Nike (NKE) Reports Over $46 Billion Revenue in FY2025 Amid 55% Stock Decline
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 16 2026
0mins
Source: Fool
- Revenue Performance: Nike generated over $46 billion in revenue for fiscal 2025, despite a 9.8% year-over-year decline, reflecting pressures from weak market demand that have impacted investor confidence.
- Earnings Decline: The company reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.16 for FY2025, a 42% year-over-year drop, with a further 28% decline expected in FY2026 due to high tariffs and promotional activities in China.
- Brand Strength: Despite challenges, Nike's gross margin remained at 40.6% in Q2 2026, indicating its pricing power and brand influence, with management focusing on product innovation to drive customer excitement.
- Investment Risks: With a 55% stock price decline over the past five years, Nike's strong brand is overshadowed by weak fundamentals, making it less appealing as a buy-and-hold stock, prompting investors to proceed with caution.
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Analyst Views on NKE
Wall Street analysts forecast NKE stock price to rise
21 Analyst Rating
14 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 45.930
Low
62.00
Averages
76.11
High
110.00
Current: 45.930
Low
62.00
Averages
76.11
High
110.00
About NKE
NIKE, Inc. is engaged in the designing, marketing and distributing of athletic footwear, apparel, equipment and accessories and services for sports and fitness activities. The Company's operating segments include North America; Europe, Middle East & Africa (EMEA); Greater China; and Asia Pacific & Latin America (APLA). It sells a line of equipment and accessories under the NIKE Brand name, including bags, socks, sport balls, eyewear, timepieces, digital devices, bats, gloves, protective equipment and other equipment designed for sports activities. It also designs products specifically for the Jordan Brand and Converse. The Jordan Brand designs, distributes and licenses athletic and casual footwear, apparel and accessories predominantly focused on basketball performance and culture using the Jumpman trademark. The Company also designs, distributes and licenses casual sneakers, apparel and accessories under the Chuck Taylor, All Star, One Star, Star Chevron and Jack Purcell trademarks.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Declining Performance: Nike's stock has dropped 28% in 2026 and 66% over the past five years, indicating weakened demand for its high-priced products and intensified market competition, leading to significant financial challenges for the company.
- CEO Transition: Since Elliott Hill took over as CEO in 2024, Nike aimed to rebuild relationships with key partners, yet there has been little noticeable growth, reflecting the impact of changing market conditions on the company's strategy.
- Intensified Market Competition: Consumers are increasingly opting for cheaper products, putting Nike at a disadvantage against online retailers, and unless it adjusts its strategy, it is expected to continue facing a challenging market environment.
- Uncertain Future Outlook: With Nike's year-end earnings report approaching, analysts remain cautious due to weak market demand, suggesting that investors should adopt a wait-and-see approach to avoid investing in uncertain conditions.
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- Brand Partnership Impact: NBA star Stephen Curry has signed a long-term shoe and apparel deal with Chinese sportswear brand Li Ning, which could disrupt the basketball shoe market for Nike and Adidas in China, while also affecting brands like Under Armour and Skechers.
- Market Expansion Potential: The partnership will focus on developing professional sports equipment across multiple categories, expected to help both the Curry brand and Li Ning expand globally in basketball, golf, and lifestyle sportswear, enhancing their market competitiveness.
- Athlete Perspective: Curry emphasized that Li Ning approaches its business from an athlete's perspective, aiming to inspire the next generation through high-quality and innovative products, highlighting that their collaboration will foster mutual growth for both brands.
- End of Historical Partnership: The 12-year association between Curry and Under Armour concluded at the end of 2025, and this new collaboration with Li Ning marks a significant shift in his career, potentially altering his positioning in the sports equipment market.
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- Stock Decline: Nike (NKE) has dropped 28% in 2026 so far and has seen a total decline of 66% over the past five years, indicating a significant loss of competitiveness in the market and a decline in investor confidence.
- Management Change: Since Elliott Hill took over as CEO in September 2024, Nike aimed to revitalize its business by rebuilding relationships with key partners; however, growth has remained elusive, and the turnaround has not materialized.
- Changing Market Dynamics: With consumers gravitating towards cheaper products and tariffs impacting pricing, Nike faces fierce competition, particularly in the mass market, where it struggles against low-cost online retailers.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Although Nike's stock is at its lowest since 2015, the deteriorating economic conditions and weak demand suggest that the upcoming earnings report is unlikely to show significant improvement, leading investors to adopt a wait-and-see approach.
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- Founder Agreement: Chip Wilson, the founder of Lululemon, has reached an agreement with the company that allows him to select board members in exchange for his support of the new CEO, creating a more stable environment for the company's future direction.
- Weak Revenue Growth: For the fiscal year ending February 1, Lululemon reported revenue of $11.1 billion, reflecting only a 5% increase year-over-year, which is significantly lower than its historical growth rates, indicating a weakening competitive position that may erode investor confidence.
- Declining Net Income: The company's net income fell by 13% to $1.6 billion, highlighting the financial strain Lululemon faces amid rising inflation and challenging economic conditions, leading investors to adopt a more pessimistic outlook.
- Stock Volatility Risks: Over the past 12 months, Lululemon's stock has lost 58% of its value, and while it may seem like a bargain, the associated risks remain substantial, prompting investors to carefully consider their positions amid ongoing uncertainties.
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- Earnings Report Outlook: Lululemon is set to release its Q1 earnings report on June 4, with analysts bracing for weak performance that could further depress stock prices, particularly as the company has already seen a 35% decline in stock value this year.
- Revenue and Profit Decline: The fourth-quarter revenue stood at $3.64 billion, reflecting less than 1% growth year-over-year, while the cost of goods sold surged 14% to $1.64 billion, resulting in a drop in net income from $748.4 million to $586.8 million, indicating significant pressure on profitability.
- Founder Controversy Impact: Founder Chip Wilson's criticism of the company's leadership has exacerbated internal discord; although a settlement was reached with Wilson and his board nominees were accepted, the ongoing scrutiny of brand management could undermine investor confidence.
- Bleak Future Outlook: Lululemon anticipates overall revenue growth of only 2% to 4% for 2026, with North American sales expected to decline by 1% to 3%, and earnings per share projections falling short of 2025 levels, highlighting the severe challenges the company faces in a competitive market.
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- Founder Criticism Eases: Chip Wilson, the founder of Lululemon, has agreed to remain silent for 18 months in exchange for board influence, aiming to reduce external criticism and allow the new CEO to focus on strategic direction.
- Significant Performance Decline: For the fiscal year ending February 1, Lululemon reported revenue of $11.1 billion, a mere 5% increase, while net income fell by 13% to $1.6 billion, highlighting the company's struggles with growth and profitability.
- Market Confidence Shaken: With high inflation and economic challenges, investor sentiment towards Lululemon has soured, as evidenced by a 58% drop in stock price over the past year, reflecting skepticism about its ability to regain growth.
- New CEO Faces Major Challenges: Heidi O'Neill, set to take over as CEO in September, faces the daunting task of convincing consumers to purchase high-priced apparel amid tightening budgets, complicating the company's recovery efforts.
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