Major Averages Rise on Optimism for U.S.-Iran Peace Deal
The major averages were higher near noon, supported by optimism around a potential U.S.–Iran peace deal. Comments from President Donald Trump suggesting the conflict may be nearing an end have further boosted investor sentiment. Of note, the Lebanese presidency said the country's president Joseph Aoun spoke with Trump, who then stated in a social media post that Lebanon and Israel have agreed to begin a 10-day ceasefire.Meanwhile, investors also have their eyes on a new spate of earnings reports, including new prints from PepsiCo, TSMC, and Travelers along with a report due from Netflix later today.Get caught up quickly on the top news and calls moving stocks with these five Top Five lists.1. STOCK NEWS:PepsiCoreportedand affirmed its FY26 financial outlookTSMCreported better-than-expectedTravelersreportedand raised its quarterly dividendHims & Hersshares were rising after Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said the FDA isOkloand NuScale Powerwere also higher after the White House released rules for2. WALL STREET CALLS:Oktato Outperform at Raymond JamesQualcommto Neutral at JPMorganFlywireto Buy at BTIGFlutter Entertainmentto Sell from Buy at CitiJetBlue (JBLU)to Buy at Seaport Research3. AROUND THE WEB:Googleis negotiating a deal with the U.S. Department of Defense that would let the Pentagon deploy Gemini AI models in classified settings, reversing its previous stance, The Information saysMore banks are being invited to join Softbank's$40B loan backing its investment in OpenAI, Bloomberg reportsBoeingis hiring 100 to 140 factory workers a week as the company looks to replace retirees and increase staffing to support higher production rates, Reuters saysCaterpillarhas acquired the assets of Monarch Tractor, TechCrunch saysRepsolhas signed an agreement with Venezuela and state-owned Petroleos de Venezuela to regain operational control of the Petroquiriquire asset, aiming to boost production significantly, WSJ reports4. MOVERS:Aehr Test Systemshigher after reportingfrom a hyperscale AI customerNextNavgains after Oppenheimerthe stock to OutperformHarmony Goldincreases in New York after Morgan Stanleythe stock to OverweightQuidelOrtholower afterJinkoSolardeclines in New York after5. EARNINGS/GUIDANCE:Abbottand cut its guidance for FY26Charles Schwabwith CEO Rick Wurster commenting, "Schwab's strong business momentum continued into 2026"ManpowerGroupwith EPS and revenue beating consensusOnto Innovationfor Q1 and provided guidance for Q2Wipro, with EPS in-line with consensusINDEXES:Near midday, the Dow was up 0.16%, or 79.44, to 48,543.16, the Nasdaq was up 0.34%, or 82.79, to 24,098.81, and the S&P 500 was up 0.26%, or 18.50, to 7,041.45.
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- Market Fragility Concerns: Despite stellar earnings driving stock indexes to all-time highs, Wall Street is worried about narrow leadership, as Matt Stucky, Chief Portfolio Manager at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management, noted that such concentration could exacerbate market fragility and impact investor confidence.
- Semiconductor Sector Drive: Micron Technology (MU) crossed the $1 trillion market cap for the first time, becoming the 11th largest public company in the U.S., with its sharp rally contributing 18 points to the S&P 500, highlighting the strong performance of semiconductor and memory-related stocks in propelling the market.
- AI Supercycle: With accelerating demand for AI servers, Dell (DELL) saw its stock soar over 50% last week, while Hewlett Packard (HPE) jumped 12%, indicating that AI-related stocks are leading a new wave of investment interest and attracting more investor attention.
- Future Market Outlook: UBS strategists expect the S&P 500 to rise further in the medium term, targeting 7,900 points, emphasizing that market leadership will broaden beyond megacaps, and recommending diversification into global healthcare, industrials, and infrastructure to navigate market volatility.
- Overview of High-Yield ETFs: The Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (VYM) includes 608 stocks with a current dividend yield of 2.24%, and while it has underperformed the S&P 500 over the past five years, it has outperformed it in 2026, indicating its potential for providing steady income during volatile periods.
- Portfolio Diversification: VYM's largest sector is financials (20.2%), followed by technology (14.8%) and industrials (14.2%), allowing investors to diversify risks across different economic sectors and reduce reliance on a single industry.
