Morgan Stanley: South Korean Market's Short-Term Pullback
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5 hours ago
0mins
Source: CNBC
- Market Pullback Analysis: The South Korean Kospi index fell about 10% on Tuesday, marking its worst performance since March and becoming the sixth worst trading day on record, indicating signs of a short-term pullback in the market.
- Fundamentals Remain Strong: Morgan Stanley analyst Joon Seok noted that despite memory stocks tumbling due to a global chip crisis, the fundamentals for these stocks remain intact, suggesting that investor pain is unlikely to be long-term.
- Profit-Taking by Investors: With the Kospi surging over 62% in Q2 and nearly 95% in 2026, this pullback is viewed as a brief breather for investors taking profits rather than the onset of a market breakdown.
- Future Outlook: Seok anticipates a bumpier second half of 2026 compared to the first, yet maintains a target of 9,000 for the Kospi, representing nearly a 10% increase from Tuesday's close, reflecting confidence in market recovery.
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Analyst Views on MU
Wall Street analysts forecast MU stock price to fall
26 Analyst Rating
24 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 1211.380
Low
235.00
Averages
336.12
High
500.00
Current: 1211.380
Low
235.00
Averages
336.12
High
500.00
About MU
Micron Technology, Inc. provides memory and storage solutions. The Company delivers a portfolio of high-performance dynamic random-access memory (DRAM), NAND, and NOR memory and storage products through its Micron and Crucial brands. The Company's products enable advancing in artificial intelligence (AI) and compute-intensive applications. Its segments include Cloud Memory Business Unit (CMBU), Core Data Center Business Unit (CDBU), Mobile and Client Business Unit (MCBU) and Automotive and Embedded Business Unit (AEBU). CMBU is focused on memory solutions for large hyperscale cloud customers, and high bandwidth memory (HBM) for all data center customers. CDBU is focused on memory solutions for mid-tier cloud, enterprise, and OEM data center customers and storage solutions for all data center customers. MCBU is focused on memory and storage solutions for mobile and client segments. AEBU is focused on memory and storage solutions for the automotive, industrial, and consumer segments.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Broad ETF Holdings: Micron Technology is currently owned by 603 exchange-traded funds, collectively holding approximately 228 million shares, indicating that its earnings report could have a ripple effect across multiple technology and semiconductor ETFs.
- Strong Stock Performance: Year-to-date, Micron's stock has surged approximately 281.9%, although it faced a 10% decline on Tuesday ahead of the earnings report, reflecting the market's heightened anticipation for the upcoming results.
- Significant Earnings Impact: Investors are closely monitoring whether Micron can deliver strong earnings; a positive surprise could boost semiconductor-focused ETFs, while disappointing results may weigh on related funds.
- Key ETF Exposures: Major ETFs with significant exposure to Micron include GraniteShares 2x Long MU Daily ETF (98.65% allocation) and Direxion Daily Technology Top 5 Bull 2X ETF (28.94% allocation), meaning their performance will be directly influenced by Micron's earnings report.
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- Strategic Transformation: SK Hynix's acquisition of Hynix Semiconductor in 2012, initially deemed financially irresponsible, ultimately positioned the company at the center of the global AI boom, becoming Nvidia's main HBM supplier and driving its market value to nearly 2.1 quadrillion won.
- Bet on High-Bandwidth Memory: By launching the world's first HBM product in 2014, SK Hynix faced technological setbacks in the late 2010s but successfully revamped its technology through an 880 billion won investment, aligning with the rapid growth of the AI market and significantly enhancing its competitive edge.
- Market Dynamics Reversal: Despite reporting an annual operating loss of 7.73 trillion won in 2023, SK Hynix is projected to achieve record operating profits in 2024, demonstrating its robust recovery capability in the global memory market and surpassing Samsung as the top DRAM manufacturer.
- Future Growth Targets: SK Hynix aims to increase its market capitalization to 1 quadrillion won in 2024 and eventually reach 2 quadrillion won, reflecting strong confidence in future market potential while invigorating the South Korean economy and stock market.
