Simulations Plus Collaborates with Lonza to Develop Drug Assessment Framework
Simulations Plus (SLP) announced a funded research collaboration with Lonza Group (LZAGY) and the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to develop and validate a mechanistic, predictive framework for assessing the in vivo performance of amorphous solid dispersion drug products. ASDs are among the most powerful yet complex oral drug delivery systems, with performance influenced by factors such as food intake, gastric pH, formulation composition, and manufacturing processes. Current regulatory approaches often require multiple clinical bioequivalence studies, which can be resource-intensive while still carrying uncertainty. The collaboration evaluates whether advanced in vitro dissolution systems-particularly those incorporating dynamic gastrointestinal physiology-combined with mechanistic physiologically based biopharmaceutics modeling, can reliably predict key in vivo outcomes, including food effects and the impact of elevated gastric pH conditions. By establishing and validating these predictive capabilities, the collaboration aims to provide a scientific foundation for reducing reliance on certain clinical BE studies while maintaining the rigor and transparency required by regulators. The collaboration brings together complementary capabilities across experimental science and computational modeling. Lonza will lead experimental work, including in vitro dissolution testing under fasted, fed, and elevated gastric pH conditions using advanced systems such as Controlled Transfer Dissolution, as well as the characterization and, where needed, manufacturing of ASD formulation variants. Simulations Plus will lead the development and validation of in vitro-in vivo extrapolation frameworks using its DDDPlus and GastroPlus platforms, translating experimental data into predictions of in vivo pharmacokinetics and supporting virtual bioequivalence assessments. At the same time, it creates new opportunities to extend these capabilities into grounded AI-enabled workflow environments, where data, mechanistic models, and simulation outputs will be more directly connected. The Company will also contribute to interpretation within a regulatory context, ensuring alignment with evolving expectations for model-informed drug development.
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- Research Collaboration Initiated: Simulations Plus has announced a funded research collaboration with Lonza and the FDA to develop and validate a mechanistic predictive framework for assessing amorphous solid dispersion drug products, enhancing early risk identification and regulatory confidence.
- Technological Integration Advantage: This collaboration aims to combine advanced in vitro dissolution systems with mechanistic biopharmaceutics modeling to improve predictions of in vivo performance, thereby reducing reliance on clinical bioequivalence studies and lowering development costs.
- Experimental and Modeling Synergy: Lonza will lead in vitro dissolution testing under various physiological conditions, while Simulations Plus will utilize its DDDPlus® and GastroPlus® platforms to develop in vitro-in vivo extrapolation frameworks, facilitating virtual bioequivalence assessments.
- Regulatory Alignment: The project is supported by FDA funding and involves ongoing engagement with FDA scientists to modernize bioequivalence assessments for complex products, promoting science-based alternatives that enhance transparency and confidence in industry decision-making.
- Collaboration Programs: Simulations Plus announced collaboration programs with three large pharmaceutical companies to enhance modeling efficiency in drug development using AI technology, indicating the company's leadership in the medical AI sector.
- Financial Performance Exceeds Expectations: For Q2 FY2026, Simulations Plus reported an EPS of $0.35, up from $0.31 year-over-year, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.31, demonstrating the company's strong profitability.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company reported an 8% year-over-year revenue increase to $24.3 million, exceeding the market forecast of $21.66 million, with the software segment accounting for 60% of total revenue, reflecting its competitive advantage in the market.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Simulations Plus anticipates full-year revenue between $79 million and $82 million, suggesting potential growth of up to 4%, and expects adjusted EPS in the range of $0.75 to $0.85, showcasing the company's confidence in future performance.
- Market Dynamics: Stock futures are essentially flat, reflecting a cautious market waiting for confirmation, with momentum from earlier in the week fading as investors remain on the sidelines regarding future trends.
- Oil Price Movement: Oil prices are creeping higher again, hovering near the $100 per barrel level, primarily due to doubts about the durability of the ceasefire and ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, indicating persistent inflationary pressures.
- CPI Report Impact: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed the sharpest year-over-year price increases for consumers in nearly four years, largely driven by the recent energy shock, and despite a pause in fighting, oil flows remain constrained and supply chains are still disrupted.
- Stock Market Performance: In pre-market trading, S&P 500 futures rose 0.14%, Nasdaq futures rose 0.21%, and Dow futures rose 0.02%, reflecting a cautiously optimistic sentiment in the market regarding future developments.
- Revenue Growth: Simulations Plus reported Q2 revenue of $24.3 million, an 8% year-over-year increase, with software revenue rising 9% to $14.6 million and services revenue also increasing by 8%, indicating sustained growth potential in the healthcare tech sector.
- Net Income Improvement: Non-GAAP net income rose 13% to over $7 million, or $0.35 per share, exceeding analyst expectations of $0.31, demonstrating enhanced profitability for the company.
- Guidance Adjustment: Despite strong performance, the company lowered its full-year adjusted net income guidance to $0.75 to $0.85 per share from a previous forecast of $1.03 to $1.10, primarily due to a higher effective tax rate, which may dampen investor sentiment.
- Market Reaction: Although the market reacted lukewarm with a mere 0.4% increase in stock price, analysts believe the company's robust performance and ongoing growth momentum in both software and services make it a worthwhile investment.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Simulations Plus reported $24.3 million in revenue for Q2 2026, an 8% year-over-year increase, with software revenue rising 9% to $14.6 million and service revenue also increasing by 8%, indicating strong performance in the healthcare tech sector.
- Profit Exceeds Expectations: The non-GAAP net income rose 13% to $7 million, or $0.35 per share, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.31, reflecting an improvement in the company's profitability.
- Full-Year Guidance Cut: Despite the strong Q2 results, Simulations Plus lowered its full-year adjusted net income forecast to $0.75 to $0.85 per share, down from the previous estimate of $1.03 to $1.10, primarily due to a higher effective tax rate.
- Mild Market Reaction: Although the company exceeded expectations, its stock only rose 0.4%, indicating investor uncertainty regarding future profitability, which may affect short-term investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth: Simulations Plus reported Q2 revenue of $24.3 million, an 8% year-over-year increase, with software revenue rising 9% to $14.6 million and services revenue also increasing by 8%, indicating strong demand and market recognition in the healthcare tech sector.
- Profit Improvement: Non-GAAP net income increased by 13% to over $7 million, or $0.35 per share, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.31, reflecting the company's robust profitability amidst growth.
- Guidance Cut: Despite solid performance, Simulations Plus lowered its full-year adjusted net income guidance to $0.75 to $0.85 per share from a previous forecast of $1.03 to $1.10, primarily due to a higher effective tax rate, which may dampen investor confidence.
- Market Reaction: Although the company exceeded expectations, its stock only rose by 0.4%, indicating market uncertainty regarding future profitability, prompting investors to carefully assess its long-term investment value.











