SoFi Stock Predicted to Double Within One Year
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5 days ago
0mins
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Significant Revenue Growth: In Q1 2026, SoFi achieved a 41% year-over-year revenue increase, a 35% rise in membership to 14.7 million, and a record loan origination volume of $12.2 billion, showcasing strong performance in its lending business despite a 50% drop in stock price.
- Market Environment Challenges: With inflation reaching a three-year high, the potential for rising interest rates has led management to maintain guidance despite beating expectations, suggesting a possible slowdown that has heightened market concerns about the stock's future performance.
- Shareholder Dilution Risk: Earlier this year, SoFi raised $1.5 billion by selling shares at around $27 each, despite being well-capitalized, which has been perceived as dilutive to shareholders and has further impacted market confidence in its stock.
- Potential Catalysts: The launch of SoFi's stablecoin and the new SoFi Plus membership service, along with an increase in cross-buy rates from 36% to 43%, indicate deepening customer relationships and future growth potential, which could support a rebound in stock price.
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Analyst Views on SOFI
Wall Street analysts forecast SOFI stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
6 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 17.420
Low
18.00
Averages
28.31
High
38.00
Current: 17.420
Low
18.00
Averages
28.31
High
38.00
About SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc. is a member-centric, one-stop shop for digital financial services. The Company, through its lending and financial services products, allows members to borrow, save, spend, invest and protect their money. The Company's segments include Lending, Technology Platform and Financial Services. The Lending segment offers personal loans, student loans, home loans and related servicing to help its members with a variety of financial needs. Its platform supports the full transaction lifecycle, including credit application, underwriting, approval, funding and servicing. The Technology Platform segment provides services through a diversified suite of offerings which include an event and authorization platform accessed via application programming interfaces, a cloud-native digital and core banking platform and services related to both platforms. The Financial Services segment offers a suite of financial services solutions, including SoFi Money and SoFi Invest.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
SoFi's Customer Surge Contrasts with Stock Decline Amid Market Pressures
- Customer Growth: As of March 31, SoFi's customer base reached 14.7 million, nearly tripling from the end of 2022, which has significantly supported the company's revenue growth.
- Stock Price Pressure: As of June 15, SoFi's stock has declined by 35% this year and is down 47% from its record high in November 2025, indicating market concerns about its future prospects.
- Market Reaction: Following a short report in March that questioned SoFi's accounting practices, the first-quarter results reported on April 29 were poorly received by investors, leading to further declines in stock price.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Despite challenges, management expects adjusted revenue and earnings per share to grow by 30% and 54% year-over-year in 2026, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term growth potential.
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- Record IPO Financing: SpaceX's IPO raised up to $85 billion, achieving a valuation of $1.8 trillion at the open, which quickly increased to $2.5 trillion, reflecting strong market confidence in its future growth potential.
- Retail Investor Engagement: On its first trading day, retail investors purchased $18 million worth of SpaceX stock within the first 20 minutes, totaling $118 million by the end of the day, indicating robust enthusiasm and demand from the retail market for this IPO.
- SoFi's Strategic Advantage: As one of the five brokerages for the SpaceX IPO, SoFi offered relatively unconditional access to shares, attracting a significant influx of new customers, with 1.1 million added in the first quarter, showcasing its competitive position in the market.
- Cross-Selling Potential: SoFi's cross-selling rate accelerated to 43% in Q1, and by offering a high-profile IPO, it could enhance engagement with new customers on its platform, driving long-term business growth and product adoption.
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- NioCorp Outlook: Jim Cramer views NioCorp as too speculative, favoring MP Materials, which has government backing, indicating stronger market confidence and stability.
- SoFi Investment Opportunity: Cramer highlights that SoFi's stock price around $18 is a buying opportunity, suggesting optimism about its future performance, which may attract more investor interest.
- Rivian Financial Concerns: Cramer expresses concerns over Rivian's financial performance, noting excessive losses and advising caution for investors, which could lead to further declines in stock price.
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- Price Decline: SpaceX's stock has experienced a 20% pullback post-IPO, with a 6% drop on Thursday bringing shares down to $180, indicating a rapid shift in investor sentiment that has significantly eroded retail investors' gains.
