that failed to boost investor confidence, leading to downward pressure on its stock price.
- AST SpaceMobile: AST SpaceMobile (NASDAQ:ASTS) fell 17.9% this week after announcing a $1 billion convertible senior notes offering, which was met with negative market reactions due to concerns over the implications of its financing plans.
See More
AST SpaceMobile to Hold Quarterly Business Update Call
- Quarterly Update Call: AST SpaceMobile will hold a quarterly business update call on March 2 at 5 PM ET, aimed at addressing questions from retail and institutional shareholders regarding the company's business and financial results, thereby enhancing investor engagement.
- Investor Question Submission: The company encourages investors to submit questions via email, ensuring that key topics of interest are covered during the call, which enhances transparency and fosters communication between the company and its shareholders.
- Global Network Development: AST SpaceMobile is building the first global broadband network in space that connects directly with standard mobile devices, aiming to provide 4G and 5G services to nearly 6 billion mobile subscribers, showcasing its extensive potential in both commercial and government applications.
- Forward-Looking Statement Risks: The company cautions investors about the risks and uncertainties associated with forward-looking statements, including market demand, regulatory approvals, and competitive pressures, which could lead to significant differences between actual results and expectations.
See More
AST SpaceMobile to Hold Quarterly Business Update Call
- Quarterly Call Announcement: AST SpaceMobile will hold a quarterly business update conference call on March 2 at 5:00 PM ET, aimed at providing retail and institutional shareholders with the latest business and financial results, enhancing investor communication.
- Investor Question Opportunity: The company encourages investors to submit questions via email, with management answering select inquiries during the call, which not only increases transparency but may also enhance investor trust and engagement.
- Live Webcast Access: The call will be accessible via a live webcast on AST SpaceMobile's Investor Relations website, ensuring timely information dissemination and availability of an archive for later viewing, further improving information accessibility.
- Global Network Vision: AST SpaceMobile is building the first global broadband network in space that connects directly with standard mobile devices, aiming to provide 4G and 5G services to nearly 6 billion mobile subscribers, showcasing the company's strategic potential in commercial and government applications.
See More
Retail Investor Sentiment on Palantir and AST SpaceMobile
- Palantir Price Warning: RBC Capital Markets analyst Rishi Jaluria predicts a 62% drop in Palantir's stock price, targeting $50 per share, reflecting concerns over its high valuation despite a $300 billion market cap increase since early 2023.
- Foundry Challenges: Jaluria expresses skepticism about Palantir's Foundry segment, suggesting that the customization required for new clients will hinder scalability, potentially impacting the company's long-term growth prospects.
- AST SpaceMobile's Grim Outlook: UBS analyst Christopher Schoell sets a price target of $43 for AST SpaceMobile, implying a 48% downside, primarily due to increased competitive pressure from SpaceX's acquisition of EchoStar's S-Band spectrum.
- Significant Production Risks: AST SpaceMobile's rapid growth hinges on timely and efficient satellite launches, with any production issues or inflationary pressures posing a substantial risk to its stock price, highlighting the uncertainties in the industry.
See More
Nio and AST SpaceMobile Growth Prospects Analysis
- Nio's Sales Surge: Nio's deliveries reached 221,970 vehicles in 2024, a 39% increase, with expectations to rise 58% to 351,221 vehicles in 2025, indicating strong growth potential in the EV market, particularly driven by its premium ET-series sedans and Onvo SUVs.
- Market Expansion Strategy: Nio is actively expanding into the European market to reduce reliance on the saturated Chinese EV market, a strategy that not only enhances its international market share but also may alleviate macro pressures from ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions.
- AST Satellite Network Development: AST SpaceMobile plans to deploy 45-60 LEO satellites by the end of 2026, with revenue projected to surge from $4 million to $699 million by 2027, showcasing significant growth potential in the satellite communications market.
- Government Contract Opportunities: AST's selection as a prime contractor for the U.S. Missile Defense Agency's SHIELD program not only diversifies its business model but also may provide stable government contract revenue, further enhancing its profitability prospects.
See More
Analysis of Investment Opportunities in High-Growth Stocks
- Nio's Growth Potential: Nio is projected to deliver 221,970 vehicles in 2024, a 39% increase from 2023, and expects a further 58% growth to 351,221 vehicles in 2025, showcasing strong growth potential in the EV market despite macro pressures in China.
- Profit Expectations: Nio anticipates achieving its first profit in Q4 2025, a pivotal moment that could attract more investor attention and elevate its stock price, especially given its current valuation of less than 1 times this year's sales.
- AST SpaceMobile's Market Expansion: AST plans to deploy 45-60 satellites in orbit by the end of 2026 and aims to expand to 243 satellites in the coming years, with revenue expected to surge from $4 million in 2024 to $699 million by 2027, indicating significant potential in the low-earth orbit satellite market.
- Government Contract Opportunities: AST's selection as a prime contractor for the U.S. Missile Defense Agency's SHIELD program suggests diversification beyond telecom contracts, enhancing its competitive position in the market.
See More
Ten Large-Cap Stocks with Worst Performance Last Week
- Astera Labs: Astera Labs (NASDAQ:ALAB) saw a significant decline of 23.74% this week after reporting fourth-quarter financial results that fell short of market expectations, raising investor concerns about its future profitability.
- Medpace Holdings: Medpace Holdings (NASDAQ:MEDP) experienced a slump of 20.69% this week, driven by disappointing fourth-quarter results and multiple analyst firms lowering their price targets, which intensified negative sentiment around the stock.
- Zillow Group: Zillow Group (NASDAQ:Z) decreased by 20.89% this week due to mixed fourth-quarter financial results that failed to boost investor confidence, leading to downward pressure on its stock price.
- AST SpaceMobile: AST SpaceMobile (NASDAQ:ASTS) fell 17.9% this week after announcing a $1 billion convertible senior notes offering, which was met with negative market reactions due to concerns over the implications of its financing plans.
See More
