Quantum Computing Industry Holds Massive Potential
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
0mins
Should l Buy IONQ?
Source: Fool
- Market Potential Forecast: According to McKinsey, by 2035, the quantum computing market could generate annual revenues between $28 billion and $72 billion, with a 90% market share potentially leading to $45 billion in revenue for a leading company, highlighting significant market opportunities.
- Divergent Technology Paths: IonQ employs a trapped ion approach using lasers to cool atoms for quantum computing, while D-Wave utilizes quantum annealing focused on optimizing complex problem solutions, with both technologies offering unique advantages that could shape future market dynamics.
- Investment Return Potential: If either D-Wave or IonQ achieves $45 billion in annual revenue, their market caps could soar to $400 billion, translating to a potential gain of 5,233% for D-Wave and 2,885% for IonQ, indicating the high returns possible from investing in these companies.
- Risks and Opportunities: Despite the optimistic outlook for quantum computing, the path to success is fraught with challenges, and investors should carefully manage their positions; even a 1% initial investment could yield over 2,000% returns in the future, becoming a significant driver of portfolio gains.
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Analyst Views on IONQ
Wall Street analysts forecast IONQ stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IONQ is 75.91 USD with a low forecast of 47.00 USD and a high forecast of 100.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
12 Analyst Rating
9 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 30.430
Low
47.00
Averages
75.91
High
100.00
Current: 30.430
Low
47.00
Averages
75.91
High
100.00
About IONQ
IonQ, Inc. is engaged in the quantum computing and networking industry, delivering high-performance systems capable of solving complex commercial and research use cases. Its generation quantum computers, IonQ Forte and IonQ Forte Enterprise, are cutting-edge systems, boasting 36 algorithmic qubits. It sells specialized quantum computing and networking hardware together with related maintenance and support. It also sells access to several quantum computers of various qubit capacities and is in the process of researching and developing technologies for quantum computers with increasing computational capabilities. It makes access to its quantum computers available via three cloud platforms, Amazon Web Services' (AWS) Amazon Braket, Microsoft's Azure Quantum and Google's Cloud Marketplace, and also to select customers via its own cloud service. Its product portfolio also includes quantum key distribution (QKD) systems, quantum random number generators (QRNGs), and single-photon detectors.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.

- Significant Revenue Growth: IonQ's third-quarter sales surged 222% year-over-year to $39.9 million, despite the company facing a net loss exceeding $1 billion, indicating both potential and challenges in the quantum computing market.
- Acquisitions Enhance Capabilities: IonQ bolstered its quantum computing platform through acquisitions like Skyloom and SkyWater Technology, particularly improving its capabilities in quantum chip manufacturing and network construction to address quantum data transmission challenges.
- Rising Operating Costs: Despite revenue growth, IonQ's operating expenses soared to $208.7 million in Q3, resulting in an operating loss of $168.8 million, highlighting the financial pressures stemming from its expansion efforts.
- Strong Cash Flow: As of November 4, IonQ reported $3.5 billion in cash and equivalents with no debt, providing a solid financial foundation for future R&D and market expansion, even as its stock fell 14% year-to-date in early 2026.
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- Technological Integration Advantage: IonQ has strengthened its vertically integrated quantum computing platform through acquisitions like Skyloom and SkyWater Technology, enhancing its quantum chip manufacturing capabilities and network scalability, thereby laying the groundwork for future quantum applications.
- Significant Revenue Growth: IonQ's revenue surged 222% year-over-year to $39.9 million in Q3, indicating strong market demand for its quantum technology, despite facing challenges with soaring operating expenses that resulted in an operating loss of $168.8 million.
- Robust Financial Position: Although IonQ faces substantial losses in 2026 with a net loss of $1.1 billion, it boasts $3.5 billion in cash and equivalents with no debt, ensuring continued investment capacity in research and development.
- Market Opportunity Emerges: The decline in IonQ's stock price presents a buying opportunity for investors, with projected sales between $106 million and $110 million for 2025, highlighting the company's long-term growth potential in the quantum computing sector, even as its current valuation remains high.
