Nvidia's Earnings Exceed Expectations, Future Growth Promising
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 03 2026
0mins
Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: Fool
- Strong Performance: Nvidia reported a net income of $120.1 billion for Q4 FY2026, a 64.5% increase from $72.9 billion in FY2025, demonstrating robust demand and profitability in the AI sector, solidifying its position as the second most profitable company globally.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Nvidia's revenue for FY2026 reached $215.9 billion, up 65.5% from $130.5 billion in FY2025, with Q1 FY2027 revenue guidance at $78 billion, reflecting a 14.5% quarter-over-quarter increase, indicating sustained market demand and strong sales capabilities.
- Customer Concentration Risk: While Nvidia's top five customers account for over 50% of its data center revenue, their capital expenditure expectations have risen by nearly $120 billion since early 2026, approaching $700 billion in total, suggesting the company remains in an expansion phase within the AI spending cycle.
- Optimistic Investment Outlook: Nvidia's potential investments in emerging companies like Anthropic and OpenAI could total $30 billion, indicating a strategy to diversify its customer base and reduce reliance on traditional major clients, thereby laying a foundation for future growth.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 175.750
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 175.750
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is an artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. Its segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing and networking platforms and AI solutions and software, and automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions, including software. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and personal computers (PCs), and Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics. Its technology stack includes the foundational NVIDIA CUDA development platform that runs on all NVIDIA GPUs, as well as hundreds of domain-specific software libraries, frameworks, algorithms, software development kits (SDKs), and application programming interfaces (APIs). Its platforms address four markets, which include Data Center, Gaming, Professional Visualization, and Automotive.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Nvidia's Future Outlook Remains Bullish
- Strong Earnings Report: Nvidia reported total revenue of $215.9 billion for fiscal year 2026, marking a 65% year-over-year increase, which underscores the company's robust growth potential in the AI chip market and solidifies its market leadership.
- Surging Order Forecast: CEO Jensen Huang indicated that Nvidia expects approximately $1 trillion in purchase orders for its Blackwell and Vera Rubin chips by 2027, doubling last year's forecast of $500 billion, signaling sustained strong demand for AI chips.
- Future Revenue Expectations: Nvidia anticipates first-quarter revenue of $78 billion for fiscal year 2027, representing an almost 77% increase compared to the same period last year, reflecting strong growth potential in the Agentic AI applications sector, which will further drive demand for AI chips.
- High Market Valuation: Despite Nvidia's forward P/E ratio of 30, significantly above the average of 20.9 for the tech sector, investors believe the premium is justified given the company's outstanding financial results and its position in a rapidly growing market.
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- Long-Term Performance: Over the past decade, this ETF has generated a total return of 274%, translating to an annualized gain of 14%, demonstrating strong performance in volatile markets and attracting investors optimistic about the American economy.
- Tech Sector Dominance: The information technology sector accounts for 32.4% of the ETF's portfolio, with Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft making up 19% combined, reflecting investor confidence in the future of artificial intelligence and its significance in the market.
- Market Volatility Strategy: Despite heightened market volatility, the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF is still viewed as an ideal long-term investment choice, as it is expected to provide stable returns for investors over the next five years and beyond.
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- Growing Capital Expenditure: The five major hyperscalers are projected to spend $700 billion on AI infrastructure by 2026, providing robust market support for Micron's memory and storage chips, further driving its business growth.
- Supply Chain Transformation: Micron not only supplies dynamic random access memory (DRAM) and NAND flash but is also actively expanding its manufacturing capacity to meet the increasing computational demands, thereby solidifying its competitive edge in the AI chip sector.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: Although Micron's applications are more specialized compared to Nvidia, its importance in the AI revolution is becoming increasingly evident, and it is expected to continue benefiting from the long-term tailwinds of accelerated capital expenditures from big tech.
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- Profit Margin Improvement Needed: Boeing must continue to widen its profit margins to restore operational efficiency, with long-term debt of $52.6 billion necessitating careful management of interest expenses; improving production costs is essential for profitability.
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- Nvidia's Market Leadership: Nvidia's GPUs are complex logic chips supported by a robust ecosystem, having established itself as the premier growth stock in recent years, currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 21 times, with estimates dropping to 16 times for the next fiscal year, indicating strong investment potential.
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- Market Performance Decline: The Magnificent Seven tech stocks, which have excelled in the market over the past few years, have recently faced declines or stagnation due to concerns about AI revenue opportunities and uncertainties in the economic and geopolitical landscape, impacting investor confidence.
- AI Chip Market Outlook: While Nvidia leads the AI chip market, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, as its chip manufacturer, is expected to play a significant role in future AI growth due to its diversified product line and broad market demand, thereby expanding its market opportunities.
- Broadcom's Growth Potential: Broadcom forecasts AI chip revenue exceeding $100 billion by 2027, successfully meeting strong customer demand with its custom chips, indicating robust growth potential in the AI sector.
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Nvidia's Future Outlook Remains Bullish
- Strong Earnings Report: Nvidia reported total revenue of $215.9 billion for fiscal year 2026, marking a 65% year-over-year increase, which underscores the company's robust growth potential in the AI chip market and solidifies its market leadership.
