Palantir's Commercial Business Accelerates Growth
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 18 2026
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Surge in Commercial Revenue: Palantir reported a 109% year-over-year growth in U.S. commercial revenue for 2025, reaching $1.5 billion, showcasing strong momentum in the enterprise software sector, surpassing the 55% growth from government contracts, indicating widespread adoption beyond traditional clients.
- AI Platform Driving Demand: Palantir's Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) enables companies to integrate AI tools directly into operational workflows, facilitating the transition from experimentation to full-scale AI deployment, enhancing supply chain management and decision automation capabilities, thereby strengthening market competitiveness.
- Significant Market Potential: The global enterprise AI market is projected to reach $561 billion by 2034, presenting substantial growth opportunities for Palantir as enterprises continue to adopt its AI platform, potentially expanding the total addressable market beyond government sectors.
- Development of Long-Term Contracts: Palantir's clients typically start with small deployments and gradually expand usage, as evidenced by a utility company's annual contract value increasing from $7 million in Q1 2025 to $31 million by year-end, reflecting long-term reliance and trust in Palantir's solutions.
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Analyst Views on PLTR
Wall Street analysts forecast PLTR stock price to rise
17 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
10 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 131.080
Low
50.00
Averages
192.88
High
255.00
Current: 131.080
Low
50.00
Averages
192.88
High
255.00
About PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc. is engaged in building software to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations. The Company has built four principal software platforms, including Palantir Gotham (Gotham), Palantir Foundry (Foundry), Palantir Apollo (Apollo), and Palantir Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP). Apollo is a cloud-agnostic, single control layer that coordinates ongoing delivery of new features, security updates, and platform configurations, helping to ensure the continuous operation of critical systems. Gotham enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants. Foundry transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data. AIP enables responsible artificial intelligence (AI)-advantage across the enterprise by using primary, core components built to effectively activate large language models and other AI within any organization.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Analysis of Palantir's Stock Price Decline
- AI Platform Drives Growth: Palantir's launch of the Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) in 2023 has led to significant double and triple-digit growth in the commercial market, with total revenue surging 85% in the latest quarter to over $1.6 billion, marking the highest year-over-year growth rate in the company's history and showcasing its strong data utilization capabilities.
- Strong Customer Demand: Despite the stock price decline, Palantir continues to see growth in commercial customer count and total deal value, indicating robust market demand for its AI solutions, and this momentum is expected to drive future revenue growth.
- Valuation Decline Impact: Palantir's price-to-earnings ratio has fallen from 285x in November to 89x today, which, while still higher than many large tech companies, has prompted investors to reconsider their positions amid concerns of an AI bubble, contributing to the stock's pressure.
- Market Environment Shift: As investors have rotated into more stable earnings stocks in an uncertain market environment, Palantir's stock has dropped 26% this year, reflecting a decrease in confidence in growth stocks; however, the company still possesses the potential for long-term earnings growth.
See More
Palantir's Impressive Growth Yet Declining Stock Performance
- Significant Revenue Growth: Palantir reported total revenue exceeding $1.6 billion in the latest quarter, marking an 85% year-over-year increase, which is the highest growth rate in the company's history, indicating strong market demand for its AI-driven software platform despite the stock price not reflecting this growth.
- Customer Base Expansion: Since the launch of its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) in 2023, Palantir has seen substantial growth in both commercial customer count and total deal value, achieving double and triple-digit increases, which suggests a growing penetration in the commercial market and significant future growth potential.
- Valuation Decline: Palantir's price-to-earnings ratio has decreased from 285x in November to 89x currently, which, while still higher than many large tech companies, may attract more investors back to the stock, especially if market confidence in growth stocks begins to recover.
- Market Environment Challenges: Palantir's stock has fallen 26% this year due to investor concerns about an AI bubble and a rotation of funds into other sectors, reflecting a preference for stocks with stable earnings in an uncertain economic environment.
See More
Analysis of Palantir's Stock Price Decline
- Significant Revenue Growth: Palantir's total revenue surged 85% year-over-year in the latest quarter, exceeding $1.6 billion, marking the company's highest annual growth rate, which underscores strong market demand and profitability for its AI-driven software platform.
