Pembina Pipeline Releases 2026 Forecast, Finalizes Cedar LNG Agreement, and Expands Peace Pipeline
2026 Financial Guidance: Pembina Pipeline Corp. forecasts adjusted EBITDA between C$4.125 billion and C$4.425 billion for 2026, indicating a four percent increase in fee-based adjusted EBITDA compared to 2025, with a capital investment program of approximately $1.6 billion.
New Commercial Agreement: The company signed a 12-year agreement with Ovintiv Inc. for 0.5 million tonnes per annum of capacity at the Cedar LNG facility, completing the remarketing of its total 1.5 mtpa allocation.
Peace Pipeline Expansion: Pembina approved a C$200 million expansion of the Peace Pipeline System to enhance propane-plus delivery capacity into the Namao, Alberta hub, with ongoing expansions in northeast British Columbia.
Greenlight Electricity Centre Project: Pembina and Kineticor are progressing on the Greenlight Electricity Centre project, with a final investment decision expected in the first half of 2026.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on PBA
About PBA
About the author

- Earnings Beat: Pembina Pipeline reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of C$0.78, exceeding expectations by C$0.01, indicating resilience in profitability despite a challenging market environment.
- Significant Revenue Decline: The company's revenue for Q4 was C$1.91 billion, reflecting an 11.2% year-over-year decline and missing market expectations by C$70 million, highlighting the impact of industry challenges and weak demand.
- Investor Interest: Despite the revenue drop, analysts believe Pembina Pipeline's high-single-digit upside remains attractive for income investors, suggesting ongoing market confidence in its future performance.
- Cautious Future Outlook: The market holds a cautious view on Pembina Pipeline's prospects for 2026, indicating potential further downside risks, prompting investors to monitor how the company navigates future market challenges.
- Financial Report Submission: Pembina Pipeline Corporation has filed its audited consolidated financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2025, with Canadian securities regulators, ensuring transparency and compliance.
- U.S. Securities Filing: The company also submitted its Form 40-F for the year ended December 31, 2025, to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, further enhancing its compliance and investor trust in the North American market.
- Investor Information Access: Shareholders can request printed copies of the audited financial statements and related management discussions free of charge by contacting Investor Relations, demonstrating the company's commitment to shareholder rights.
- Company Background: Pembina Pipeline Corporation has served the North American energy industry for over 70 years, owning a vast network of strategically located assets and focusing on providing safe and reliable energy solutions that support sustainable development.
- Dividend Declaration: Pembina Pipeline has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.71 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and profitability, which enhances investor confidence.
- Yield Overview: The forward yield of 6.45% is attractive in the current market environment, potentially drawing in income-seeking investors and further boosting the stock's appeal.
- Payment Schedule: The dividend will be payable on March 31, with a record date of March 16 and an ex-dividend date also on March 16, ensuring shareholders receive their earnings promptly and reinforcing their willingness to hold shares.
- Dividend Growth Insights: The ongoing dividend payments, as reflected in PBA's Dividend Scorecard and Yield Chart, demonstrate the company's commitment to shareholders while laying the groundwork for future dividend growth, showcasing a robust strategy in capital management.
- Earnings Decline: Pembina Pipeline Corp reported Q4 earnings of C$489 million, or C$0.78 per share, reflecting a 14.5% decrease from last year's C$572 million and C$0.92 per share, indicating pressure on the company's profitability.
- Revenue Drop: The company's revenue for the fourth quarter fell 18.1% to C$1.13 billion from C$1.38 billion last year, highlighting weak market demand and operational challenges.
- Performance Comparison: The significant declines in both earnings and revenue compared to last year suggest that Pembina Pipeline's competitiveness is under strain, potentially necessitating a reassessment of its strategic direction.
- Future Outlook: The dual decline in earnings and revenue may raise investor concerns about the company's growth potential, particularly against the backdrop of increasing volatility in the energy market, which could impact its stock performance.
- Strong Financial Performance: Pembina reported full-year earnings of CAD 1.694 billion and adjusted EBITDA of CAD 4.289 billion for 2025, indicating robust performance in the energy market despite slight declines compared to 2024, remaining within expected ranges.
- Pipeline Expansion Projects: The company sanctioned two pipeline expansion projects totaling CAD 425 million, expected to add 120,000 barrels per day of transportation capacity to meet rising demand in British Columbia and Alberta, further solidifying its market position.
- Cedar LNG Project Progress: Pembina entered into long-term agreements with PETRONAS and Ovintiv for 1.5 million tonnes per annum of LNG export capacity, highlighting strong global demand and enhancing the company's future revenue potential.
- Dividend Distribution: The board declared a cash dividend of CAD 0.71 per share for Q1 2026, reflecting the company's ongoing commitment to shareholder returns and boosting investor confidence.
- Rating Downgrade Impact: Pembina Pipeline shares fell 1.6% following a downgrade by TD Cowen, indicating market concerns about the company's future performance, which could undermine investor confidence.
- Market Reaction: The downgrade has drawn investor attention to Pembina Pipeline, potentially leading to decreased liquidity in the short term, thereby affecting the stability of the company's stock price and market performance.
- Industry Implications: Amid overall volatility in the energy sector, the downgrade may subject Pembina Pipeline to greater market pressure, particularly in a context of intensified competition and demand uncertainty.
- Investor Strategy Adjustment: Investors may reassess their portfolios regarding Pembina Pipeline, considering the risks associated with the downgrade, which could impact the company's capital inflows and long-term growth potential.









