MarketAxess Q4 Revenue at $209.4M, Below Consensus
Reports Q4 revenue $209.4M, consensus $211.35M. Chris Concannon, CEO of MarketAxess, commented: "In 2025, we made significant strides in enhancing the MarketAxess advantage by expanding our global network, deepening our differentiated liquidity. We also accelerated our use of AI in enhancing the proprietary data and analytics that underpin our protocols and workflow tools for clients, helping them to be more efficient and gain deeper insights into their trading activity. We delivered record volumes in U.S. credit and record revenue outside of U.S. credit of $406M, a 10% increase, reflecting the strong returns generated from our investments in these areas. We also made strong progress across our three U.S. credit strategic channels: block trading ADV increased 24%, total portfolio trading ADV increased 48%, and dealer-initiated ADV increased 33%. Additionally, the Mid-X solution launched in the second half of 2025 continues to gain momentum, delivering over $3B in trading volume in December 2025."
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on MKTX
About MKTX
About the author


- Record Revenue: MarketAxess achieved a record revenue of $846 million in Q4 2025, reflecting a 10% year-over-year growth, which underscores the company's successful expansion in global markets and investment in multiprotocol solutions, enhancing its competitive edge.
- Cash Flow and Return Plans: The company generated $347 million in free cash flow in 2025 and returned $474 million to investors through share repurchases and dividends, further boosting investor confidence while announcing a $400 million capital return plan, indicating strong financial health.
- Trading Volume Growth: Block trading ADV increased by 29%, with a 28% market share in U.S. high-yield portfolio trading, demonstrating robust momentum in electronic trading, which is expected to drive future revenue growth.
- Future Outlook: The CFO projected mid-single-digit growth in services revenue for 2026, with expenses expected to range between $530 million and $545 million, while management reiterated an 8% to 9% revenue growth target over the next three years, reflecting confidence in sustained growth.
- Earnings Beat: MarketAxess reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $1.68, exceeding expectations by $0.04, indicating strong profitability despite revenue falling slightly short of forecasts.
- Revenue Growth Challenges: Total revenue reached $209.4 million, up 3.5% year-over-year, but missed expectations, primarily impacted by foreign currency fluctuations, highlighting challenges in the market environment.
- Strong Trading Channel Performance: The Client-Initiated Channel saw a 29% increase in average daily volume, with emerging markets and eurobonds growing by 41% and 43% respectively, demonstrating success in the company's diversified trading strategies.
- Cautious Future Outlook: For 2026, the company expects mid-single-digit growth in service revenue, an 8% increase in expenses, and capital expenditures between $65 million and $75 million, reflecting a cautious approach to future investments.
- Philip Morris Earnings Outlook: The expected EPS for Q4 2025 is $1.67, representing a 7.74% increase year-over-year, showcasing the company's ability to consistently exceed market expectations and enhancing its competitive edge in the tobacco industry.
- Cboe Global Markets Performance: The forecasted EPS is $2.93, reflecting a significant 39.52% increase from the previous year, indicating a strong recovery and improved profitability that may attract more investor interest.
- Biogen Earnings Warning: The anticipated EPS is $1.60, a substantial 53.49% decrease compared to last year, highlighting significant challenges the company faces, which could impact market confidence and stock performance.
- AerCap's Stability: The expected EPS is $3.31, unchanged from last year, indicating the company's resilience in the transportation sector, maintaining profitability despite industry fluctuations.
- Earnings Announcement Date: MarketAxess is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 6 before market open, with consensus EPS estimate at $1.64 and revenue estimate at $211.35 million, reflecting a 4.4% year-over-year growth, which will provide critical insights into the company's financial health.
- Historical Performance: Over the past year, MarketAxess has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, indicating the company's reliability in financial forecasting and bolstering market confidence.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and eight downward revisions, while revenue estimates have experienced two upward revisions and six downward revisions, suggesting a cautious market sentiment regarding the company's future performance.
- Stock Buyback Plan: MarketAxess has recently increased its stock repurchase authorization to $505 million, a move that not only reflects the company's confidence in its stock value but may also enhance shareholder returns and strengthen market expectations for future growth.
- Record Trading Volume: MarketAxess reported a total credit trading volume of $18.6 billion in January 2026, marking a 28% year-over-year increase, with emerging markets achieving a record average daily volume (ADV) of $5.5 billion, indicating robust performance and sustained market demand in the fixed-income sector.
- Emerging Markets Surge: The ADV for emerging markets reached $5.468 billion, up 50% from last year, showcasing the company's expanding capabilities in global markets and significantly enhancing its competitive position, which may lead to increased market share.
- Multi-Channel Trading Growth: The client-initiated trading channel saw a 56% increase in ADV, with U.S. high-grade bonds achieving an ADV of $2.8 billion, a 33% rise, demonstrating the success of the company's diversified trading strategies and enhancing client retention and market competitiveness.
- Commission Revenue Growth: Although the total credit variable transaction fee per million declined by 4% year-over-year, the increase in trading volume is expected to drive significant revenue growth, reflecting the company's strong profitability and ongoing revenue generation potential in the market.
- Conference Participation: MarketAxess CFO Ilene Fiszel Bieler will participate in the UBS Financial Services Conference on February 9, 2026, highlighting the company's leadership in the fixed-income market.
- Live Webcast Details: The live webcast of the session will begin at 1:50 p.m. ET, with investors able to access the content via the MarketAxess Investor Relations homepage, enhancing transparency and investor engagement.
- Technological Edge: MarketAxess’ electronic trading platform provides efficient trading solutions for approximately 2,100 institutional investors and broker-dealers, significantly improving trading efficiency and liquidity in fixed-income securities, thereby driving overall market cost savings.
- Market Recognition: The company’s award-winning Open Trading® marketplace is widely regarded as the preferred all-to-all trading solution in the global credit markets, further solidifying its competitive advantage in the industry.