- Customer Base Expansion: Since the launch of the Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) in 2023, Palantir has achieved significant double and triple-digit growth among government and commercial clients, indicating the company's competitive edge and market appeal in data analytics.
- Reasons for Stock Decline: Despite strong earnings growth and demand, Palantir's stock has fallen 26%, primarily due to investor concerns over its high valuation and caution regarding a potential AI bubble, leading to capital rotation out of the stock.
- Future Outlook: Although Palantir's current price-to-earnings ratio remains higher than many large tech companies at 89x, if investor confidence in growth stocks rebounds, the stock could be poised for recovery, and the company has the potential for long-term earnings growth.
See More
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- Consumer Confidence Boost: The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index rose by 4.1 to 48.9 in June, surpassing expectations of 46.0, indicating a rebound in consumer confidence that could stimulate spending and support economic growth.
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- First Day Trading Performance: SpaceX began trading at $150 per share on its IPO day, an 11% increase from its IPO price, and reached $166 during trading, reflecting a 23% premium, indicating strong investor enthusiasm.
- Long-term Performance Warning: Despite the strong first-day performance, an Edward Jones study found that the average return for 27 tech IPOs was -3% after three months and -14% after six months, suggesting that investors should be cautious about short-term price fluctuations.
- Lack of Profitability: SpaceX reported a staggering net loss of $4.3 billion in Q1 2026, generating only $4.7 billion in revenue, highlighting the significant losses and meager revenues that drive management's urgency to raise fresh capital through a public offering.
- Market Volatility Risks: Research indicates that Elon Musk's behavior increases the volatility of SpaceX's stock, which investors should consider, especially since the initial weeks after an IPO often represent a poor entry point for investment.
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- Strong Debut Performance: SpaceX began trading on June 12 at $150 per share, rising to $166, representing a 23% premium over its IPO price, reflecting strong investor enthusiasm.
- Market Trend Analysis: An Edward Jones study found that the average first-day price increase for 27 tech IPOs was over 35%, but investors should be cautious as the average return was negative 3% after three months.
- Long-Term Performance Warning: Research indicates that IPO stocks typically underperform the market three to five years post-IPO, with many experiencing significant drawdowns in their first year, which SpaceX may also face.
- Financial Condition Consideration: SpaceX reported a staggering net loss of $4.3 billion in Q1 2026, with revenues of only $4.7 billion, highlighting the company's urgent need to raise fresh capital through its IPO to support future growth.
See More
Analysis of Palantir's Stock Price Decline
- AI Platform Drives Growth: Palantir's launch of the Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) in 2023 has led to significant double and triple-digit growth in the commercial market, with total revenue surging 85% in the latest quarter to over $1.6 billion, marking the highest year-over-year growth rate in the company's history and showcasing its strong data utilization capabilities.
- Strong Customer Demand: Despite the stock price decline, Palantir continues to see growth in commercial customer count and total deal value, indicating robust market demand for its AI solutions, and this momentum is expected to drive future revenue growth.
- Valuation Decline Impact: Palantir's price-to-earnings ratio has fallen from 285x in November to 89x today, which, while still higher than many large tech companies, has prompted investors to reconsider their positions amid concerns of an AI bubble, contributing to the stock's pressure.
- Market Environment Shift: As investors have rotated into more stable earnings stocks in an uncertain market environment, Palantir's stock has dropped 26% this year, reflecting a decrease in confidence in growth stocks; however, the company still possesses the potential for long-term earnings growth.
See More
Palantir's Impressive Growth Yet Declining Stock Performance
- Significant Revenue Growth: Palantir reported total revenue exceeding $1.6 billion in the latest quarter, marking an 85% year-over-year increase, which is the highest growth rate in the company's history, indicating strong market demand for its AI-driven software platform despite the stock price not reflecting this growth.
- Customer Base Expansion: Since the launch of its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) in 2023, Palantir has seen substantial growth in both commercial customer count and total deal value, achieving double and triple-digit increases, which suggests a growing penetration in the commercial market and significant future growth potential.
