Our Calculations Show VPU Could Reach $211
Vanguard Utilities ETF Analysis: The Vanguard Utilities ETF (VPU) has an implied analyst target price of $210.74 per unit, indicating a potential upside of 9.85% from its recent trading price of $191.85.
Notable Holdings with Upside: Key underlying holdings of VPU, such as Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO), Evergy Inc (EVRG), and Xcel Energy Inc (XEL), show significant upside potential based on analyst target prices, with expected increases of 15.63%, 11.37%, and 10.50% respectively.
Analyst Target Justification: The article raises questions about whether analysts' target prices are justified or overly optimistic, suggesting that high targets could lead to future downgrades if they do not align with market realities.
Investor Research Importance: Investors are encouraged to conduct further research to assess the validity of analyst targets in light of recent developments in the companies and the industry.
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Stock Market Trends: The stock market has seen significant growth, particularly in companies related to microchips and AI, with GE Vernova establishing itself as a major player in the industrial sector, trading near an all-time high of $800.
Energy Demand and Supply: The increasing demand for electricity to power AI models has strained the aging global power grid, leading utilities to revert to natural gas turbines to meet the 24/7 operational needs of data centers.
Financial Performance: GE Vernova's recent financial results highlight aggressive growth, particularly in its Power segment, with a 77% surge in orders and a significant increase in gas turbine backlogs, indicating strong future revenue potential.
Strategic Alliances and Investments: The company is expanding its manufacturing capacity and has secured strategic alliances to ensure hardware availability through the 2030s, while also focusing on profitable deals in the wind sector despite challenges in that market.
Energy Supercycle Impact: GE Vernova is benefiting from a significant energy supercycle, which is driving growth and opportunities in the energy sector.
Market Positioning: The company is strategically positioned to capitalize on the increasing demand for energy solutions, enhancing its market presence.
Innovation and Technology: GE Vernova is focusing on innovative technologies to improve energy efficiency and sustainability in its operations.
Future Prospects: The outlook for GE Vernova remains positive as it continues to adapt to changing energy market dynamics and consumer needs.
- Turbine Reservation Agreement: GE Vernova has entered into a gas turbine and generator reservation agreement with Maxim Power Corp., requiring a non-refundable deposit to secure the 7HA.02 turbine for delivery by 2030, contributing up to $60 million to the Prairie Lights Power project in Alberta.
- Strong Short-Term Trend: GE Vernova's stock is currently trading 12.1% above its 20-day simple moving average and 23.4% above its 100-day SMA, indicating a robust short-term trend, with shares increasing by 102.43% over the past 12 months.
- Financial Update Forecast: GE Vernova is set to provide its financial update on April 22, 2026, with an EPS estimate of $1.93 and revenue expected to reach $9.22 billion, reflecting significant growth compared to last year and highlighting the company's strong growth potential in the electric power sector.
- Optimistic Analyst Ratings: The stock carries a “Buy” rating with an average price target of $782.24, with RBC Capital and Goldman Sachs raising their targets, indicating analysts' confidence in the company's future growth prospects.
- Investment Plan: Xcel Energy plans to invest over $60 billion in the next five years to modernize and expand the grid, adding advanced transmission and distribution infrastructure, new natural gas and renewable generation, thereby enhancing overall operational efficiency and supporting sustainability goals.
- Profitability Improvement: The ongoing earnings per share for 2025 reached $3.80, up from $3.50 in 2024, primarily driven by increased electric and natural gas revenues, indicating strong performance and sustained profitability in the market.
- Data Center Expansion: The company has raised its contracted capacity target for data centers from 3 gigawatts to 6 gigawatts by the end of 2026, which is expected to drive significant sales growth in the coming years, further solidifying its position in the rapidly growing data center market.
- Strategic Partnerships: Xcel Energy signed an MOU with NextEra Energy to co-develop generation, storage, and interconnection projects, demonstrating the company's strategic commitment to advancing renewable energy initiatives and laying the groundwork for future growth.
- Earnings Performance: Xcel Energy reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.95, aligning with expectations, while revenue reached $3.56 billion, reflecting a 14.1% year-over-year increase but missing estimates by $220 million, indicating challenges in revenue growth.
- Future Earnings Guidance: The company projects ongoing earnings for 2026 to be between $4.04 and $4.16 per share, providing investors with a forward-looking profitability outlook, although current performance fell short of market expectations.
- Dividend Appeal: Xcel Energy is positioned as an upcoming Dividend Aristocrat, attracting investors seeking stable cash flows and dividend growth, thereby enhancing its investment appeal in the utilities sector.
- Strategic Partnership: Xcel Energy signed a memorandum of understanding with NextEra Energy to boost the delivery of generation resources, which will aid the company's expansion in the renewable energy sector and strengthen its competitive position in the market.
- Earnings Performance: Xcel Energy's 2025 GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) stood at $3.42, a slight decrease from $3.44 in 2024, reflecting the impact of infrastructure investment recovery and electric sales growth, partially offset by rising interest, depreciation, and operating maintenance expenses.
- Ongoing Profitability Improvement: The ongoing diluted EPS for 2025 was $3.80, significantly up from $3.50 in 2024, primarily driven by growth in electric sales and recovery of infrastructure investments, showcasing the company's effective strategies in enhancing profitability.
- 2026 Outlook: Xcel Energy reaffirmed its EPS guidance for 2026 in the range of $4.04 to $4.16, indicating confidence in future performance, and plans to support critical system investments through strategic alliances with industry-leading development and supply chain partners.
- Infrastructure Investments: In 2025, the company invested in critical infrastructure, including Phase 2 of the Sherco solar facility and the conversion of the Harrington coal plant to natural gas, aimed at enhancing customer service capabilities while maintaining its competitive edge in a low energy cost market.