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- Market Potential Forecast: According to McKinsey, by 2035, the quantum computing market could generate annual revenues between $28 billion and $72 billion, with a 90% market share potentially leading to $45 billion in revenue for a leading company, highlighting significant market opportunities.
- Divergent Technology Paths: IonQ employs a trapped ion approach using lasers to cool atoms for quantum computing, while D-Wave utilizes quantum annealing focused on optimizing complex problem solutions, with both technologies offering unique advantages that could shape future market dynamics.
- Investment Return Potential: If either D-Wave or IonQ achieves $45 billion in annual revenue, their market caps could soar to $400 billion, translating to a potential gain of 5,233% for D-Wave and 2,885% for IonQ, indicating the high returns possible from investing in these companies.
- Risks and Opportunities: Despite the optimistic outlook for quantum computing, the path to success is fraught with challenges, and investors should carefully manage their positions; even a 1% initial investment could yield over 2,000% returns in the future, becoming a significant driver of portfolio gains.
See More
- Massive Market Potential: McKinsey projects that by 2035, the quantum computing market could generate annual revenues between $28 billion and $72 billion, and if either IonQ or D-Wave captures a 90% market share, it could lead to $45 billion in annual revenue, highlighting significant investment upside.
- Diverse Technological Approaches: IonQ employs a trapped ion method that uses lasers to cool atoms for quantum computing, while D-Wave focuses on quantum annealing to solve optimization and sampling problems, indicating that the future market competition will hinge on the maturity of these technologies.
- Significant Investment Risks: Although both companies could potentially deliver over 1,000% returns, the nascent stage of quantum computing and intense competition necessitate caution, with a recommendation for investors to limit initial positions to 1% of their portfolios to mitigate risks.
- Intense Market Competition: The success of IonQ and D-Wave in the quantum computing sector is not guaranteed, as other competitors exist, prompting investors to stay informed about industry developments to adjust their investment strategies accordingly.
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- Stock Volatility: IonQ's stock has declined by 14% year-to-date in 2026, despite reaching a 52-week high of $84.64 in October 2025, indicating a cautious market sentiment regarding its future growth potential and presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors.
- Technology Expansion: IonQ has strengthened its quantum computing platform through acquisitions like Skyloom and SkyWater Technology, enhancing its capabilities in quantum chip manufacturing and network construction, which will help address challenges in quantum data transmission and improve its competitive position in the market.
- Financial Situation: Despite a 222% year-over-year revenue increase to $39.9 million in Q3, IonQ faced significant financial pressure with operating expenses soaring to $208.7 million, resulting in an operating loss of $168.8 million, highlighting the costs associated with its aggressive expansion strategy.
- Future Outlook: IonQ expects sales to range between $106 million and $110 million in 2025, a substantial increase from $43.1 million in 2024, suggesting that despite the current stock decline, its potential in the quantum computing sector continues to attract investor interest.
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- Investment Return Potential: A $5,000 investment in Amazon in early 2003 would now be worth approximately $1.25 million, illustrating the wealth-building potential of investing in emerging industries, with IonQ as a leading small player in quantum computing hoping to achieve similar returns.
- Technological Breakthroughs and Market Competition: IonQ achieved 99.99% 2-qubit gate fidelity last year, representing a 10 billion times improvement over past standards, and despite competition from tech giants like Alphabet and IBM, IonQ's advancements in quantum computing technology remain significant.
- Financial Status and Profitability Challenges: IonQ reported $68 million in revenue for the first nine months of 2025, a 117% increase year-over-year, yet it faces $406 million in operating losses, highlighting severe profitability challenges, and with less than $1.1 billion in liquidity, it may need to dilute shares or incur debt to sustain operations.
- Investment Risk Assessment: For a $5,000 investment to grow to $1 million, IonQ's market cap must increase from $12.5 billion to $2.5 trillion; while this target is below Alphabet's $4 trillion market cap, IonQ's financial losses and market competition significantly diminish the likelihood of achieving such a goal.
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