Microsoft Shares Drop 24% Amid Concerns
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 07 2026
0mins
Should l Buy MSFT?
Source: Fool
- Significant Stock Decline: Since reaching an all-time high of $540 per share last October, Microsoft shares have fallen approximately 24% to $410 as of March 3, reflecting investor reevaluation of tech stocks and specific concerns regarding Microsoft.
- Earnings Report Panic: Following the release of its fiscal second-quarter earnings, Microsoft's stock plummeted over 17%, primarily due to high capital expenditures and worries about AI spending for 2026, although Azure AI cloud revenue remains strong, its growth rate has slightly slowed.
- OpenAI Partnership Risk: Microsoft's partnership with OpenAI raises concerns about its $625 billion remaining performance obligations, with about 45% of contracts tied to OpenAI, leading investors to worry about potential losses for OpenAI in 2026, which could impact Microsoft's performance.
- Analyst Optimism: Despite these concerns, 92% of analysts rate Microsoft as a buy, with a median price target of $600 per share, indicating a potential 48% upside over the next 12 months, reflecting confidence in Microsoft's long-term growth potential.
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Analyst Views on MSFT
Wall Street analysts forecast MSFT stock price to rise
34 Analyst Rating
32 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 369.370
Low
500.00
Averages
631.36
High
678.00
Current: 369.370
Low
500.00
Averages
631.36
High
678.00
About MSFT
Microsoft Corporation is a technology company. The Company develops and supports software, services, devices, and solutions. The Company’s segments include Productivity and Business Processes, Intelligent Cloud, and More Personal Computing. The Productivity and Business Processes segment consists of products and services in its portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services. This segment primarily comprises: Office Commercial, Office Consumer, LinkedIn, and Dynamics business solutions. The Intelligent Cloud segment consists of server products and cloud services, including Azure and other cloud services, SQL Server, Windows Server, Visual Studio, System Center, and related Client Access Licenses (CALs), and Nuance and GitHub; and Enterprise Services, including enterprise support services, industry solutions and Nuance professional services. The More Personal Computing segment primarily comprises Windows, Devices, Gaming, and search and news advertising.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Valuation Metrics Near Lows: Both the price-to-earnings ratio and operating earnings ratio indicate that Microsoft's valuation is approaching decade lows, suggesting that the current stock price may be undervalued, making it an attractive buying opportunity for investors.
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- Valuation Near Decade Low: Both the price-to-earnings ratio and operating earnings ratio for Microsoft are approaching decade-low levels, indicating that the current stock price may be undervalued, presenting a potentially lucrative entry point for investors amid market volatility.
- Cloud Platform Advantage: Azure continues to be a leading cloud computing platform for AI workloads, driving overall performance improvements for Microsoft, which solidifies its market position in the rapidly evolving tech landscape and reduces disruption risks.
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- Cloud Growth: Microsoft's Azure cloud infrastructure service platform ranks second globally only to Amazon Web Services, with a sales growth rate nearing 40%, indicating successful integration of AI solutions that further solidifies its market position.
- Cash Flow Status: As of 2025, Microsoft holds approximately $89.5 billion in cash and short-term investments, generating $80.8 billion in net cash flow in the first six months of fiscal 2026, showcasing its robust financial health and reinvestment capacity.
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- Partnership with Google: Apple has struck a multi-year deal to utilize Google's Gemini AI technology for a revamped Siri, with Apple reportedly paying around $20 billion annually to Google as the default search engine, raising concerns about user data privacy in this new arrangement.
- Delayed AI Updates: The long-awaited AI update for Siri has faced delays, with Apple promising a launch by year-end, yet mixed consumer responses indicate a lack of competitive edge in the AI space, which could affect the long-term relevance of its products.
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