- Schwab Dividend ETF Performance: The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) holds 103 stocks with a dividend yield of 3.29%, and although its long-term performance has lagged behind VYM and the S&P 500, it has shown strong performance in 2026 with a year-to-date total return of about 17.8%.
- Considerations for ETF Selection: When choosing between VYM and SCHD, investors should consider diversification and safety, as VYM offers greater diversification with 608 stocks, while SCHD is more attractive in terms of dividend yield, making it suitable for those seeking stable income.
- Long-Term Performance: The Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF has an annualized return of 11.9% over the past five years, and while it has shown strong performance in 2026, it still lags behind the S&P 500, indicating relative weakness in market volatility.
- Expense Ratio Advantage: With an ultra-low expense ratio of 0.04% for the Vanguard ETF and 0.06% for the Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF, both funds are competitively positioned for cost-conscious investors seeking steady income.
- Portfolio Diversification: The Vanguard ETF holds 608 stocks across various sectors, particularly in finance and technology, providing better diversification compared to the Schwab ETF's 103 stocks, thereby reducing single-sector risk.
- Dividend Yield Comparison: The Vanguard ETF offers a dividend yield of 2.24%, while the Schwab ETF provides a higher yield of 3.29%; despite the Schwab ETF's attractiveness in yield, the Vanguard's diversified portfolio may better withstand market fluctuations.
- Market Rally: Despite escalating military conflict in the Middle East, Wall Street showed resilience on Wednesday, with the Nasdaq Composite rising 0.8% and the S&P 500 gaining 0.6%, indicating investors' focus on fundamental business developments.
- Microsoft's Strong Performance: Microsoft's stock surged 3.4%, adding approximately $107 billion to its market capitalization, making it a key driver of the gains in both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, reflecting optimism surrounding its AI infrastructure.
- Pentagon Contract Boost: Dell Technologies secured a $9.7 billion five-year contract to consolidate Microsoft software licenses for the U.S. military, expected to generate substantial recurring revenue for Microsoft and strengthen its market position.
- Market Sentiment Analysis: Despite ongoing military tensions between Iran and the U.S., investor reactions to geopolitical risks have softened, highlighting confidence in corporate fundamentals and underscoring the importance of maintaining a diversified investment strategy amid uncertainty.
- Microsoft Stock Surge: Microsoft shares rose 3.4%, adding approximately $107 billion to its market capitalization, demonstrating its significant influence in the market, particularly due to its substantial weighting in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices.
- AI Model Launch Anticipation: Microsoft is set to unveil a suite of proprietary AI models at next week's Build developer conference, reducing reliance on external partners like OpenAI, which is expected to further solidify its leadership position in the AI sector.
- Five-Year Defense Contract: Dell Technologies secured a $9.7 billion five-year contract to consolidate Microsoft software licenses for the U.S. military, providing Microsoft with substantial recurring revenue and enhancing its financial stability.
- Market Reaction to Geopolitical Tensions: Despite escalating military conflicts between Iran and the U.S., the market showed little reaction, indicating that investors are currently more focused on corporate fundamentals and specific business developments rather than external risks.
- Market Outlook: Stock futures are lower this morning, although oil prices are rebounding after strikes in Iran, and the PCE index showed a year-over-year increase of 3.8%, which, while high, did not exceed expectations, indicating a potential easing of inflationary pressures that could positively impact market sentiment.
- Snowflake Breakout: Snowflake shares soared over 35% today as it enhances its competitiveness against private Databricks by securing a $6 billion spending deal with Amazon Web Services, signaling a rerating in the cloud consumption AI sector.
- Salesforce Growth: Salesforce reported strong earnings last night, particularly in Agentforce, bolstered by a significant buyback; however, sluggish performance in Tableau and the commerce vertical led to a stock decline of over 1.5%, reflecting market caution regarding its future growth.
- Marvell's Strong Performance: Marvell delivered impressive earnings with accelerating revenue in data center chips and robust optical business performance, despite challenges in parts supply; shares rose 3.5%, indicating market confidence in its long-term growth potential.