- Valuation Decline: Palantir's price-to-earnings ratio has decreased from 285x in November to 89x currently, which, while still higher than many large tech companies, may attract more investors back to the stock, especially if market confidence in growth stocks begins to recover.
- Market Environment Challenges: Palantir's stock has fallen 26% this year due to investor concerns about an AI bubble and a rotation of funds into other sectors, reflecting a preference for stocks with stable earnings in an uncertain economic environment.
See More
Analysis of Palantir's Stock Price Decline
- Significant Revenue Growth: Palantir's total revenue surged 85% year-over-year in the latest quarter, exceeding $1.6 billion, marking the company's highest annual growth rate, which underscores strong market demand and profitability for its AI-driven software platform.
- Customer Base Expansion: Since the launch of the Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) in 2023, Palantir has achieved significant double and triple-digit growth among government and commercial clients, indicating the company's competitive edge and market appeal in data analytics.
- Reasons for Stock Decline: Despite strong earnings growth and demand, Palantir's stock has fallen 26%, primarily due to investor concerns over its high valuation and caution regarding a potential AI bubble, leading to capital rotation out of the stock.
- Future Outlook: Although Palantir's current price-to-earnings ratio remains higher than many large tech companies at 89x, if investor confidence in growth stocks rebounds, the stock could be poised for recovery, and the company has the potential for long-term earnings growth.
See More
US Stocks Rise on Hopes of Iran Peace Agreement
- Market Rally: US stocks extended Thursday's rally on Friday, with the S&P 500 rising 0.50%, the Dow Jones up 0.70%, and the Nasdaq 100 increasing by 0.64%, reflecting investor optimism about a potential interim peace agreement between the US and Iran.
- Consumer Confidence Boost: The University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index rose by 4.1 to 48.9 in June, surpassing expectations of 46.0, indicating a rebound in consumer confidence that could stimulate spending and support economic growth.
- Oil Price Decline: WTI crude oil prices fell 3.23% on Friday amid hopes for a US-Iran agreement, which may lower transportation costs and positively impact fuel-dependent sectors like airlines.
- Strong IPO Performance: SpaceX closed at $161 per share on Friday, up 19% from Thursday's IPO price of $135, indicating robust market demand and potentially fostering positive sentiment for upcoming AI company IPOs.
See More
Analysis of SpaceX IPO First Day Performance
- First Day Trading Performance: SpaceX began trading at $150 per share on its IPO day, an 11% increase from its IPO price, and reached $166 during trading, reflecting a 23% premium, indicating strong investor enthusiasm.
- Long-term Performance Warning: Despite the strong first-day performance, an Edward Jones study found that the average return for 27 tech IPOs was -3% after three months and -14% after six months, suggesting that investors should be cautious about short-term price fluctuations.
- Lack of Profitability: SpaceX reported a staggering net loss of $4.3 billion in Q1 2026, generating only $4.7 billion in revenue, highlighting the significant losses and meager revenues that drive management's urgency to raise fresh capital through a public offering.
- Market Volatility Risks: Research indicates that Elon Musk's behavior increases the volatility of SpaceX's stock, which investors should consider, especially since the initial weeks after an IPO often represent a poor entry point for investment.
See More
SpaceX IPO Debuts Strongly with 23% Premium
- Strong Debut Performance: SpaceX began trading on June 12 at $150 per share, rising to $166, representing a 23% premium over its IPO price, reflecting strong investor enthusiasm.
- Market Trend Analysis: An Edward Jones study found that the average first-day price increase for 27 tech IPOs was over 35%, but investors should be cautious as the average return was negative 3% after three months.
- Long-Term Performance Warning: Research indicates that IPO stocks typically underperform the market three to five years post-IPO, with many experiencing significant drawdowns in their first year, which SpaceX may also face.
- Financial Condition Consideration: SpaceX reported a staggering net loss of $4.3 billion in Q1 2026, with revenues of only $4.7 billion, highlighting the company's urgent need to raise fresh capital through its IPO to support future growth.
See More
