Nasdaq-100 Index Faces Challenges Amid AI Concerns
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 10 2026
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Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Market Stagnation: After three consecutive years of significant gains, the Nasdaq-100 index has stagnated in 2026, primarily due to concerns about the negative impact of artificial intelligence on the global economy and valuation levels, which have shifted it from a market leader to a laggard.
- ETF Performance Comparison: From February 27, the last trading day before the Israel-Iran war began, to March 9, the Invesco QQQ ETF, which tracks the Nasdaq-100, outperformed the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, indicating short-term resilience in tech stocks, though overall market trends remain to be seen.
- Earnings Growth Expectations: The tech sector is projected to deliver the highest earnings and revenue growth among the S&P 500 sectors in 2026, with a slowdown to a 20% growth rate expected in 2027; however, long-term earnings growth remains a key driver of stock performance.
- Valuation Reasonableness: While U.S. stock valuations are above historical averages, the forward P/E ratio for the S&P 500 information technology sector stands at 24.2, down from 31 a year ago, suggesting that if companies meet current expectations, the Nasdaq-100's valuation may not be excessively high.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 207.830
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 207.830
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is an artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. Its segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing and networking platforms and AI solutions and software, and automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions, including software. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and personal computers (PCs), and Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics. Its technology stack includes the foundational NVIDIA CUDA development platform that runs on all NVIDIA GPUs, as well as hundreds of domain-specific software libraries, frameworks, algorithms, software development kits (SDKs), and application programming interfaces (APIs). Its platforms address four markets, which include Data Center, Gaming, Professional Visualization, and Automotive.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Earnings Growth: Nvidia achieved a remarkable 65% revenue growth in fiscal 2026, primarily driven by artificial intelligence, although concerns about future growth slowing persist in the market.
- Market Share Risks: While Nvidia maintains its leadership in the AI chip market, other semiconductor companies are actively developing their own AI chips, which could impact its market share, although this is unlikely to threaten its leadership position in the short term.
- Valuation Pressure: With a market cap of approximately $4.8 trillion, Nvidia's strong revenue growth is tempered by a P/E ratio of 40, and if the stock were to decline by 25% over the next 12 months, its P/E could drop to 18, potentially entering value stock territory.
- Investor Strategy: Despite the potential for AI growth to slow, investors are advised to hold Nvidia shares, as current performance remains robust and valuations may adjust downward in the future, thereby limiting potential downside risks.
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- Local AI Server Development: SoftBank plans to start designing and assembling local AI servers by the end of the decade to meet the growing demand for sovereign AI services, which is expected to significantly enhance its competitive edge in the AI market.
- Partnership Formation: SoftBank has initiated discussions with Nvidia and Foxconn to leverage Nvidia's GPU certification program and Foxconn's manufacturing capabilities, thereby strengthening its technological prowess and market position in high-performance server development.
- Manufacturing System Establishment: SoftBank aims to build a production base at a former Sharp plant, transitioning from assembling externally sourced components to eventually controlling the entire server production process, which will help improve production efficiency and reduce costs.
- AI Infrastructure Integration: The new servers will not only be used in SoftBank's data centers but will also support its AI-RAN integrated infrastructure, designed to handle communication and AI processing simultaneously, further advancing its strategic positioning in the AI sector.
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- Middle East Stability: President Trump confirmed that the ceasefire with Iran remains intact despite naval tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, which has boosted market sentiment as investors remain optimistic about upcoming economic data.
- Nasdaq Futures Rise: As of 4:00 a.m. ET Friday, Nasdaq futures gained 0.6% and S&P 500 futures rose 0.3%, indicating investor optimism ahead of the highly anticipated jobs data, which could further propel the stock market.
- Nvidia and Iren Partnership: Iren's stock surged 9% after securing a massive $3.4 billion AI cloud contract with Nvidia, overshadowing a revenue miss in Q3, demonstrating the ongoing enthusiasm for investments in the AI sector.
- Cloudflare Layoffs Impact: Cloudflare announced a 20% workforce reduction and lowered its Q2 guidance, leading to a 17% drop in its stock during premarket trading, reflecting market concerns about its future growth prospects.
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- Strategic Investment: Nvidia's acquisition of warrants to invest up to $2.1 billion in IREN signifies a major partnership in cloud computing and AI infrastructure, despite IREN's third-quarter revenue and profit falling significantly short of analyst expectations.
- Financial Underperformance: IREN reported $144.8 million in revenue for Q3, well below Wall Street's estimate of $220.2 million, with a net loss of $247.8 million, highlighting the financial pressures the company faces during its transition.
- Market Sentiment Recovery: Despite poor financial results, retail sentiment on Stocktwits surged into the 'extremely bullish' zone, indicating investor confidence in IREN's future potential in AI infrastructure, particularly in light of its partnership with Nvidia.
- Strategic Expansion Plans: IREN's acquisition of Spain-based Ingenostrum adds 490 megawatts of power capacity, bringing its total power portfolio to 5 gigawatts, further solidifying its position in the cloud computing market, even as it navigates challenges from declining Bitcoin prices.
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- Diverging Investor Views: Influencer DoctorJack16 suggests that investors may underestimate the significance of SpaceX, Starlink, and xAI infrastructure for Tesla's long-term AI ambitions, potentially impacting Tesla's market positioning and investor confidence.
- Merger Discussions Heat Up: Cern Basher notes that while many Tesla bulls oppose a merger with SpaceXAI, the accelerating AI race may force Tesla deeper into Musk's tech ecosystem, influencing its future strategy.
- Value of Robotaxi and Optimus: Basher argues that Tesla's Robotaxi and Optimus projects are still in their early stages, with many investors hoping for greater value creation in the coming years, reflecting confidence in Tesla's future growth potential.
- Infrastructure Risks Emerge: Basher warns that Tesla may face constraints from AI infrastructure, semiconductors, and regulation, and if it cannot secure sufficient semiconductor capacity, it could impact the global deployment of Cybercab and Optimus, thereby affecting the company's valuation.
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