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- Stock Surge: Micron Technology's stock has surged 767% over the past year, reaching a market cap of over $1 trillion, reflecting the significant impact of the AI-driven memory chip shortage, despite a recent 13% drop due to declines in South Korean peers.
- Earnings Expectations: The market anticipates Micron's third-quarter revenue to jump 279% to $35.3 billion, with adjusted earnings per share soaring from $1.91 to $20.28; if these expectations are exceeded, the stock could rise further.
- Margin Expansion: Micron reported a gross margin of 74.4% in Q2, doubling from 36.8% a year ago, with Q3 guidance at 81%, and while further improvements may be challenging, any increase could drive the stock higher.
- Supply Dynamics: Management indicated that tight supply for data center and AI-related memory will last until 2026, with fulfillment rates for some key customers only at 50%-66%, suggesting significant excess demand and making it difficult to unwind the memory shortage in the coming years.
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- Market Selloff: Semiconductor and AI stocks faced significant selling pressure as weakness in Asian chip shares spilled over to the U.S. market, with the VanEck Semiconductor ETF falling 7% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropping nearly 8%, indicating investor concerns over AI-driven memory demand that could impact future investment decisions.
- U.S. Futures Volatility: Despite a lower close for U.S. stocks on Tuesday, Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.7% and S&P 500 futures increased by 0.2% as of 9 p.m. ET, reflecting cautious optimism in the market ahead of upcoming economic data and earnings reports that may influence short-term trading strategies.
- Oil Prices Stabilize: With easing tensions between the U.S. and Iran, West Texas Intermediate crude traded near $73 a barrel while Brent crude remained below $80, indicating a diminishing market reaction to geopolitical risks that could affect investor sentiment in the energy sector.
- Stock Movements: Cerebras Systems saw an 11% drop after its post-IPO earnings report showed strong revenue growth but a wider-than-expected adjusted loss, while Palantir Technologies hit a fresh 52-week low despite announcing a partnership with Zeta Global, suggesting ongoing demand for AI infrastructure but insufficient investor confidence.
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- Market Rebound: Following the Nasdaq's breach of support, South Korea's Kospi index surged, leading to a rise in futures, indicating a potential recovery in investor confidence that may attract more capital inflows.
- Stock Volatility: FedEx and AI chip company Cerebras experienced significant declines late in the trading session, reflecting market concerns about their future prospects, which could undermine investor confidence in their respective sectors.
- Micron Earnings Watch: With Micron's earnings report on the horizon, the market is keenly focused on its performance, as analysts expect its results to significantly impact the semiconductor industry, potentially prompting a reevaluation by investors.
- Technical Support Levels: The Nasdaq's support level being breached may lead to increased market volatility in the short term, necessitating investors to closely monitor subsequent trends to adjust their investment strategies accordingly.
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- Semiconductor Stocks Rebound: South Korea's semiconductor giants Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix saw their shares rise over 9% and 4% respectively, indicating a recovery after both experienced declines exceeding 12% on Tuesday, reflecting renewed investor confidence in the semiconductor sector.
- Market Index Recovery: The Kospi index in South Korea rebounded over 3% after a 10% drop, suggesting a reassessment of technology stocks by investors, which may indicate a short-term correction rather than a deterioration in fundamentals.
- Japanese Tech Stocks Follow Suit: Japan's technology sector also experienced gains, with Advantest rising 0.6%, SoftBank Group up 1.5%, and laser equipment manufacturer Lasertec increasing by 0.3%, demonstrating a broader recovery trend in regional tech stocks that enhances market optimism.
- Analyst Outlook Positive: Dan Ives from Wedbush Securities noted that recent channel checks indicated strong enterprise AI demand trends, arguing that the pullback in South Korean tech stocks is more likely a brief pause following nearly 100% gains in the Kospi this year, rather than a sign of weakening fundamentals.
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