Quantum Computing Stocks Surge Over 6200% in One Year
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 21 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy IONQ?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Quantum Market Potential: As of mid-October, IonQ, Rigetti, and D-Wave have seen annual returns ranging from 670% to 6,217%, reflecting investor confidence in the vast market potential of quantum computing, with a projected market opportunity of $1 trillion by 2035.
- Investor Behavior Warning: Despite the strong performance of quantum computing stocks, insiders at these three companies have sold approximately $615 million more shares than they purchased over the past year, indicating that executives may not be optimistic about the future value of their stocks, prompting caution among investors.
- Technological Application Outlook: Quantum computing can tackle problems that classical computers cannot, with projections suggesting it could create $450 billion to $850 billion in global economic value by 2040, highlighting its broad application potential in drug development and AI algorithm learning.
- Support from Major Banks: JPMorgan Chase's $1.5 trillion Security and Resiliency Initiative identifies quantum computing as a key investment area for the next decade, further driving market interest and investment willingness in quantum technologies.
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Analyst Views on IONQ
Wall Street analysts forecast IONQ stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
9 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 33.180
Low
47.00
Averages
75.91
High
100.00
Current: 33.180
Low
47.00
Averages
75.91
High
100.00
About IONQ
IonQ, Inc. is engaged in the quantum computing and networking industry, delivering high-performance systems capable of solving complex commercial and research use cases. Its generation quantum computers, IonQ Forte and IonQ Forte Enterprise, are cutting-edge systems, boasting 36 algorithmic qubits. It sells specialized quantum computing and networking hardware together with related maintenance and support. It also sells access to several quantum computers of various qubit capacities and is in the process of researching and developing technologies for quantum computers with increasing computational capabilities. It makes access to its quantum computers available via three cloud platforms, Amazon Web Services' (AWS) Amazon Braket, Microsoft's Azure Quantum and Google's Cloud Marketplace, and also to select customers via its own cloud service. Its product portfolio also includes quantum key distribution (QKD) systems, quantum random number generators (QRNGs), and single-photon detectors.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Dramatic Loss Increase: IonQ's losses surged tenfold year-over-year in the first nine months of 2025, escalating from $129 million to nearly $1.3 billion, primarily due to tripled general and administrative costs and more than doubled R&D expenses, highlighting the high-cost pressures in the quantum computing sector.
- Weak Sales Growth: Although IonQ's sales rose by 117% to $68.1 million in the first nine months of 2025, most of this revenue came from five companies acquired last year rather than organic growth, indicating weakness in its core business operations.
- Shareholder Dilution Risk: IonQ financed its acquisitions through issuing new shares, leading to shareholder dilution, which, combined with expanding losses and sales growth primarily reliant on acquisitions, exacerbates financial instability and undermines investor confidence.
- Deteriorating Market Conditions: As investors rotate towards safer assets, IonQ faces increased market pressure, with its price-to-sales ratio of 106 significantly exceeding the tech sector average of 8, suggesting that its stock may be overvalued and could experience further price declines.
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- Quantum Computing Potential: IonQ is leading in quantum computing accuracy by utilizing a trapped-ion approach that employs actual atoms instead of artificial qubits, enhancing system stability and reliability.
- High Fidelity Milestone: The acquisition of Oxford Ionics allowed IonQ to integrate microwave electronics into its chips, eliminating the need for large lasers and achieving a remarkable 99.99% two-gate fidelity, significantly improving the practicality of quantum computing.
- Error Correction Advances: IonQ's progress in quantum error correction enables the system to maintain correct information even when some qubits fail, enhancing its competitive edge in the quantum computing market.
- Economic Viability Advantage: By shrinking machine size and integrating microwave electronics, IonQ's systems become more economically viable, and if it can achieve quantum advantage first, its stock could see substantial upside, attracting long-term investor interest.
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- Commercialization Outlook: Microsoft’s VP of Quantum, Zulfi Alam, stated that by 2029, quantum computers will possess commercial value, capable of performing complex calculations that classical computers cannot, marking a pivotal shift from lab research to real-world applications.
- Energy Efficiency Revolution: UBS analysts noted that quantum computers could solve problems in 200 seconds that would take conventional supercomputers 10,000 years, potentially reducing energy consumption in data centers and driving the industry towards more efficient computing models.
- Infrastructure Investment Needs: As quantum computing advances, significant infrastructure investments will be required in data centers to accommodate the unique demands of quantum machines, with experts predicting a surge in M&A activity over the next decade to bolster quantum technology and talent.
- Security Challenges: While quantum computing presents opportunities, it also raises data security concerns, with UBS warning that powerful quantum computers could undermine existing encryption methods, necessitating immediate investments in quantum-safe encryption technologies to address future security threats.
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- Quantum Breakthrough: Microsoft’s VP of Quantum, Zulfi Alam, stated that by 2029, quantum computers will have commercial value, capable of solving problems in 200 seconds that would take classical supercomputers 10,000 years, indicating a significant shift towards commercial applications of quantum computing.
- Reduced Energy Demand: Quantum computers are expected to consume only a fraction of the energy used by traditional data centers, which will significantly lower energy requirements and reduce workloads needed for AI training, thus driving the industry towards more efficient computing models.
- Accelerated Industry Investment: Global investments in quantum technology are rapidly increasing, with China nearing $18 billion in public investment, followed closely by the EU, highlighting the importance placed on the future potential of quantum computing and accelerating the development of related technologies.
- Security Risks and Challenges: While quantum computing presents opportunities, it also poses data security risks, as powerful quantum computers could undermine existing encryption methods, necessitating companies to invest in new quantum-safe encryption technologies in the coming years to ensure data security.
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- SoundHound AI Growth Potential: SoundHound AI achieved a 68% revenue growth in Q3 2025, despite its stock being down about 70% from its all-time high, currently valued at $310 million with a price-to-sales ratio of 20, indicating an attractive buying opportunity.
- Nebius Future Outlook: Nebius is projected to increase its annual recurring revenue from $1.25 billion to between $7 billion and $9 billion by the end of 2026, driven by strong market demand, with a current market cap of $2.5 billion showcasing its immense growth potential in the data center sector.
- IonQ Quantum Computing Leadership: IonQ, as the global leader in quantum computing, faces fierce competition but holds a market cap of $1.2 billion with a current stock price of $33.39, underscoring its significance and potential returns in future technologies.
- Investment Strategy Recommendation: Allocating 5% to 10% of your portfolio to these high-risk stocks, while risky, could significantly accelerate wealth accumulation if successful, especially if the portfolio outperforms the market by a few percentage points annually.
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- Stellar Returns: As of October 2025, trailing 12-month returns for IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum soared between 670% and 6,217%, reflecting strong investor confidence in quantum computing's potential, yet caution is warranted due to underlying risks.
- Massive Market Potential: Analysts at Boston Consulting Group estimate that quantum computing could generate $450 billion to $850 billion in global economic value by 2040, while The Quantum Insider projects a $1 trillion opportunity by 2035, suggesting significant upside for early investors.
- Insider Selling Signals Caution: Despite the optimistic outlook, insiders at IonQ, Rigetti, and D-Wave have collectively sold approximately $615 million more in shares than they purchased over the past year, indicating potential concerns about stock valuations that investors should heed.
- Slow Commercialization: While the applications of quantum computing are promising, these companies face risks of overvaluation and market bubbles, with technology still in its infancy, likely requiring years to achieve profitability.
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