Salesforce Q1 Earnings Preview: Adjusted EPS Guidance of $3.11-$3.13
Salesforceis scheduled to report results of its first fiscal quarter after the market close on Wednesday, May 27, with a conference call scheduled for 5:00 pm ET. What to watch for:GUIDANCE:Along with its fourth quarter earnings report, Salesforce guided to FY27 adjusted earnings per share of $13.11-$13.19 on a revenue of $45.8B-$46.2B, which compared to analyst estimates of $13.12 and $46.01B, respectively, at the time of the report. Consensus for EPS has since risen to $13.23, while estimates for revenue have jumped to $46.11B. The company also provided Q1 EPS guidance of $3.11-$3.13 on revenue of $11.03B-$11.08B. Consensus for earnings, which was at $3.01 at the time, has increased to $3.13, and consensus for revenue, which was at $10.98B, has risen to $11.06B.PARTNERSHIPS, FEATURES:In February, GoDaddyannounced an integration with Salesforce's MuleSoft Agent Fabric. In March, the company and Formula 1announced the launch of a new fan companion agent to scale and personalize engagement for F1's 827M global fans. Salesforce also announced in March the U.S. Department of Labor has modernized its National Contact Center with Salesforce and was rolling out Agentforce to provide more personalized support. The company also reported the deployment of a new agentic operating system to simplify incident response and improve Veteran care across its more than 150 Department of Veterans Affairs medical and outpatient centers. Additionally in March, Bandwidthannounced it had partnered with the newly launched Agentforce Contact Center. Docusignalso announced a new integration with Slack, which brings its Intelligent Agreement Management platform directly into Slackbot. In April, Salesforce announced an expanded collaboration with Engine. Additionally in April, Google Cloudand the company announced an expanded partnership enabling AI agents to execute end-to-end workflows across both platforms by solving the long-standing challenge of fragmented data and disconnected systems. Unisyshas announced an expansion of its collaboration with Salesforce to strengthen the delivery of its on-site technology support.ACQUISITIONS:In February, Salesforce announced it had signed a definitive agreement to acquire Cimulate. The company said, "The acquisition will strengthen Salesforce's investment in Agentforce Commerce by accelerating improvements to search and discovery, helping retailers deliver more personalized, contextual, and conversational shopping experiences." Salesforce completed its acquisition of Cimulate on March 3.The company also announced in February a definitive agreement to acquire Momentum, a conversational insights and revenue orchestration platform. The company said, "The acquisition will extend the ability of Agentforce 360 and Slackbot to ingest and analyze unstructured data from third-party video channels and apply those insights directly to agentic workflows." Salesforce completed its acquisition of Momentum on March 2.ANALYST VIEWS:Deutsche Bank expects Salesforce to report a "seasonally slow but steady" start to fiscal 2027. It believes the company will likely meet "muted" fiscal Q1 expectations amid a "tenuous backdrop" for software-as-a-service. Deutsche's field conversations leave it expecting less upside to Salesforce's key metrics relative to recent quarters. The earnings report is unlikely to bring meaningful estimate revisions which "is required to sway sentiment and catalyze the stock," the analyst said. The firm has a Buy rating on the shares with a $255 price target.Meanwhile, BofA reinstated coverage of Salesforce with an Underperform rating and $160 price target. Salesforce remains "a deeply entrenched platform," but the firm expects a structural reset driven by AI transition, the analyst said. This raises three core concerns, namely muted net new customer additions, limited upsell potential, and an "underwhelming" AI monetization pathway, the analyst added.Citi lowered the firm's price target on Salesforce to $188 from $200 and kept a Neutral rating on the shares ahead of the Q1 report. Citi reduced its fiscal 2027 estimates towards the low end of Salesforce's outlook after its fieldwork indicated lengthening deal cycles and greater portfolio optimization at renewals.
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- Strong Performance: Salesforce's Q1 GAAP EPS reached $2.42, up 52% year-over-year, while non-GAAP EPS was $3.88, up 50%, indicating a significant enhancement in profitability that reinforces its market leadership.
- Revenue Growth: Total revenue for Q1 hit $11.13 billion, a 13% increase year-over-year, with subscription and support revenue at $10.69 billion, up 14%, reflecting robust customer demand and market share expansion.
- Robust Cash Flow: The company reported operating cash flow of $6.7 billion, up 3% year-over-year, and free cash flow of $6.6 billion, up 4%, providing a solid foundation for future investments and shareholder returns.
