SoFi Price Targets Cut Significantly Amidst Mixed Earnings
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 59 minutes ago
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Should l Buy SOFI?
Source: stocktwits
- Price Target Reductions: Needham cut SoFi's price target from $33 to $25, a 24% decrease while maintaining a 'Buy' rating, indicating that despite a 43% quarterly revenue growth to $1.1 billion, the lower-than-expected tech product revenue raises concerns about the company's future prospects.
- Weak Market Reaction: Morgan Stanley lowered its price target from $18 to $16, keeping an 'Underweight' rating, highlighting that although the company added 1.1 million members, a 35% increase, the significant slowdown in capital-light business segments has dampened overall performance and market confidence.
- Analyst Sentiment Turns Bearish: At least eight analysts have cut their price targets for SoFi, reflecting concerns over profitability and business diversification, particularly as the shift towards more capital-intensive lending raises questions about future growth potential.
- Retail Investor Sentiment: Despite the bearish outlook from analysts, retail investors on Stocktwits remain 'extremely bullish' on SoFi, viewing the current low prices as a 'discount opportunity', indicating a divergence in market sentiment that could support a future rebound in stock prices.
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Analyst Views on SOFI
Wall Street analysts forecast SOFI stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
6 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 15.525
Low
18.00
Averages
28.31
High
38.00
Current: 15.525
Low
18.00
Averages
28.31
High
38.00
About SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc. is a member-centric, one-stop shop for digital financial services. The Company, through its lending and financial services products, allows members to borrow, save, spend, invest and protect their money. The Company's segments include Lending, Technology Platform and Financial Services. The Lending segment offers personal loans, student loans, home loans and related servicing to help its members with a variety of financial needs. Its platform supports the full transaction lifecycle, including credit application, underwriting, approval, funding and servicing. The Technology Platform segment provides services through a diversified suite of offerings which include an event and authorization platform accessed via application programming interfaces, a cloud-native digital and core banking platform and services related to both platforms. The Financial Services segment offers a suite of financial services solutions, including SoFi Money and SoFi Invest.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Member Growth Innovation: SoFi added a record 1.1 million new members in Q1 2026, increasing total membership by 35% year-over-year to 14.7 million, demonstrating strong momentum in user acquisition and further solidifying its market position.
- Outstanding Financial Performance: Adjusted net revenue reached $1.1 billion, exceeding expectations, with EBITDA at $340 million and net income of $167 million, indicating sustained growth in revenue and profitability, which enhances investor confidence.
- Record Loan Originations: The total loan originations in Q1 amounted to $12.2 billion, with $9.2 billion from the lending segment and $3 billion from the loan platform business, showcasing robust market demand and the company's competitiveness in the credit sector.
- New Business Expansion: SoFi launched a new business banking service and formed a partnership with Mastercard to enable SoFiUSD settlement across their global payments network, marking further innovation and market expansion in the fintech space.
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- Price Target Reductions: Needham cut SoFi's price target from $33 to $25, a 24% decrease while maintaining a 'Buy' rating, indicating that despite a 43% quarterly revenue growth to $1.1 billion, the lower-than-expected tech product revenue raises concerns about the company's future prospects.
- Weak Market Reaction: Morgan Stanley lowered its price target from $18 to $16, keeping an 'Underweight' rating, highlighting that although the company added 1.1 million members, a 35% increase, the significant slowdown in capital-light business segments has dampened overall performance and market confidence.
- Analyst Sentiment Turns Bearish: At least eight analysts have cut their price targets for SoFi, reflecting concerns over profitability and business diversification, particularly as the shift towards more capital-intensive lending raises questions about future growth potential.
- Retail Investor Sentiment: Despite the bearish outlook from analysts, retail investors on Stocktwits remain 'extremely bullish' on SoFi, viewing the current low prices as a 'discount opportunity', indicating a divergence in market sentiment that could support a future rebound in stock prices.
