Sees FY26 Adjusted EBITDA of $136M-$141M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 10 2026
0mins
Should l Buy CDRE?
Sees FY26 adjusted EBITDA $136M-$141M. Sees FY26 CapEx $10M-$14M.
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Analyst Views on CDRE
Wall Street analysts forecast CDRE stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 32.860
Low
50.00
Averages
52.67
High
55.00
Current: 32.860
Low
50.00
Averages
52.67
High
55.00
About CDRE
Cadre Holdings, Inc. is engaged in the manufacturing and distribution of safety products. The Company's equipment provides protection to allow users to safely perform their duties and protect those around them in hazardous or life-threatening situations. Its core products include body armor, explosive ordnance disposal equipment, duty gear and nuclear safety products. Its principal body armor product offerings include concealable, corrections and tactical armor, which provide varying levels of protection against ballistic or sharp instrument threats. It offers an engineered portfolio of critical operator survival suits, blast sensors, accessories and vehicle blast attenuation seats for bomb safety technicians, among others. Its engineered products are utilized in over 100 countries by federal, state and local law enforcement, fire and rescue professionals, explosive ordnance disposal teams, and emergency medical technicians. Its key brands include Safariland and Med-Eng, among others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Revenue Shortfall: Cadre's Q4 CY2025 revenue of $167.2 million fell 5% year-on-year and missed analyst expectations of $184.3 million, resulting in a negative market reaction that impacted stock performance.
- Profitability Decline: The company's adjusted EPS of $0.29 was 37.4% below the expected $0.47, indicating significant pressure on profitability that may affect investor confidence moving forward.
- Growing Order Backlog: Despite challenges, Cadre's order backlog increased nearly 50% year-on-year, driven by significant contracts including a $50 million monitoring system and an $86 million military seat contract, which are expected to provide revenue visibility in the coming years.
- Nuclear Market Headwinds: The nuclear segment faces short-term pressure due to federal policy changes slowing plutonium blending, but management anticipates growth will resume as commercial nuclear opportunities arise, necessitating close monitoring of policy developments.
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- Oversold Signal: Cadre Holdings Inc (CDRE) saw its RSI drop to 27.5 during Wednesday's trading, indicating the stock has entered oversold territory, suggesting that the recent heavy selling may be exhausting, prompting investors to consider buying opportunities.
- Price Fluctuation: CDRE shares hit a low of $34.16, with the current trading price at $35.21, showing a significant recovery from the 52-week low of $27.0743, yet still far below the 52-week high of $48.7599, reflecting market uncertainty.
- Market Comparison: Compared to the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) with an RSI of 42.4, CDRE's low RSI may attract investors looking for a rebound, indicating a divergence in market sentiment.
- Investor Attention: Analysts suggest that CDRE's oversold condition could present potential buying opportunities for investors, especially as market sentiment shifts, potentially drawing more capital inflows.
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- Performance Growth: Cadre Holdings reported an adjusted EBITDA of $111.7 million for fiscal 2025, marking a record for the third consecutive year, and despite a decline in Q4 results compared to last year, both annual net sales and net income showed significant growth, indicating the company's resilience and growth potential in the market.
- Increased Backlog: The company reported a nearly 50% increase in backlog compared to last year, including a $50 million IDIQ contract, demonstrating sustained demand for its mission-critical safety products and enhancing visibility for future revenues.
- Acquisition Strategy: Cadre's acquisition of Carr's Engineering and TYR Tactical further solidifies its position in the critical safety solutions market, with TYR expected to contribute approximately $100 million in revenue, showcasing the company's proactive measures to expand its market reach.
- Future Outlook: For 2026, net sales are projected to be between $736 million and $758 million, with adjusted EBITDA expected between $136 million and $141 million, reflecting the company's expectations for organic growth in public safety and nuclear businesses, despite facing some near-term challenges.
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- Papa John's Takeover Bid: Shares of Papa John's jumped 18% following a $1.5 billion takeover bid from Irth Capital Management, offering $47 per share, a 50% premium over the stock price prior to the announcement, which could significantly alter the company's capital structure and market positioning.
- Campbell's Disappointing Results: Campbell's stock fell over 7.5% after its fiscal second-quarter earnings missed analyst expectations, with snack sales down 6% and U.S. soup sales down 4%, leading to a 23-year low in stock price, reflecting market concerns about its future growth prospects.
- Nebius Group's Investment Boost: Nebius Group's shares rose 15% after Nvidia announced a $2 billion investment to enable Nebius to deploy over 5 gigawatts of AI cloud capacity by the end of 2030, enhancing Nvidia's AI infrastructure buildout and demonstrating strong confidence in the AI sector.
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- Disappointing Earnings Report: Cadre Holdings reported fourth-quarter revenue of approximately $167.2 million, falling short of analyst expectations of $184–186 million, indicating competitive pressures that could undermine investor confidence moving forward.
- Declining EPS: The company’s fourth-quarter earnings per share were approximately $0.27, significantly below the expected $0.40, reflecting a decrease in profitability that may lead to further stock price declines.
- Full-Year Performance Shortfall: For the full year 2025, Cadre reported revenue of approximately $610.3 million, missing the previously reaffirmed guidance of $624 million to $630 million, highlighting challenges in achieving growth targets that could raise investor concerns.
- Legal Investigation Initiated: Johnson Fistel is investigating whether Cadre complied with federal securities laws, and investors who suffered losses from holding Cadre stock may face claims, potentially impacting the company's reputation further.
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