Oracle Stock Declines Amid OpenAI Partnership Concerns
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 12 2026
0mins
Should l Buy ORCL?
Source: Fool
- Stock Decline: As of February 9, Oracle's stock has fallen nearly 19% to $154.56, driven by investor concerns regarding its partnership with OpenAI, which has negatively impacted the company's market capitalization of $452 billion.
- Increasing Debt: Oracle is raising additional debt to expand its AI data centers, which may increase financial pressure in the short term; however, this strategy could drive revenue growth in the long term, particularly as demand for data centers remains strong.
- Analyst Rating Upgrade: DA Davidson upgraded Oracle's rating from 'neutral' to 'buy', suggesting that concerns over the OpenAI partnership are overblown, which reflects a growing confidence in Oracle's future performance.
- TikTok Investment Potential: Oracle now owns 15% of TikTok USA, which could lead to significant future revenue; despite the concentration risk, the long-term growth potential makes it an attractive investment for long-term investors.
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Analyst Views on ORCL
Wall Street analysts forecast ORCL stock price to rise
34 Analyst Rating
25 Buy
9 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 152.960
Low
180.00
Averages
309.59
High
400.00
Current: 152.960
Low
180.00
Averages
309.59
High
400.00
About ORCL
Oracle Corporation offers integrated suites of applications plus secure, autonomous infrastructure in the Oracle Cloud. The Company operates through three businesses: cloud and license, hardware and service. Its cloud and license business is engaged in the sale, marketing and delivery of its enterprise applications and infrastructure technologies through cloud and on-premise deployment models including its cloud services and license support offerings, and its cloud license and on-premise license offerings. Its hardware business provides infrastructure technologies including Oracle Engineered Systems, servers, storage, industry-specific hardware, operating systems, virtualization, management and other hardware-related software to support diverse IT environments. Its services business provides services to customers and partners to help maximize the performance of their investments in Oracle applications and infrastructure technologies.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Revenue Performance Review: Oracle reported $16.06 billion in revenue last quarter, reflecting a 14.2% year-over-year increase; however, it fell short of analysts' expectations, indicating potential investor concerns regarding the company's performance in revenue and billings.
- Market Expectations Rise: This quarter, Oracle's revenue is expected to grow by 19.8% year-over-year, a significant improvement from the 6.4% growth recorded in the same quarter last year, suggesting an increasing optimism among investors regarding the company's future performance.
- Analyst Confidence Stable: Over the past 30 days, analysts covering Oracle have generally reaffirmed their revenue estimates, indicating a positive outlook for the company ahead of earnings, despite having missed Wall Street's expectations multiple times over the past two years.
- Industry Sentiment Shift: While Oracle's stock has declined by 2.6% over the past month, the overall data and analytics software sector has seen an average increase of 2.7%, reflecting positive sentiment in the market that may support Oracle's future performance.
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- G7 Meeting Outlook: Energy ministers from G7 countries are set to meet on Tuesday to discuss the potential release of strategic oil reserves; although no decision was made during Monday's finance ministers' meeting, expectations of a short-term energy shock remain, which could influence future oil price trends.
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- Market Recovery: On Monday, U.S. stocks rallied, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining over 300 points during the session, closing at 22,695.95, showcasing a strong rebound in tech stocks despite last week's overall declines.
- Major Index Movements: The Dow Jones rose by approximately 239 points to close at 47,740.80, while the S&P 500 increased by 0.83% to 6,795.99, reflecting optimistic market sentiment, particularly in communication, healthcare, and information technology sectors.
- Sector Performance Divergence: While most sectors closed higher, energy and financial stocks fell, indicating internal market divergences that could affect investor confidence and future market trends.
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- Market Dynamics: U.S. stock futures are trading lower this Tuesday morning, reflecting a cautious investor sentiment that may influence trading decisions throughout the day.
- Investor Focus: Despite the overall market downturn, certain individual stocks may still attract investor attention, indicating a trend of market differentiation that could lead to capital flowing into specific sectors or companies.
- Expected Volatility: Market participants anticipate increased volatility in the coming days as economic data and corporate earnings reports are released, necessitating close attention to relevant information.
- Information Source: Market news and data provided by Benzinga offer real-time updates for investors, assisting them in making more informed investment decisions, although specific investment advice is not provided.
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- Video Update: Today's video discusses recent updates affecting Oracle and other AI stocks, providing insights into market trends and investment opportunities that help investors navigate potential market shifts.
- Market Focus: The stock prices mentioned in the video are pre-market prices from March 9, 2026, reflecting ongoing investor interest and enthusiasm in the AI sector, which may influence short-term trading strategies.
- Subscription Recommendation: The video encourages viewers to subscribe for more related information, indicating the content creator's commitment to providing ongoing market analysis and investment advice, enhancing viewer engagement.
- Special Offer Link: The special offer link included in the video may attract viewers to learn more about related investment products, aiming to enhance their investment decision-making capabilities and market participation.
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- Market Performance Analysis: As of pre-market trading on March 9, 2026, Oracle's stock failed to make it onto The Motley Fool Stock Advisor's list of the top 10 stocks, indicating relative weakness in investor sentiment that could impact future investment appeal.
- Return Comparison: Compared to stocks recommended by The Motley Fool, Oracle's performance appears lackluster, with past recommendations like Netflix and Nvidia yielding returns of 534,008% and 1,090,073% respectively, highlighting Oracle's disadvantage in potential returns.
- Competitive Landscape: Despite having a solid technological foundation in AI, Oracle's exclusion from the recommendation list may reflect market concerns about its future growth potential, especially when compared to competitors like Nvidia and Intel.
- Investor Confidence Shaken: Given that The Motley Fool Stock Advisor boasts an average return of 949%, significantly outpacing the S&P 500's 190%, Oracle's absence from the list could lead to diminished investor confidence in its future performance, potentially affecting its stock price trajectory.
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