- Shareholder Returns: Salesforce returned $27.1 billion to shareholders through stock buybacks and paid $365 million in dividends, demonstrating a strong commitment to shareholder value alongside its impressive cash flow and profitability.
- Earnings Performance: Salesforce reported earnings that exceeded expectations, with CEO Marc Benioff projecting over $46 billion in revenue for the year, although his interpretation of guidance diverges from investor sentiment, indicating the company's strong market position.
- Share Buyback Program: Salesforce is executing a share buyback program despite its stock being down 37% from last November's high, aiming to bolster shareholder confidence and stabilize its stock price amidst market fluctuations.
- Snowflake's Strong Growth: Snowflake's quarterly earnings led to a 36% increase in its stock during after-hours trading, with CEO Sridhar Ramaswamy emphasizing that product innovation will drive the enterprise AI revolution, showcasing the company's competitive edge in the industry.
- Upcoming Market Data: Key economic data set to be released includes weekly jobless claims and GDP revisions, with the consensus estimate for initial jobless claims at 213,000, indicating signs of economic recovery that could influence investor sentiment.
- Oil Price Drop: Oil prices have significantly declined due to weak global demand, with WTI crude falling below $70 per barrel, which could lower transportation and production costs, positively impacting the overall economy.
- Amazon Buy Signal: Amazon's stock has flashed a buy signal, with analysts predicting strong future growth potential, likely attracting more investor interest and further driving its stock price upward.
- Snowflake Surge: Snowflake experienced a strong rebound in after-hours trading, with its stock price rising, reflecting market optimism regarding its financial performance and future outlook, potentially drawing more institutional investor attention.
- Overall Market Performance: Amid the drop in oil prices, major indexes have generally risen, indicating increased investor confidence in economic recovery, which may promote further capital inflows into the stock market.
- Strong Earnings Report: Salesforce's quarterly revenue reached $11.13 billion, a 13.3% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations of $11.05 billion, while adjusted earnings per share of $3.87 exceeded estimates by 76 cents, demonstrating the company's resilience in revenue growth.
- AI Platform Performance: The newly launched AI platform, Agentforce, closed 98 deals in the quarter, with an annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $1.2 billion, reflecting a remarkable 205% year-over-year growth, indicating rapid development and market acceptance in the AI sector.
- Stock Volatility: Despite the strong earnings, Salesforce's stock dipped 1% in after-hours trading and has fallen about 33% year-to-date, reflecting investor concerns over AI potentially replacing traditional software, leading to diminished confidence in the stock.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Management expects second-quarter revenue for fiscal 2027 to range between $11.27 billion and $11.35 billion, and while adjusted EPS guidance has been raised, the overall financial outlook remains below market consensus, highlighting challenges in accelerating growth.
- Product Delivery Focus: Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff emphasized that during the stock slump, the company will concentrate on delivering strong products for customers, ensuring continued revenue growth and cash flow despite competitive pressures from Anthropic and OpenAI.
- Accelerated Buybacks: Salesforce has repurchased $27.1 billion worth of stock, with CFO Robin Washington noting that buybacks boosted diluted earnings per share by 23 cents year-over-year, reflecting the company's confidence and strategic decision-making during market downturns.
- Performance Exceeds Expectations: Despite a 1.5% drop in after-hours trading, the company reported better-than-expected earnings, with Benioff highlighting record transaction volumes in the past quarter, indicating strong competitive positioning in the market.
- AI Integration Advantage: Benioff argued that AI will enhance Salesforce's capabilities, particularly through Slack's integration with Anthropic tools, which can provide users with better advice, thereby increasing the product's market appeal.
- Strong Revenue Performance: Salesforce reported Q1 revenue of $11.13 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $11.05 billion, with a year-over-year growth rate of 13%, indicating robust market performance despite overall growth prospects being impacted by AI competition.
- Significant AI Product Contribution: The company's AI products, Agentforce and Data 360, reached nearly $3.4 billion in annual recurring revenue, with Agentforce expected to contribute $1.2 billion, up from $800 million in February, reflecting ongoing investment and growing customer demand in the AI sector.
- Improved Profitability: Q1 earnings per share came in at $3.88, beating expectations of $3.13, while net income rose to $2.11 billion, showcasing improvements in cost control and operational efficiency, although market confidence in future growth has weakened.
- Cautious Outlook: Salesforce expects Q2 revenue to be $11.3 billion, slightly below market expectations of $11.4 billion, and its full-year revenue guidance also falls short of analyst forecasts, indicating a cautious stance amid the rapidly evolving AI competitive landscape.











