Nvidia Reports 62% Revenue Growth in Q3 Amid AI Spending Concerns
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Significant Revenue Growth: Nvidia's fiscal Q3 revenue surged 62% year-over-year, reflecting strong performance in the AI chip market, although investor concerns about sustainability may impact future stock performance.
- Surge in Capital Expenditure: Tech giants like Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft have announced massive investments in AI infrastructure, which are expected to boost Nvidia's sales, despite doubts about the sustainability of such spending.
- Intensifying Competition Risks: Amazon's in-house AI chip business has surpassed a $10 billion annual revenue run rate, and its Trainium2 chip is fully subscribed, indicating competitors' efforts to reduce AI chip costs, potentially threatening Nvidia's market share.
- Valuation Pressure: Nvidia's current price-to-earnings ratio stands at 45, with a forward P/E ratio of 24; while its earnings are growing rapidly, market concerns about its valuation may lead to stock price pressure, prompting investors to carefully assess potential risks.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 182.810
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 182.810
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms, and DGX Cloud computing services. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Optimistic Earnings Forecast: Nvidia anticipates fourth-quarter revenue for fiscal 2026 to reach $65 billion, representing a 65% year-over-year growth, highlighting the company's strong demand in the AI chip market and its leadership position.
- Increased Capital Expenditures: Major tech companies plan to further increase capital expenditures in 2026, primarily for AI infrastructure, which will directly boost Nvidia's GPU sales and solidify its market dominance.
- Surge in Product Demand: CEO Jensen Huang noted that demand for the Blackwell platform data center products is “off the charts,” indicating rapid growth in market demand for Nvidia's AI computing products.
- Record of Exceeding Estimates: Nvidia has surpassed Wall Street's earnings expectations in 20 out of the last 22 quarters, demonstrating strong performance stability and management's clear visibility into future results, with expectations to continue this trend.
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SoftBank Group Corp's Decision: SoftBank Group Corp has decided to dissolve its share stake in Nvidia Corp, indicating a strategic shift in its investment portfolio.
SEC Filing: The dissolution of the stake was formally communicated through a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), highlighting regulatory compliance in the process.
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- Strategic Partnership Deepening: Meta has entered into a multi-year strategic partnership with Nvidia, planning to adopt Nvidia's Confidential Computing technology for WhatsApp, enhancing user data confidentiality and integrity while introducing AI-powered features, further advancing Meta's AI infrastructure development.
- Data Center Upgrade: Meta will deploy Nvidia's Grace CPUs for the first large-scale application in its data center production, expected to significantly improve performance per watt, enhancing operational efficiency and supporting Meta's ambitions in AI.
- Increased Capital Expenditure: In its latest earnings report, Meta projected capital expenditures between $115 billion and $135 billion for 2026, a substantial increase from $72.22 billion in 2025, primarily aimed at developing Meta Superintelligence Labs, highlighting its commitment to AI technology.
- Market Reaction: In recent market activity, Meta's shares rose 0.89% in after-hours trading, while Nvidia's shares increased by 1.25%, despite Meta's stock declining over 10% in the past year, indicating cautious optimism in the market regarding the new partnership.
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- Nvidia's Growth Potential: Nvidia is projected to achieve a 57% annual growth rate in 2026, despite a year-over-year decline, reflecting strong market demand, particularly as AI capital expenditures are expected to exceed $500 billion, indicating rapid industry expansion.
- TSMC's Critical Role: TSMC anticipates nearly 30% revenue growth in 2026, while AI-related chip revenue is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of nearly 60% from 2024 to 2029, underscoring its importance and future growth potential in the AI supply chain.
- Nebius Group's Rapid Ascent: Nebius Group's annual run rate is expected to reach $1.25 billion in 2025 and soar to between $7 billion and $9 billion by the end of 2026, showcasing its strong growth potential in the AI cloud computing market, making it a potential top stock for 2026.
- Overall AI Industry Outlook: As AI technology continues to evolve, investors will see more companies benefiting from this trend, particularly in the chip design and manufacturing sectors, which are expected to become investment hotspots in the coming years.
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- Nvidia's Growth Potential: Nvidia is projected to achieve a 57% annual growth rate in fiscal 2026, indicating strong market demand, especially with the anticipated reopening to China, which is expected to further boost its growth.
- TSMC's Market Position: TSMC expects overall revenue to grow nearly 30% in 2026, and from 2024 to 2029, AI-related chip revenue is forecasted to rise at a nearly 60% compound annual growth rate, highlighting its critical role in the AI supply chain.
- Nebius Group's Rapid Expansion: Nebius Group anticipates its annual run rate will surge from $1.25 billion in 2025 to between $7 billion and $9 billion by the end of this year, indicating significant potential in the AI cloud computing market and positioning it as a top stock for 2026.
- Investor Choices: While Nvidia is considered a top investment, analysts have identified 10 other stocks that could yield substantial returns in the coming years, urging investors to make informed decisions.
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- Semiconductor Investment Boost: David Tepper's Appaloosa Management aggressively added 1 million shares of Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU) during the quarter, bringing its total holdings to 1.5 million shares valued at over $428 million, indicating strong confidence in the semiconductor sector's recovery.
- Tech Giants Trimmed: Despite the reductions, Alibaba remains Appaloosa's largest single holding at 10.88% of the total portfolio, down from 15.61% in the previous quarter, reflecting a cautious stance on Chinese tech stocks.
- Amazon and Nvidia Reductions: Appaloosa trimmed its stake in Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) by approximately 320,000 shares, a 12.8% decrease, while also reducing Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) by 10.5%, liquidating 200,000 shares, indicating Tepper's strategic adjustments in response to market dynamics.
- Shifting Investment Strategy: Tepper appears to be moving “down the stack,” focusing on hardware components that drive AI rather than chip designers, showcasing a reassessment of hardware value and optimism about future growth potential.
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