- Volume Analysis: The five-day volume-weighted average price (VWAP) for SpaceX stands at $179, suggesting that the average post-IPO buyer is now nearly breaking even, reflecting a reassessment of the stock's value in the market.
- Market Value Fluctuation: After briefly pushing SpaceX's market capitalization close to $3 trillion on its debut, the sharp decline in stock price has led investors to question whether the rapid increase can be justified by underlying fundamentals, impacting overall market confidence.
- Retail Investor Impact: Although many retail investors accessed the IPO through platforms like Robinhood, Fidelity, and SoFi, the limited allocation of shares means that many are now facing reduced profits, highlighting the uncertainty in the current market environment.
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Comparative Analysis of PayPal and SoFi
- Market Challenges for PayPal: PayPal's stock has fallen 32% over the past three years, and despite having 439 million active accounts, it faces fierce competition from companies like Apple and Alphabet, leading to declining margins and ineffective user engagement.
- User Growth of SoFi: SoFi's user base has surged from 5.22 million in 2022 to 14.70 million today, nearly tripling, while PayPal only added 3 million active accounts in the past year, translating to a mere 0.6% growth, highlighting SoFi's advantage in attracting younger consumers.
- Profitability Comparison: SoFi trades at nearly 30 times earnings, with an expected annual growth rate of 31% over the next three to five years, compared to PayPal's less than 8 times earnings and a growth rate of only 7% to 8%, indicating SoFi may be more attractive for long-term investors.
- Investment Risk Assessment: While SoFi's business model carries higher risks, including potential loan defaults and interest rate fluctuations, its superior market execution compared to PayPal positions it as a more appealing investment choice in the current competitive landscape.
See More
PayPal's Stagnant Growth vs. SoFi's Rise
- User Growth Comparison: PayPal boasts approximately 439 million active accounts, adding 3 million in the past year, translating to a mere 0.6% growth, indicating stagnation; in contrast, SoFi's user base surged from 5.22 million in 2022 to 14.7 million today, nearly tripling and showcasing strong market appeal.
- Changing Competitive Landscape: With giants like Apple and Alphabet entering the digital wallet space, PayPal faces fierce competition that has led to declining margins, particularly as its white-label payment business has not compensated for the profitability drop in its branded checkout segment, impacting overall financial health.
- Leadership Changes Impact: PayPal hired Intuit's CEO Alex Chriss in 2023 to rejuvenate its branded checkout business but fired him earlier this year; new CEO Enrique Lores will leverage his experience at HP to tackle market challenges, and this frequent leadership turnover may affect the coherence of the company's strategy.
- Investment Risks and Opportunities: While SoFi's valuation approaches 30 times 2026 earnings estimates, posing significant investment risks, its projected average earnings growth of 31% far exceeds PayPal's 7% to 8%, suggesting that SoFi may emerge as a more attractive long-term investment despite inherent loan risks in its business model.
See More
SoFi's Customer Surge Contrasts with Stock Decline Amid Market Pressures
- Customer Growth: As of March 31, SoFi's customer base reached 14.7 million, nearly tripling from the end of 2022, which has significantly supported the company's revenue growth.
- Stock Price Pressure: As of June 15, SoFi's stock has declined by 35% this year and is down 47% from its record high in November 2025, indicating market concerns about its future prospects.
- Market Reaction: Following a short report in March that questioned SoFi's accounting practices, the first-quarter results reported on April 29 were poorly received by investors, leading to further declines in stock price.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Despite challenges, management expects adjusted revenue and earnings per share to grow by 30% and 54% year-over-year in 2026, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term growth potential.
See More
SpaceX IPO Breaks Records with SoFi's Retail Investor Support
- Record IPO Financing: SpaceX's IPO raised up to $85 billion, achieving a valuation of $1.8 trillion at the open, which quickly increased to $2.5 trillion, reflecting strong market confidence in its future growth potential.
- Retail Investor Engagement: On its first trading day, retail investors purchased $18 million worth of SpaceX stock within the first 20 minutes, totaling $118 million by the end of the day, indicating robust enthusiasm and demand from the retail market for this IPO.
- SoFi's Strategic Advantage: As one of the five brokerages for the SpaceX IPO, SoFi offered relatively unconditional access to shares, attracting a significant influx of new customers, with 1.1 million added in the first quarter, showcasing its competitive position in the market.
