SFL Corporation Q4 2025 Earnings Report Analysis
- Earnings Performance: SFL Corporation reported a Q4 2025 GAAP EPS of -$0.04, missing expectations by $0.03, indicating challenges in profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Details: The company's revenue for Q4 was $175.5 million, a 23.4% year-over-year decline, although it beat market expectations by $7.14 million; however, the ongoing revenue decline poses a threat to future financial health.
- Market Reaction: Given the earnings miss, investors may adopt a cautious stance towards SFL's future performance, particularly in the current economic climate, which could lead to increased stock price volatility.
- Strategic Focus: The future development of SFL will heavily depend on its partnership with Hercules, and failure to effectively leverage this strategic alliance may further impact the company's market position and financial performance.
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- Earnings Performance: SFL Corporation reported a Q4 2025 GAAP EPS of -$0.04, missing expectations by $0.03, indicating challenges in profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Details: The company's revenue for Q4 was $175.5 million, a 23.4% year-over-year decline, although it beat market expectations by $7.14 million; however, the ongoing revenue decline poses a threat to future financial health.
- Market Reaction: Given the earnings miss, investors may adopt a cautious stance towards SFL's future performance, particularly in the current economic climate, which could lead to increased stock price volatility.
- Strategic Focus: The future development of SFL will heavily depend on its partnership with Hercules, and failure to effectively leverage this strategic alliance may further impact the company's market position and financial performance.
- Earnings Release Date: SFL Corporation is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 11 before market open, with consensus EPS estimate at -$0.00 and revenue estimate at $168.36 million, reflecting a 26.5% year-over-year decline.
- Historical Performance: Over the past year, SFL has exceeded EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 100% of the time, indicating a strong track record in meeting financial forecasts.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and two downward revisions, while revenue estimates have experienced no upward revisions and three downward revisions, suggesting market caution regarding the company's future performance.
- Investor Considerations: While SFL has demonstrated historical financial strength, its future performance hinges on effective debt management and dividend sustainability, making the upcoming earnings report a critical focus for investors.
- Asset Monetization: SFL Corporation has agreed to sell two 2015-built Suezmax tankers for approximately $57 million each, with net proceeds estimated at around $26 million per vessel, demonstrating effective asset management by the company.
- Financial Gains: The transaction is expected to yield an aggregate book gain of about $23 million, further strengthening SFL's financial position and providing capital for future investments.
- Market Strategy: SFL has also mutually agreed to terminate charters for two 2020-built tankers with the same charterer, indicating the company's flexibility in optimizing fleet configuration and responding to market changes.
- Reinvestment Plans: A portion of the proceeds will be reinvested in younger, more fuel-efficient vessels to capitalize on the current strong charter market, reflecting the company's proactive approach to future market opportunities.
- Transaction Overview: SFL Corporation has agreed to sell two 2015-built Suezmax tankers for approximately $57 million each, with expected net proceeds of about $26 million per vessel, demonstrating effective asset management by the company.
- Financial Impact: The transaction is anticipated to yield an aggregate book gain of around $23 million, further strengthening SFL's financial position and providing capital for future investments.
- Market Strategy: SFL has also agreed to terminate charters for two 2020-built tankers with Koch, indicating a strategic decision to optimize fleet structure and enhance operational efficiency.
- Future Outlook: The company plans to employ the retained vessels in the spot market and may seek longer-term charters, aiming to capitalize on the current strong charter market to enhance overall revenue generation.
Upcoming Ex-Dividend Dates: Worthington Steel Inc, Frontline plc, and SFL Corporation Ltd will trade ex-dividend on 12/12/25, with respective dividends of $0.16, $0.19, and $0.20 scheduled for payment on 12/26/25, 12/19/25, and 12/29/25.
Expected Price Adjustments: Following the ex-dividend date, shares of Worthington Steel Inc are expected to open 0.45% lower, Frontline plc 0.84% lower, and SFL Corporation Ltd 2.40% lower, based on their recent stock prices.
Dividend Yield Estimates: The estimated annualized yields for the companies are 1.79% for Worthington Steel Inc, 3.34% for Frontline plc, and 9.58% for SFL Corporation Ltd, indicating varying levels of dividend stability.
Current Trading Performance: As of Wednesday trading, Worthington Steel Inc shares are up 1.3%, Frontline plc shares are down 3.2%, and SFL Corporation Ltd shares are up 0.6%.

SFL Corporation's Financial Performance: SFL Corporation Ltd. reported better-than-expected Q3 2025 earnings, maintained its dividend of US$0.20 per share, and completed a share repurchase of over 2.3 million shares for US$20.2 million, reflecting strong financial health and shareholder returns.
Investment Considerations: Investors need to assess SFL's ability to convert its large charter backlog into cash flows while managing risks related to energy transition and capital commitments for fleet upgrades, especially in light of potential shipping market softness.
Future Projections: SFL's narrative anticipates $742.1 million in revenue and $132.0 million in earnings by 2028, requiring a yearly revenue decline of 4.5% and a significant increase in earnings, highlighting the company's reliance on market conditions and capital expenditure.
Valuation Insights: Fair value estimates for SFL vary widely among investors, with projections ranging from US$2.59 to US$12.17 per share, indicating differing opinions on the stock's worth and the impact of market confidence on its financial outcomes.









