Major Averages Rise on Optimism for U.S.-Iran Peace Deal
The major averages were higher near noon, supported by optimism around a potential U.S.–Iran peace deal. Comments from President Donald Trump suggesting the conflict may be nearing an end have further boosted investor sentiment. Of note, the Lebanese presidency said the country's president Joseph Aoun spoke with Trump, who then stated in a social media post that Lebanon and Israel have agreed to begin a 10-day ceasefire.Meanwhile, investors also have their eyes on a new spate of earnings reports, including new prints from PepsiCo, TSMC, and Travelers along with a report due from Netflix later today.Get caught up quickly on the top news and calls moving stocks with these five Top Five lists.1. STOCK NEWS:PepsiCoreportedand affirmed its FY26 financial outlookTSMCreported better-than-expectedTravelersreportedand raised its quarterly dividendHims & Hersshares were rising after Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said the FDA isOkloand NuScale Powerwere also higher after the White House released rules for2. WALL STREET CALLS:Oktato Outperform at Raymond JamesQualcommto Neutral at JPMorganFlywireto Buy at BTIGFlutter Entertainmentto Sell from Buy at CitiJetBlue (JBLU)to Buy at Seaport Research3. AROUND THE WEB:Googleis negotiating a deal with the U.S. Department of Defense that would let the Pentagon deploy Gemini AI models in classified settings, reversing its previous stance, The Information saysMore banks are being invited to join Softbank's$40B loan backing its investment in OpenAI, Bloomberg reportsBoeingis hiring 100 to 140 factory workers a week as the company looks to replace retirees and increase staffing to support higher production rates, Reuters saysCaterpillarhas acquired the assets of Monarch Tractor, TechCrunch saysRepsolhas signed an agreement with Venezuela and state-owned Petroleos de Venezuela to regain operational control of the Petroquiriquire asset, aiming to boost production significantly, WSJ reports4. MOVERS:Aehr Test Systemshigher after reportingfrom a hyperscale AI customerNextNavgains after Oppenheimerthe stock to OutperformHarmony Goldincreases in New York after Morgan Stanleythe stock to OverweightQuidelOrtholower afterJinkoSolardeclines in New York after5. EARNINGS/GUIDANCE:Abbottand cut its guidance for FY26Charles Schwabwith CEO Rick Wurster commenting, "Schwab's strong business momentum continued into 2026"ManpowerGroupwith EPS and revenue beating consensusOnto Innovationfor Q1 and provided guidance for Q2Wipro, with EPS in-line with consensusINDEXES:Near midday, the Dow was up 0.16%, or 79.44, to 48,543.16, the Nasdaq was up 0.34%, or 82.79, to 24,098.81, and the S&P 500 was up 0.26%, or 18.50, to 7,041.45.
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- Earnings Highlights: Netflix's Q1 2026 earnings report revealed a 13% year-over-year revenue growth, but the stock fell due to slowing growth and co-founder Reed Hastings stepping down, indicating investor concerns about future growth prospects.
- Termination Fee Impact: The report included a $2.8 billion termination fee from Warner Brothers Discovery, which added a positive note to the earnings but is viewed as unsustainable, potentially affecting future profit expectations.
- Ad Revenue Projections: Netflix anticipates ad revenue to reach $3 billion in 2026, nearly doubling from 2025, reflecting the company's efforts to diversify its revenue streams, although overall growth rates have not met market expectations.
- User Engagement Boost: Despite challenges, Netflix achieved an all-time high in user engagement this quarter, launching 70 live events, demonstrating positive progress in content innovation and international market expansion.
- Strong Performance: Caterpillar reported a record quarterly sales of $19.1 billion in its latest earnings release, with a backlog increasing 70% year-over-year to $51 billion, indicating robust market demand and solidifying its leadership in the data center sector.
- Power & Energy Growth: The Power & Energy segment of Caterpillar achieved sales of $9.4 billion, a 23% year-over-year increase, with power generation products seeing a remarkable 44% growth, reflecting strong demand for data center applications and pushing the stock near all-time highs.
- Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns: Caterpillar deployed $7.9 billion for share repurchases and dividends throughout FY25, showcasing its shareholder-friendly approach while maintaining its status as a Dividend Aristocrat, attracting income-focused investors.
- Eaton's Strong Results: Eaton's adjusted EPS reached $3.33 with quarterly sales hitting $7.1 billion, a 13% year-over-year increase, driven by strong demand for power solutions, boosting free cash flow by 17% to $1.6 billion, and despite not being a Dividend Aristocrat, it has paid dividends annually since 1923, demonstrating stability.
- Bond Market Stability: The slight decline in bond yields indicates a stable market outlook, which helps support the stock market, particularly amid oil price fluctuations, thereby reducing investor panic.
- Tech Stock Recovery: The so-called 'Magnificent Seven' tech companies, including Alphabet and Amazon, are beginning to reap benefits from their previous high expenditures, enhancing market confidence in their future profitability, which could drive further market gains.
- Rise of the AI Economy: The emergence of AI agents is expected to significantly reduce hiring and operational costs for enterprises, driving demand for chips like Nvidia's, which will further boost growth for related companies.
- Improved Investor Sentiment: Despite ongoing market uncertainties, the combination of low bond yields and strong performance from tech stocks fosters an optimistic outlook among investors, potentially attracting more capital into the stock market.
- Acquisition of Autonomous Tech: Caterpillar is reportedly acquiring self-driving electric tractor startup Monarch, which has faced layoffs and growth challenges, yet this move could provide Caterpillar with a significant boost in the electric vehicle sector.
- Intensifying Market Competition: Once dubbed the Tesla of agriculture, Monarch's transition of core EV and AV technology presents Caterpillar with an opportunity to enhance its competitive edge, particularly against rivals like Deere & Co.
- Deepening Tech Collaboration: Caterpillar's partnership with NVIDIA is accelerating the application of AI technologies, utilizing the NVIDIA Jetson Thor platform to enable real-time AI inference, thereby enhancing the intelligence of its construction and agricultural equipment.
- Negative Stock Reaction: Despite the acquisition not being officially announced, Caterpillar's stock has dropped 2.4% to $775.62, indicating investor caution regarding the initial reports, even as the stock has risen 30% year-to-date in 2026.
- Price Range Analysis: The IWD ETF has a 52-week low of $171.13 and a high of $227.17, with the last trade at $227.11, indicating the ETF is trading near its high, which may influence investor buying decisions.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the current price to the 200-day moving average provides investors with a technical analysis reference, helping assess whether the current price is overvalued or undervalued, thus impacting short-term trading strategies.
- ETF Unit Trading Mechanism: ETFs trade like stocks, where investors are actually buying and selling 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on demand, affecting the liquidity and price volatility of the underlying assets.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in ETF units focuses on significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), which directly impacts the ETF's underlying holdings and market performance.
- Market Performance: The stock market continued to rise on Thursday despite a rebound in oil prices, indicating investor confidence in economic recovery, which may attract more attention from investors.
- AMD Breakout: AMD stood out in the market, becoming a focal point for investors, likely driven by new product launches or market share growth that could boost its stock price.
- Netflix Decline: Netflix's stock plummeted significantly after its earnings report, reflecting market concerns about its future growth prospects, which may impact investor confidence.
- Alcoa Earnings Impact: Alcoa also faced a stock decline following its earnings report, indicating market skepticism about its profitability, potentially leading investors to reassess its stock value.











