NextDecade Shares Surge Amid Rising Energy Prices

Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst

Source: Fool

Updated: Apr 03 2026

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NEXT+4.61%

Should l Buy NEXT?

Source: Fool

Stock Price Surge: NextDecade's shares rose nearly 7% on Thursday, closing at $7.87 with a market cap of $1.9 billion, reflecting optimistic market expectations for its future growth.
Middle East Tensions: President Trump updated on U.S. military operations in Iran on Wednesday night, indicating potential objectives could be met in two to three weeks, yet failed to alleviate investor fears regarding the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, leading to rising oil prices.
Energy Supply Demand: With the Strait of Hormuz being a crucial passage for 20% of global oil and gas shipments, governments are racing to secure energy supplies from U.S. producers to address emerging market shortages.
Market Opportunity: As a leader in the construction of LNG liquefaction and export facilities, NextDecade is well-positioned to meet the soaring demand for reliable LNG shipments, which is expected to benefit the company significantly.

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Analyst Views on NEXT

Wall Street analysts forecast NEXT stock price to rise

1 Analyst Rating

0 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 6.840

Low

7.00

Averages

7.00

High

7.00

Current: 6.840

Low

7.00

Averages

7.00

High

7.00

TD Cowen

Hold

downgrade

$7 -> $6

2026-03-05

Reason

TD Cowen

Price Target

$7 -> $6

AI Analysis

2026-03-05

downgrade

Hold

Reason

TD Cowen lowered the firm's price target on NextDecade to $6 from $7 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm updated its model after the company said they have locked in spot margins for 2027 at $3/mcf, below $5 embedded in its financials. It provided a financing scenario at $3 margin in which it would increase contracted capacity and project-level debt; which Cowen sees as a positive.

Morgan Stanley

Equal Weight

downgrade

$10 -> $7

2026-02-24

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Price Target

$10 -> $7

2026-02-24

downgrade

Equal Weight

Reason

Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on NextDecade to $7 from $10 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. Morgan Stanley says the global LNG market is positioned to move into oversupply. As a result, it shifted its U.S. industry view to Cautious from In-Line. For NextDecade specifically, near-term catalysts remain limited as its portfolio of projects is under construction, the analyst noted.

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About NEXT

NextDecade Corporation is an energy company. The Company is engaged in construction and development activities related to the liquefaction and sale of liquefied natural gas (LNG) and the capture and storage of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. The Company is constructing and developing a natural gas liquefaction and export facility located in the Rio Grande Valley in Brownsville, Texas (the Rio Grande LNG Facility), which has three liquefaction trains and related infrastructure under construction. Through its subsidiary, Rio Grande LNG, LLC (Rio Grande), the Company is constructing the Rio Grande LNG Facility on the north shore of the Brownsville Ship Channel. The site is located on 984 acres of land which has been leased long-term and includes 15 thousand feet of frontage on the Brownsville Ship Channel. It is also developing a planned carbon capture and storage (CCS) project at the Rio Grande LNG Facility and other potential CCS projects.

About the author

Emily J. Thompson

Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.

U.S. LNG Firms Decline Following Iran's Announcement of Open Strait of Hormuz for Commercial Shipping During Lebanon Ceasefire

3 days agomoomoo

U.S. Companies' Response: U.S. companies have reduced their operations following Iran's announcement regarding the Strait of Hormuz.
Strait of Hormuz Accessibility: Iran has declared that the Strait of Hormuz is open to all commercial shipping during the duration of the Lebanon ceasefire.

NextDecade to Host Q1 2026 Conference Call

Apr 13 2026Newsfilter

Conference Call Details: NextDecade will host a conference call on May 1, 2026, at 11:00 AM ET to discuss Q1 2026 developments, with a press release and presentation expected before market open, aimed at enhancing investor transparency regarding company operations.
Liquefaction Capacity Development: The company is constructing the Rio Grande LNG facility near Brownsville, Texas, with approximately 48 MTPA of liquefaction capacity under development and plans for up to 10 liquefaction trains, indicating significant expansion potential in the energy market.
Commitment to Sustainability: NextDecade emphasizes its commitment to providing reliable and cleaner energy through the safe and efficient development of natural gas liquefaction capacity, aligning with the global demand for sustainable energy solutions.
Forward-Looking Statements: The press release includes forward-looking statements reflecting the company's expectations for future developments, acknowledging that actual results may differ due to various factors, highlighting the company's awareness of risk management in an uncertain environment.

NextDecade Corp. Stock Drops 7.55% Amid Ceasefire Announcement

Apr 09 2026Yahoo Finance

Stock Decline: NextDecade Corp. shares fell 7.55% to close at $8.08 on Wednesday, marking three consecutive days of losses as investor confidence wanes in energy companies amid the US-Iran two-week ceasefire announcement.
Dampened Market Sentiment: Following President Trump's announcement of a ceasefire, NextDecade and peers like Venture Global saw their stock prices decline, reflecting a significant drop in market sentiment for oil and gas companies that had previously benefited from heightened tensions.
Natural Gas Price Drop: On the same day, natural gas prices fell to $2.7025/MMBtu, with potential for further declines if the ceasefire holds, which could pressure NextDecade's profitability, especially as its Rio Grande LNG facility is not yet fully operational.
Worsening Financials: NextDecade reported a staggering 396% increase in net loss attributable to shareholders, reaching $306 million in 2024, up from $61.7 million, indicating that the company faces greater financial challenges in the current market environment.

Danone CEO Warns of Middle East Conflict Impact

Apr 07 2026CNBC

Price Hike Warning: Danone CEO Antoine de Saint-Affrique indicated that due to the uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict, the company may consider price increases in the future, although no decision has been made yet, highlighting the company's acute awareness of potential cost pressures ahead.
Inflation Impact: The International Monetary Fund warned that even if the conflict resolves quickly, the Iran war will inevitably lead to higher inflation and slower economic growth, with food and non-alcoholic drink inflation projected to reach 9%, marking the highest level since 2023.
Brand Investment Strategy: Amid increasing macroeconomic uncertainty, de Saint-Affrique emphasized that Danone will continue to invest in its brands to maintain market relevance and competitive advantage, particularly in the face of competition from cheaper private labels.
Acquisition Plans: Danone announced its acquisition of protein shake maker Huelfor, aiming to optimize its position in the fast-growing nutrition market, thereby enhancing its competitiveness in the health brand sector.