Sandisk's Stock Growth Slows but Remains Profitable
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 03 2026
0mins
Should l Buy SNDK?
Source: Fool
- Stock Performance: Sandisk has been a top performer over the last six months, with a staggering 1,000% increase, although its growth slowed in February to just 10%, indicating strong resilience in the memory market.
- Secondary Offering: The company announced a secondary stock offering that will not generate funds for Sandisk since the shares are owned by Western Digital, yet it reflects ongoing market interest in its stock.
- Long-Term Agreements: CEO David Goeckeler highlighted at an investor conference the company's focus on securing long-term supply agreements with data center clients, which aims to leverage the current surge in demand for enhanced business stability.
- Future Outlook: Analysts forecast that by fiscal 2026, Sandisk's revenue will more than double to $15.5 billion, with earnings per share expected to rise to $39.84, although investor sentiment remains mixed regarding its product innovation amidst cyclical market challenges.
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Analyst Views on SNDK
Wall Street analysts forecast SNDK stock price to fall
14 Analyst Rating
11 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 692.730
Low
220.00
Averages
283.69
High
410.00
Current: 692.730
Low
220.00
Averages
283.69
High
410.00
About SNDK
SanDisk Corporation is a developer, manufacturer and provider of data storage devices and solutions based on NAND flash technology and has consumer brands and franchises globally. The Company's solutions include a range of solid state drives (SSDs) embedded products, removable cards, universal serial bus (USB) drives, and wafers and components. Its broad portfolio of technology and products addresses multiple end markets of Datacenter, Edge and Consumer. Its Datacenter end market is composed primarily of products for public or private cloud environments and enterprise customers. The Company, through the Edge end market, provides original equipment manufacturer and channel customers a broad array of high-performance flash solutions across personal computer, mobile, gaming, automotive, virtual reality headsets, at-home entertainment, and industrial spaces. The Company serves the Consumer end market with a broad range of retail and other end-user products.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- NAND Market Shortage: Sandisk emerged as the best-performing stock in the Russell 1000 Index in Q1, with a remarkable 194% surge in share price, primarily driven by a shortage in the NAND memory market that boosted prices and led to substantial revenue and earnings growth.
- AI Infrastructure Boom: The demand for NAND memory continues to rise due to the booming AI infrastructure, and while the industry has historically been cyclical, the current strong performance provides significant financial returns for the company in the near term.
- Nvidia's Competitive Edge: Nvidia stands out as a leading AI chipmaker with its complex GPUs and robust CUDA software platform, currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 21 times, indicating substantial future growth potential that attracts investor interest.
- Broadcom's Market Leadership: Broadcom leads in the AI infrastructure market, particularly in networking and custom AI chips, with a current P/E ratio of 27.5 times, which is expected to drop to 17.5 times as explosive growth materializes, showcasing strong investment value.
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- Importance of Profitability: As the market shifts focus to profitability, Palantir Technologies reported a net income of $1.6 billion last year, which appears insufficient against its $330 billion market cap, contributing to a more than 30% decline in its stock price since November.
- Strong Performance of Data Centers: Digital Realty achieved a 10% revenue growth in 2025, with operating profits soaring nearly 40%, demonstrating solid profitability in the AI data center sector, allowing DLR shares to maintain a long-term upward trend despite poor performance from other AI stocks.
- Cautious Market Attitude Towards AI Solutions: A survey revealed that 56% of CEOs have yet to see financial benefits from AI investments, leading companies to be more discerning about AI solutions that lack demonstrable value, thus increasing demand for efficient and verifiable AI technologies.
- Challenges of Power Efficiency: The International Energy Agency forecasts that data centers' electricity consumption will grow by 15% annually through 2030, significantly outpacing overall energy growth, prompting the industry to shift towards more efficient 800-volt DC systems to reduce operational costs and enhance competitiveness.
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- Memory Demand Shift: Google's TurboQuant algorithm reduces memory requirements for generative AI models by six times, triggering nearly a 20% drop in Micron and Sandisk stocks, indicating a drastic shift in market expectations for memory prices.
- Overreaction in Market: While efficiency gains may increase demand, Micron projects the high-bandwidth memory market to grow from $35 billion to $100 billion, suggesting that supply constraints remain, and the current stock decline could represent a buying opportunity.
- Open Source Impact: By open-sourcing the TurboQuant algorithm, Google allows all AI companies to leverage this breakthrough, potentially increasing demand for memory chips and further impacting market prices and supply chains.
- Cautious Investor Approach: Despite the panic triggered by TurboQuant news, investors should monitor consumer memory prices to assess whether Micron faces risks of falling product prices, remaining vigilant in their investment strategies.
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- Significant Memory Demand Reduction: Google's TurboQuant algorithm reduces the memory required for generative AI by six times, leading to a nearly 20% drop in Micron's stock price and shaking confidence across the memory chip sector.
- Overreaction in the Market: Despite the potential for increased demand due to efficiency gains, the market's bearish reaction towards Micron seems excessive, especially as the company projects the high-bandwidth memory market to grow from $35 billion to $100 billion, indicating robust future demand.
- Impact of Jevons Paradox: As memory becomes more efficient, demand may actually rise, suggesting that Micron's market position might not be fundamentally threatened, potentially presenting a buying opportunity for investors.
- Cautious Investor Approach: While the TurboQuant breakthrough is significant, investors should monitor consumer memory prices to assess the risk of falling prices for Micron, remaining vigilant to avoid potential losses.
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- Algorithm Efficiency Boost: Google's TurboQuant algorithm reduces memory usage by at least 6x and speeds up processing by up to 8x without any accuracy loss, potentially decreasing memory demand by 83%.
- Market Reaction: Following this announcement, shares of memory chipmakers Micron Technology and Sandisk fell by 10% and 14%, respectively, as investors feared a significant drop in demand, although some experts caution that these fears may be overblown.
- Historical Insight: The Jevons Paradox suggests that increased efficiency can lower costs and ultimately increase demand; historical examples, such as improved fuel efficiency in cars leading to higher fuel consumption, indicate that memory chip demand may not decline as expected.
- Investment Opportunity: Despite the initial pullback in Micron and Sandisk stocks, analysts believe that the launch of TurboQuant will drive further AI adoption and strengthen demand for memory chips, with Mizuho analysts reiterating their outperform ratings, suggesting this is a buying opportunity.
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- Stock Plunge: Google's introduction of the TurboQuant algorithm led to a 10% drop in Micron and a 14% drop in Sandisk shares, as investors feared that the AI breakthrough would drastically reduce demand for memory chips, impacting future revenues.
- Historical Lessons: The Jevons Paradox suggests that increased efficiency in resource use can actually lead to higher demand; historically, coal consumption rose despite efficiency improvements, indicating a potential similar outcome for the memory chip market.
- Analyst Optimism: Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh reiterated his outperform ratings on Micron and Sandisk, arguing that the launch of TurboQuant will drive AI adoption and strengthen demand for memory chips, highlighting potential market opportunities.
- Positive Financial Outlook: Micron forecasts Q3 revenue of $33.5 billion, representing a 260% year-over-year growth, with gross margins expected to increase by 660 basis points to about 81%, indicating strong growth potential despite market skepticism.
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