Palantir Reports Strong Growth Amid Stock Sell-Off
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy PLTR?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Quarterly Revenue Growth: Palantir's latest earnings report reveals a 70% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4, reaching $1.4 billion, demonstrating strong operating profit and cash flow despite stock price declines, indicating the company's competitiveness in the rapidly growing AI market.
- Profitability Improvement: The company reported a GAAP net income of $609 million for Q4, with adjusted free cash flow of $791 million, equating to 56% of its revenue during the period, which not only reflects enhanced profitability but also provides funding support for future expansion.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Palantir projects a 61% year-over-year revenue growth for 2026, with CEO Alex Karp highlighting a remarkable Rule of 40 score of 127%, indicating potential in scaling operating leverage, although concerns about its high valuation persist in the market.
- Stock Price Downside Risk: Despite Palantir's strong business performance, its stock trades at a valuation of 200 times earnings and 70 times sales, leading analysts to believe that such high valuations could result in further stock price declines, urging investors to carefully assess potential risks.
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Analyst Views on PLTR
Wall Street analysts forecast PLTR stock price to rise
17 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
10 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 135.240
Low
50.00
Averages
192.88
High
255.00
Current: 135.240
Low
50.00
Averages
192.88
High
255.00
About PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc. is engaged in building software to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations. The Company has built four principal software platforms, including Palantir Gotham (Gotham), Palantir Foundry (Foundry), Palantir Apollo (Apollo), and Palantir Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP). Apollo is a cloud-agnostic, single control layer that coordinates ongoing delivery of new features, security updates, and platform configurations, helping to ensure the continuous operation of critical systems. Gotham enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants. Foundry transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data. AIP enables responsible artificial intelligence (AI)-advantage across the enterprise by using primary, core components built to effectively activate large language models and other AI within any organization.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Quarterly Revenue Growth: Palantir's latest earnings report reveals a 70% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4, reaching $1.4 billion, demonstrating strong operating profit and cash flow despite stock price declines, indicating the company's competitiveness in the rapidly growing AI market.
- Profitability Improvement: The company reported a GAAP net income of $609 million for Q4, with adjusted free cash flow of $791 million, equating to 56% of its revenue during the period, which not only reflects enhanced profitability but also provides funding support for future expansion.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Palantir projects a 61% year-over-year revenue growth for 2026, with CEO Alex Karp highlighting a remarkable Rule of 40 score of 127%, indicating potential in scaling operating leverage, although concerns about its high valuation persist in the market.
- Stock Price Downside Risk: Despite Palantir's strong business performance, its stock trades at a valuation of 200 times earnings and 70 times sales, leading analysts to believe that such high valuations could result in further stock price declines, urging investors to carefully assess potential risks.
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- Stock Decline: Palantir Technologies' shares have fallen approximately 27% amid the 2026 software sell-off, indicating a market reassessment of its high valuation, which may weaken investor confidence in future growth.
- Strong Financial Performance: Despite the stock decline, Palantir reported a 70% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4 2025, reaching $1.4 billion, with a GAAP net income of $609 million, showcasing its robust business execution.
- Valuation Pressure: Currently, Palantir trades at about 200 times earnings and 70 times sales, suggesting that investors have overly optimistic expectations for future performance, and any slowdown in growth could lead to significant valuation pressure.
- Dilution Risk: In 2025, Palantir incurred $684 million in stock-based compensation, a substantial figure relative to its $4.5 billion revenue, indicating that ongoing dilution could hinder the company's growth potential and increase the risk of further stock price declines.
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- Retail Trading Dominance: A study co-authored by Direxion reveals that nearly 90% of trading in leveraged single-stock ETFs in the U.S. is driven by individual investors, highlighting their strong interest in short-term stock volatility and significantly propelling market growth.
- Significant Market Share: Last year, trading in leveraged single-stock ETFs accounted for 8% of total trading across U.S. exchanges, indicating the widespread adoption of these investment vehicles among retail investors and exacerbating market speculation.
- Surge in Product Offerings: Currently, there are 355 leveraged single-stock ETFs listed in the U.S., with 80 launched since January 2025, demonstrating the increasing competition among asset managers to cater to retail demand.
- Regulatory Challenges: Despite repeated efforts by asset managers to persuade the SEC to allow single-stock leveraged products for higher returns, the SEC's resistance may hinder further expansion of this market, impacting future investment strategies.
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- Stock Decline Reasons: Palantir has been a market favorite since 2023, but its stock has dropped about 35% in 2026, reflecting concerns over its high valuation despite excellent Q4 2025 results and optimistic 2026 guidance.
- Valuation Analysis: With a forward P/E ratio exceeding 100, Palantir is significantly more expensive than most stocks; to achieve a more reasonable 30x valuation, earnings must grow by 243%, while analysts project only 62% and 41% growth for 2026 and 2027, respectively.
- Market Sentiment: Although Palantir excels in rapid growth and execution, the market's skepticism about its high valuation suggests that investors do not see it as worthwhile to buy on dips, as future growth expectations are already priced in.
- Competitive Landscape: Compared to Palantir, other rapidly growing AI stocks have more reasonable valuations, offering greater long-term return potential despite slower growth rates, which diminishes Palantir's investment appeal.
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- Stock Decline Reasons: Palantir's stock has dropped about 35% since reaching an all-time high in October 2025, despite excellent Q4 2025 results and a strong 2026 guidance, indicating robust growth potential but raising valuation concerns.
- Valuation Pressure: With a forward P/E ratio exceeding 100, Palantir's high valuation has led to stock price declines, as analysts suggest a more realistic target P/E of around 30, implying a need for 243% earnings growth over the next two years.
- Growth Expectations vs. Reality: Although analysts project growth rates of 62% and 41% for 2026 and 2027 respectively, this only translates to 129% growth over two years, suggesting that much of the future growth is already priced in, prompting caution among investors.
- Cautious Investment Advice: Given Palantir's high valuation and market skepticism regarding its future growth, analysts recommend caution for investors considering buying Palantir stock, especially as other rapidly growing AI stocks present more attractive investment opportunities.
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- Poor Stock Performance: Since reaching an all-time high in October 2025, Palantir's stock has declined approximately 35%, reflecting market concerns over its high valuation despite excellent Q4 2025 results and promising 2026 guidance.
- Significant Valuation Pressure: Palantir's forward price-to-earnings ratio exceeds 100, far above most stocks in the market, with analysts suggesting that a 243% growth is needed to justify this valuation, while expected growth rates for 2026 and 2027 are only 62% and 41%, respectively.
- Shift in Market Sentiment: Although Palantir excels in the AI sector, the market has begun to question its high valuation, leading to diminished investor confidence in its future growth and triggering the stock's decline.
- Cautious Investment Advice: Analysts recommend caution when considering Palantir, noting that there are other rapidly growing AI stocks with more attractive valuations that may offer higher long-term return potential.
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