- Cross-Selling Potential: SoFi's cross-selling rate accelerated to 43% in Q1, and by offering a high-profile IPO, it could enhance engagement with new customers on its platform, driving long-term business growth and product adoption.
See More
Jim Cramer's Insights on Various Stocks
- NioCorp Outlook: Jim Cramer views NioCorp as too speculative, favoring MP Materials, which has government backing, indicating stronger market confidence and stability.
- SoFi Investment Opportunity: Cramer highlights that SoFi's stock price around $18 is a buying opportunity, suggesting optimism about its future performance, which may attract more investor interest.
- Rivian Financial Concerns: Cramer expresses concerns over Rivian's financial performance, noting excessive losses and advising caution for investors, which could lead to further declines in stock price.
- SoundHound AI Risks: Cramer gives a very negative assessment of SoundHound AI, labeling it a “meme stock” and recommending selling, reflecting high uncertainty in the market regarding such stocks.
See More
SpaceX Shares Plummet Post-IPO Amid Investor Reassessment
- Price Decline: SpaceX's stock has experienced a 20% pullback post-IPO, with a 6% drop on Thursday bringing shares down to $180, indicating a rapid shift in investor sentiment that has significantly eroded retail investors' gains.
- Volume Analysis: The five-day volume-weighted average price (VWAP) for SpaceX stands at $179, suggesting that the average post-IPO buyer is now nearly breaking even, reflecting a reassessment of the stock's value in the market.
- Market Value Fluctuation: After briefly pushing SpaceX's market capitalization close to $3 trillion on its debut, the sharp decline in stock price has led investors to question whether the rapid increase can be justified by underlying fundamentals, impacting overall market confidence.
- Retail Investor Impact: Although many retail investors accessed the IPO through platforms like Robinhood, Fidelity, and SoFi, the limited allocation of shares means that many are now facing reduced profits, highlighting the uncertainty in the current market environment.
See More
Comparative Analysis of PayPal and SoFi
- Market Challenges for PayPal: PayPal's stock has fallen 32% over the past three years, and despite having 439 million active accounts, it faces fierce competition from companies like Apple and Alphabet, leading to declining margins and ineffective user engagement.
- User Growth of SoFi: SoFi's user base has surged from 5.22 million in 2022 to 14.70 million today, nearly tripling, while PayPal only added 3 million active accounts in the past year, translating to a mere 0.6% growth, highlighting SoFi's advantage in attracting younger consumers.
- Profitability Comparison: SoFi trades at nearly 30 times earnings, with an expected annual growth rate of 31% over the next three to five years, compared to PayPal's less than 8 times earnings and a growth rate of only 7% to 8%, indicating SoFi may be more attractive for long-term investors.
- Investment Risk Assessment: While SoFi's business model carries higher risks, including potential loan defaults and interest rate fluctuations, its superior market execution compared to PayPal positions it as a more appealing investment choice in the current competitive landscape.
See More
PayPal's Stagnant Growth vs. SoFi's Rise
- User Growth Comparison: PayPal boasts approximately 439 million active accounts, adding 3 million in the past year, translating to a mere 0.6% growth, indicating stagnation; in contrast, SoFi's user base surged from 5.22 million in 2022 to 14.7 million today, nearly tripling and showcasing strong market appeal.
- Changing Competitive Landscape: With giants like Apple and Alphabet entering the digital wallet space, PayPal faces fierce competition that has led to declining margins, particularly as its white-label payment business has not compensated for the profitability drop in its branded checkout segment, impacting overall financial health.
- Leadership Changes Impact: PayPal hired Intuit's CEO Alex Chriss in 2023 to rejuvenate its branded checkout business but fired him earlier this year; new CEO Enrique Lores will leverage his experience at HP to tackle market challenges, and this frequent leadership turnover may affect the coherence of the company's strategy.
- Investment Risks and Opportunities: While SoFi's valuation approaches 30 times 2026 earnings estimates, posing significant investment risks, its projected average earnings growth of 31% far exceeds PayPal's 7% to 8%, suggesting that SoFi may emerge as a more attractive long-term investment despite inherent loan risks in its business model.
See More
