Merck Presents Phase 3 Results for DOR/ISL HIV Treatment
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy MRK?
Source: Businesswire
- Clinical Trial Success: Merck presented results from three pivotal Phase 3 trials at the CROI conference, showing that 91.8% of participants achieved viral suppression at Week 48, indicating DOR/ISL's comparable efficacy to BIC/FTC/TAF in treatment-naïve HIV-1 patients, highlighting significant market potential.
- Safety Profile Analysis: The safety profile of DOR/ISL was similar to that of BIC/FTC/TAF, with drug-related adverse event rates of 14% and 18%, respectively, suggesting that DOR/ISL is competitive in safety, which may enhance patient adherence to treatment.
- Regulatory Application Outlook: Based on 96-week trial data, the initial New Drug Application (NDA) for DOR/ISL has been submitted, with the U.S. FDA expected to make a decision by April 28, 2026, laying the groundwork for Merck's further development in HIV treatment.
- Market Demand Alignment: As HIV patients age, the need for personalized treatment options is increasing, and DOR/ISL, as a non-INSTI regimen, could meet patients' demands for fewer medications and better tolerability, potentially becoming an important option in future HIV care.
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Analyst Views on MRK
Wall Street analysts forecast MRK stock price to fall
16 Analyst Rating
11 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 123.930
Low
95.00
Averages
119.53
High
139.00
Current: 123.930
Low
95.00
Averages
119.53
High
139.00
About MRK
Merck & Co., Inc. is a global health care company that delivers health solutions through its prescription medicines, including biologic therapies, vaccines and animal health products. Its Pharmaceutical segment includes human health pharmaceutical and vaccine products. The Company sells its human health pharmaceutical products primarily to drug wholesalers and retailers, hospitals, government agencies and managed health care providers. It sells these human health vaccines primarily to physicians, wholesalers, distributors and government entities. Its Animal Health segment discovers, develops, manufactures and markets a range of veterinary pharmaceutical and vaccine products, as well as health management solutions and services, for the prevention, treatment and control of disease in all livestock and companion animal species. Its products include KEYTRUDA (pembrolizumab) injection, for intravenous use; WELIREG (belzutifan) tablets, for oral use; Ohtuvayre (ensifentrine) and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Clinical Trial Success: DOR/ISL achieved a viral suppression rate of 91.8% at 48 weeks, comparable to BIC/FTC/TAF's 90.6%, demonstrating non-inferiority and indicating potential advantages for treatment-naïve adults with HIV-1.
- Similar Safety Profile: The incidence of drug-related adverse events for DOR/ISL was 14% compared to 18% for BIC/FTC/TAF, indicating comparable safety and enhancing the credibility of DOR/ISL as a new treatment option.
- Significant Long-term Effects: At 96 weeks, DOR/ISL maintained a viral suppression rate of 88.9%, demonstrating its effectiveness in long-term treatment and potentially offering more flexible options for HIV patients.
- Regulatory Application Outlook: The 48-week data for DOR/ISL will serve as the basis for future regulatory applications, with the FDA setting a target action date of April 28, 2026, indicating the drug's potential approval to meet diverse needs of HIV patients.
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- Clinical Trial Success: Merck presented results from three pivotal Phase 3 trials at the CROI conference, showing that 91.8% of participants achieved viral suppression at Week 48, indicating DOR/ISL's comparable efficacy to BIC/FTC/TAF in treatment-naïve HIV-1 patients, highlighting significant market potential.
- Safety Profile Analysis: The safety profile of DOR/ISL was similar to that of BIC/FTC/TAF, with drug-related adverse event rates of 14% and 18%, respectively, suggesting that DOR/ISL is competitive in safety, which may enhance patient adherence to treatment.
- Regulatory Application Outlook: Based on 96-week trial data, the initial New Drug Application (NDA) for DOR/ISL has been submitted, with the U.S. FDA expected to make a decision by April 28, 2026, laying the groundwork for Merck's further development in HIV treatment.
- Market Demand Alignment: As HIV patients age, the need for personalized treatment options is increasing, and DOR/ISL, as a non-INSTI regimen, could meet patients' demands for fewer medications and better tolerability, potentially becoming an important option in future HIV care.
See More

- Merck's Patent Protection: Merck has several years before losing patent protection on its primary revenue source, which is crucial for the company's financial stability.
- Focus on New Drug Development: The company is under pressure to develop a new breakthrough drug to maintain its market position and revenue stream.
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- Strong Stock Performance: Merck & Co. (MRK) shares rose 0.2% to $124.1 on Tuesday, marking seven consecutive days of gains, indicating market confidence in its future performance.
- Significant Annual Growth: So far this year, Merck's stock has surged over 17%, with a 15% increase in the past month, reflecting investor optimism regarding the company's plan to separate its core pharmaceutical division.
- Analyst Ratings Optimistic: According to Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating, MRK holds a score of 3.3, categorized as a Hold, with an A+ rating for profitability prospects, despite an F rating for growth, indicating analysts' recognition of its profitability.
- Positive Market Consensus: Eighteen Wall Street analysts have rated Merck as Buy or above, while eleven have given it a Hold rating, demonstrating a general bullish sentiment towards the stock with no analysts recommending a Sell.
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- Meeting Date Change: The CDC has rescheduled its vaccine advisors meeting to March 18-19, following a delay from the original dates of February 25-27 due to a lawsuit challenging the panel's composition, indicating the agency's cautious approach in handling legal challenges.
- Lawsuit Context: Several leading medical groups filed a lawsuit seeking to prevent the CDC from holding the meeting, citing concerns over HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s reconstitution of the panel with his selected members last year, which could impact the CDC's decision-making process.
- Advisory Committee Significance: The CDC's Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) provides non-binding recommendations on who should receive FDA-approved vaccines, making their input critical for vaccine manufacturers in securing insurance coverage, directly affecting market access and product sales.
- Impact on Vaccine Manufacturers: Major vaccine makers like Pfizer (PFE) and Moderna (MRNA) will closely monitor ACIP's recommendations, as these will influence their products' market performance and insurance reimbursement policies, thereby impacting the companies' financial outcomes.
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- Market Growth Potential: The global oncology market is projected to grow from $279.98 billion in 2026 to $748.17 billion by 2035, indicating strong growth potential and reflecting the ongoing demand for cancer treatments.
- Innovation-Driven Revenue: Cancer drug revenues are expected to reach $335.2 billion by 2033, primarily driven by the adoption of targeted therapies and immunotherapy, indicating a significant shift towards more effective treatment options in the industry.
- Clinical Trial Advancements: Oncolytics Biotech is focusing on registrational programs in anal and colorectal cancer, planning to meet with the FDA in mid-April, and expects to secure approval through a clinical trial involving fewer than 100 subjects, showcasing its strategic advantage in rare cancer indications.
- Strong Clinical Results: In third-line anal cancer patients, pelareorep achieved a 29% response rate, while in second-line or later patients, the response rate was 30%, significantly exceeding the benchmark for FDA-approved immunotherapies, highlighting its potential in treatment efficacy.
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