- Surging Order Forecast: CEO Jensen Huang indicated that Nvidia expects approximately $1 trillion in purchase orders for its Blackwell and Vera Rubin chips by 2027, doubling last year's forecast of $500 billion, signaling sustained strong demand for AI chips.
- Future Revenue Expectations: Nvidia anticipates first-quarter revenue of $78 billion for fiscal year 2027, representing an almost 77% increase compared to the same period last year, reflecting strong growth potential in the Agentic AI applications sector, which will further drive demand for AI chips.
- High Market Valuation: Despite Nvidia's forward P/E ratio of 30, significantly above the average of 20.9 for the tech sector, investors believe the premium is justified given the company's outstanding financial results and its position in a rapidly growing market.
See More
Analysis of Vanguard S&P 500 ETF Investment Value
- Low Expense Ratio Advantage: The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF charges an ultra-low expense ratio of just 0.03%, allowing investors to gain exposure to 500 of America's largest companies at minimal cost, thereby achieving higher net returns over the long term.
- Long-Term Performance: Over the past decade, this ETF has generated a total return of 274%, translating to an annualized gain of 14%, demonstrating strong performance in volatile markets and attracting investors optimistic about the American economy.
- Tech Sector Dominance: The information technology sector accounts for 32.4% of the ETF's portfolio, with Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft making up 19% combined, reflecting investor confidence in the future of artificial intelligence and its significance in the market.
- Market Volatility Strategy: Despite heightened market volatility, the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF is still viewed as an ideal long-term investment choice, as it is expected to provide stable returns for investors over the next five years and beyond.
See More
Micron Technology Emerges as a Key Player in AI Chip Market
- Surging Market Demand: As the demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) in AI models continues to rise, Micron Technology's stock has surged 309% over the past 12 months, highlighting its critical role in AI infrastructure.
- Growing Capital Expenditure: The five major hyperscalers are projected to spend $700 billion on AI infrastructure by 2026, providing robust market support for Micron's memory and storage chips, further driving its business growth.
- Supply Chain Transformation: Micron not only supplies dynamic random access memory (DRAM) and NAND flash but is also actively expanding its manufacturing capacity to meet the increasing computational demands, thereby solidifying its competitive edge in the AI chip sector.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: Although Micron's applications are more specialized compared to Nvidia, its importance in the AI revolution is becoming increasingly evident, and it is expected to continue benefiting from the long-term tailwinds of accelerated capital expenditures from big tech.
See More
Boeing Stock Outlook: Key Challenges Ahead
- Critical Role in Artemis: Boeing's responsibility for the 212-foot rocket in the Artemis moon mission is crucial, as any failure could reignite concerns about its design and manufacturing capabilities, thereby impacting investor confidence significantly.
- Growing Order Backlog: Despite a slump in orders following the 737 MAX incidents in 2019, Boeing's order backlog has reached a new record since 2022, indicating a recovery in market confidence about future revenues, although orders are not guaranteed.
- Profit Margin Improvement Needed: Boeing must continue to widen its profit margins to restore operational efficiency, with long-term debt of $52.6 billion necessitating careful management of interest expenses; improving production costs is essential for profitability.
- Certification Approvals Required: The 737 MAX 10 and 777X aircraft need certification in the near future, with the former expected by year-end and the latter by 2027; delays in these approvals could hinder Boeing's competitive position and profit growth.
See More
Sandisk Thrives in NAND Supercycle Amid AI Boom
- Sandisk Stock Surge: Sandisk emerged as the best-performing stock in the Russell 1000 Index in Q1, with a staggering 194% increase in share price, driven by a NAND flash memory shortage that significantly boosted revenue and earnings growth.
- Nvidia's Market Leadership: Nvidia's GPUs are complex logic chips supported by a robust ecosystem, having established itself as the premier growth stock in recent years, currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 21 times, with estimates dropping to 16 times for the next fiscal year, indicating strong investment potential.
- Broadcom's Growth Potential: Although Broadcom's current P/E ratio stands at 27.5 times, its explosive growth in the AI infrastructure market is expected to lower this to 17.5 times, highlighting its leadership in networking and custom AI chips.
- Importance of AI Infrastructure: As data centers expand, Broadcom's leading position in networking and ASIC technology becomes increasingly critical, enabling customers to convert chip designs into scalable physical chips, thereby enhancing its competitive edge in the market.
See More
The Magnificent Seven Tech Stocks Face Challenges
- Market Performance Decline: The Magnificent Seven tech stocks, which have excelled in the market over the past few years, have recently faced declines or stagnation due to concerns about AI revenue opportunities and uncertainties in the economic and geopolitical landscape, impacting investor confidence.
- AI Chip Market Outlook: While Nvidia leads the AI chip market, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, as its chip manufacturer, is expected to play a significant role in future AI growth due to its diversified product line and broad market demand, thereby expanding its market opportunities.
- Broadcom's Growth Potential: Broadcom forecasts AI chip revenue exceeding $100 billion by 2027, successfully meeting strong customer demand with its custom chips, indicating robust growth potential in the AI sector.
- Nebius's Rapid Growth: Nebius Group excels in the AI cloud services space, achieving annual recurring revenue of $1.25 billion, with expectations to grow to $7 billion to $9 billion this year, showcasing its competitiveness and future growth potential in the rapidly expanding AI market.
See More
