Software Stocks Decline, Nvidia CEO Rebuts Market Reaction
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 7 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy MSFT?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Illogical Market Reaction: Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang argues that the market's reaction to AI is irrational, stating that many software companies are under pressure due to the belief that AI will replace them, which he describes as 'the most illogical thing in the world.'
- Microsoft's Cloud Market Share Growth: Microsoft increased its share of cloud infrastructure and platform services spending from 20% in September to 21% in December, indicating ongoing growth in its cloud computing market share driven by enhanced compute capacity and demand for Foundry AI services.
- Strong Financial Performance for Datadog: Datadog reported a 29% revenue increase to $953 million in Q4, with remaining performance obligations rising 52% to $3.4 billion, suggesting robust future revenue growth potential, although non-GAAP net income grew only 20% due to heavy R&D spending.
- AI Boosting Demand for Observability Software: Datadog was ranked as a leader in AI for IT operations by Forrester Research, and as cloud adoption and AI proliferate, its market share in core observability is expected to continue growing, making it a top priority for many IT departments.
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Analyst Views on MSFT
Wall Street analysts forecast MSFT stock price to rise
34 Analyst Rating
32 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 409.410
Low
500.00
Averages
631.36
High
678.00
Current: 409.410
Low
500.00
Averages
631.36
High
678.00
About MSFT
Microsoft Corporation is a technology company that develops and supports software, services, devices, and solutions. Its Productivity and Business Processes segment consists of products and services in its portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services, spanning a variety of devices and platforms. It comprises Microsoft 365 Commercial products and cloud services; Microsoft 365 Consumer products and cloud services; LinkedIn, and Dynamics products and cloud services. The Intelligent Cloud segment consists of its public, private, and hybrid server products and cloud services. It comprises server products and cloud services, including Azure, and enterprise and partner services, including Enterprise Support Services. Its More Personal Computing segment primarily comprises Windows and Devices, including Windows OEM licensing; Gaming, including Xbox hardware and Xbox content; Search and news advertising, comprising Bing and Copilot, Microsoft News, and Microsoft Edge.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Price Increase: Microsoft is raising the monthly fee for its enterprise Microsoft 365 E7 to $99, a 65% increase from the $60 E5 subscription, aiming to attract more enterprise users to its Copilot AI add-on, thereby boosting overall revenue.
- New Product Bundle: The E7 suite includes $30 for Copilot, $12 for Entra identity tools, and $15 for Agent 365, providing a comprehensive AI management solution that enhances companies' competitiveness in digital transformation.
- Increased Market Adoption: Microsoft’s commercial CEO Judson Althoff stated that the launch of E7 is expected to drive broader adoption of Copilot, which has yet to become common among commercial productivity users, indicating a growing demand for AI tools in the market.
- Competitive Pressure: This pricing and product update comes amid investor concerns about AI models from Anthropic potentially threatening established software companies, with Microsoft’s strategic adjustments aimed at solidifying its market position and addressing competitive challenges.
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- Acquisition Announcement: OpenAI has revealed plans to acquire Promptfoo, a startup focused on helping enterprises identify and rectify vulnerabilities in AI systems, indicating a strategic move into the AI security sector.
- Market Impact: Promptfoo's open-source tools have been downloaded by over 125,000 developers and are currently utilized by more than 25% of Fortune 500 companies, highlighting the widespread acceptance and significance of its products in the market.
- Technology Integration: OpenAI plans to integrate several of Promptfoo's tools into its Frontier platform, enhancing the security and reliability of AI applications, thereby improving safety testing and oversight capabilities during AI development workflows.
- Founders' Background: Promptfoo's founders, Ian Webster and Michael D'Angelo, bring extensive industry experience, with Webster previously leading large language model engineering teams at Discord and D'Angelo serving as the former VP of engineering at Smile Identity, showcasing their technical expertise and industry insights.
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- Tech Stocks Underperform: This year, tech stocks have struggled, with Microsoft experiencing a more than 15% decline, reflecting investor concerns over high valuations and excessive AI spending, prompting a shift towards safer investments.
- Utilities ETF Outperforms: The Vanguard Utilities Index ETF has risen 9% year-to-date, showcasing its appeal as a stable investment option amidst the downturn in tech stocks, particularly in an environment of increasing market uncertainty.
- Stable Returns and Low Fees: The ETF offers an attractive dividend yield of approximately 2.5%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's average of 1.2%, while maintaining a low expense ratio of just 0.09%, ensuring that fees do not erode investor returns.
- Low Volatility Investment Choice: With an average beta of 0.73 over the past five years, this ETF indicates lower volatility compared to the overall market, making it an ideal choice for investors looking to mitigate risk in the current market landscape.
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- Tech Stock Decline: Tech stocks are underperforming this year, with Microsoft down over 15%, reflecting investor concerns about high valuations and excessive spending on AI, leading to diminished confidence in the sector.
- Utilities ETF Outperformance: The Vanguard Utilities ETF has risen 9% this year, attracting risk-averse investors and demonstrating that utility stocks are favored for their stability and reliability in uncertain market conditions.
- High Dividend Appeal: With a dividend yield of approximately 2.5%, more than double the S&P 500 average, the Vanguard Utilities ETF offers a steady cash flow, enhancing its attractiveness as an investment option.
- Low Expense Ratio Advantage: The ETF charges a low expense ratio of just 0.09%, ensuring that investor returns are not significantly impacted by high fees, and its lower volatility (beta of 0.73) makes it an ideal choice for long-term holding.
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- AI Model Expansion: Google announced the introduction of the Agent Designer tool on the Defense Department's GenAI.mil platform, enabling over 3 million military and civilian personnel to create custom AI assistants, which is expected to significantly enhance administrative task efficiency.
- No-Code Tool Application: The new tool will assist users in automating tasks such as drafting meeting notes, creating action items, and breaking down large projects into step-by-step plans, initially operating on unclassified networks with potential future expansion to classified environments, thereby enhancing the Department's operational capabilities.
- Strengthened Partnership: The DOD's technology chief expressed high confidence in Google's collaboration across all networks, indicating an increasing influence of Google in military applications while reflecting a shift in the DOD's partnerships with other AI providers.
- Industry Tensions: Amid rising tensions in the tech industry regarding military AI usage, Google's AI chief and other employees have backed Anthropic's legal action against the Pentagon, highlighting growing internal concerns and dissent regarding military collaborations.
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- Grid Efficiency Initiative: The coalition plans to collaborate with state lawmakers and regulators, leveraging research from The Brattle Group that indicates system improvements could save consumers up to $180 billion, significantly enhancing grid efficiency and reducing electricity costs.
- Hyperscaler Investment Surge: Morgan Stanley estimates that hyperscalers will spend over $1 trillion in 2025-2026, with power availability now being the single biggest constraint on expansion, which could hinder industry growth.
- Tesla's Market Opportunity: As more states adopt grid utilization policies, Tesla's energy storage division stands to benefit significantly, with its Powerwall and Megapack systems allowing homes and utilities to store and discharge excess energy during peak demand, enhancing commercial viability.
- Policy-Driven Progress: Utilize has successfully pushed through a first-in-the-nation bill in Virginia requiring utilities to report their grid usage, demonstrating the potential for policy to drive improvements in grid efficiency, and awaiting the governor's signature could further reform the electricity market.
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