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- IPO Plans: SpaceX is targeting a public offering in 2026 with a valuation of up to $1.75 trillion, aiming to raise as much as $75 billion in fresh capital, which will significantly bolster the company's future expansion and technological innovation efforts.
- Retail Investor Participation: CFO Bret Johnsen revealed plans to allocate 30% of shares to retail investors, far exceeding the typical 5% to 10% seen in other IPOs, thereby enabling a larger base of smaller investors to partake in this historic offering.
- Diverse Investment Channels: The Cosmos Fund, launched by SoFi in partnership with Templum, offers accredited investors 100% access to SpaceX shares, although the high entry barriers ensure that only qualified investors can participate directly in this opportunity.
- ETF Investment Opportunity: The ERShares Private-Public Crossover ETF provides a 23.49% exposure to SpaceX, and while it carries a 0.75% management fee, its liquidity and diversified portfolio make it a convenient option for investors looking to gain exposure to SpaceX shares.
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- IPO Timeline: SpaceX is officially targeting a 2026 IPO, with potential plans to go public as early as June, aiming for a valuation of $1.75 trillion and seeking to raise up to $75 billion in fresh capital, which would significantly bolster its future expansion and technological development.
- Retail Investor Inclusion: CFO Bret Johnsen emphasized that retail investors will play a critical role in this IPO, with plans to allocate up to 30% of shares to smaller investors, a substantial increase compared to the typical 5% to 10%, enhancing ordinary investors' engagement and market activity.
- Diverse Investment Vehicles: SoFi Technologies, in partnership with Templum, has launched a fund that allows accredited investors to gain direct exposure to SpaceX, despite high entry barriers, providing a unique channel for those eager to invest early in the company and increasing overall interest in SpaceX.
- ETF Investment Option: The ERShares Private-Public Crossover ETF offers a convenient investment vehicle, holding approximately 23.49% of SpaceX shares, and while it charges a 0.75% management fee, it provides liquidity and a diversified portfolio, although investors should be aware of potential disconnects between market prices and actual asset values due to its holding structure.
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- Strong Growth Performance: As of 2025, SoFi reported a 38% year-over-year increase in adjusted revenue to $3.6 billion, adding 3.6 million net new customers, a 35% rise, indicating robust performance amid economic uncertainty and significant future customer value potential.
- Market Concerns Intensify: Although SoFi's stock has risen 18% since early April, it remains 42% below its November peak, with investors worried about equity dilution and debt issues, particularly following a short report from Muddy Waters; management denied the claims, yet market sentiment remains cautious.
- Credit Quality Remains Strong: SoFi's Q4 2025 net charge-off rates for personal and student loans were healthy, with the CFO stating that credit quality met expectations, driving attractive returns across all loan types, showcasing the company's credit management capabilities.
- Positive Profit Trend: SoFi's adjusted net income jumped 112% from 2024, with projected earnings per share growth of 38% to 42% CAGR over the next three years, making the current stock price an attractive buy opportunity for investors focused on future earnings potential.
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- Strong Quarterly Performance: SoFi Technologies reported quarterly revenue of $1.1 billion, reflecting a 43% year-over-year growth, although its earnings of $0.12 per share met expectations, the full-year guidance fell short, causing a stock drop of over 15%.
- Shift in Market Sentiment: Retail investor sentiment on Stocktwits surged from 'bullish' to 'extremely bullish' in the past 24 hours, indicating confidence in SoFi's future growth, particularly after the company added 1.1 million members, bringing the total to 14.7 million.
- Positive Analyst Outlook: Despite the stock pressure, 24 analysts have set a 12-month average price target of $23.48 for SoFi, suggesting over 51% upside from its previous close, with 8 analysts rating it as 'Buy', reflecting recognition of its long-term potential.
- Clear Strategic Positioning: SoFi aims to position itself as a digital convergence point for banking, investing, and digital assets, and while facing short-term challenges, its robust member growth and record loan originations of $12.2 billion lay a solid foundation for future development.
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