Major Averages Mixed as Investors Await Fed Policy Meeting Conclusion
The major averages were mixed near noon as investors await the conclusion of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, with the results of the meeting set to be released at 2:00 pm ET this afternoon. Markets expect a rate cut, but remain wary about what guidance might come afterward. Equity investors are acting cautiously. With heightened uncertainty about future rate moves and economic growth, trading volume and conviction remain muted.Looking to commodities, gold was fractitonally lower, with the commodity continuing its up-and-down run. Oil prices were lower as well after the release of crude data.Get caught up quickly on the top news and calls moving stocks with these five Top Five lists.1. STOCK NEWS:GE Vernovadoubled its quarterly dividend, raised its buyback authorization, updated its FY25 revenue guidance, andCracker Barrelreportedand cut its FY26 revenue guidanceSK Hynix is exploring a U.S. listing to lift its global valuation,Lakeland Industriesreportedand withdrew its FY26 guidanceAmazonwill pay Italian tax authorities EUR723M in a settlement,2. WALL STREET CALLS:GE Vernovato Outperform at RBC Capital and Oppenheimer after the company raised its medium-term outlookEchoStarto Overweight at Morgan StanleyPepsiCoto Overweight at JPMorganRobloxwith a Buy at B. RileyHSBCBiogento Reduce, its sell-equivalent rating3. AROUND THE WEB:After Netflixannounced its deal for Warner Bros. Discovery, Larry Ellison called President Donald Trump to argue it would hurt competition,Nvidiahas built location verification technology to indicate what country its chips are operating in, a move that could help prevent the chips from being smuggled into countries where the export is banned,AirbusCEO Guillaume Faury said it was possible Boeingwould win in the annual order race for the first time in six years,CoupangCEO Park Dae-jun has resigned and is taking responsibility for a massive data breach at the company,Elliot Investment Management has increased its stake in Toyotato 5.01%, increasing pressure on the client as it plans to buy out the forklift manufacturer,4. MOVERS:Brazeincreases afterand raising its guidance for FY26Photronicsand Dave & Buster'sgain afterTerns Pharmaceuticalshigher after announcing aAeroVironmentfalls afterand cutting its guidance for FY26Wave Life Scienceslower in New York after announcing a5. EARNINGS/GUIDANCE:Chewy, with EPS and revenue beating consensusJ.Jilland provided guidance for FY25 and Q4, with CEO Mary Ellen Coyne commenting, "We delivered better than expected earnings results with topline at the high end of our expectations"Hello Group, with EPS and revenue lower year-over-yearREV Group, with EPS and revenue beating consensusDaktronics, with interim CEO Brad Wiemann commenting, "We delivered another solid quarter of revenue and profit expansion"INDEXES:Near midday, the Dow was up 0.51%, or 242.04, to 47,802.33, the Nasdaq was down 0.18%, or 41.77, to 23,534.72, and the S&P 500 was up 0.10%, or 7.05, to 6,847.56.
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- Surge in Trading Volume: Netflix's trading volume reached 87.3 million shares, which is 122% above the three-month average of 39.4 million shares, indicating heightened investor interest ahead of the upcoming earnings report that could impact short-term stock price volatility.
- Cautious Earnings Outlook: As investors prepare for the July 16 earnings report, Citizens and TipRanks express conservative views on 2027 pricing projections, suggesting Netflix needs to demonstrate stronger operational catalysts to maintain market confidence amid potential future subscription price increases.
- Market Performance Comparison: Although Netflix shares rose 0.55% to $77.38, they underperformed the broader tech rally, reflecting a cautious sentiment regarding its future growth potential, which may influence investor buying decisions.
- Investor Confidence Test: The upcoming earnings report will be a critical test for Netflix, as investors seek evidence of ad-tier growth, margin discipline, and improved free cash flow to validate its growth potential beyond mere price increases.
- Creative Partnership: Netflix's multi-year deal with Proximity Media will enable the exclusive production of new series, leveraging the creative talents of Ryan Coogler and others to enhance content diversity and attract a broader audience.
- Project Development Updates: Proximity Media is developing a new iteration of The X-Files and an adaptation of Southern Bastards, which are expected to draw significant fan interest and further solidify Netflix's leadership in original content.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the signing of the agreement, Netflix (NFLX) stock rose nearly 1% during Thursday's trading, reflecting investor optimism about the collaboration, which may drive future stock performance.
- Retail Sentiment Bullish: According to Stocktwits, retail sentiment on NFLX stock surged 155% over the past week, indicating increased investor confidence in Netflix's future content strategy, despite a year-to-date decline of 17.6% in stock price.
- Stock Performance: Netflix shares rose 0.55% to $77.38, underperforming the broader tech rally, indicating investor caution ahead of the upcoming earnings report.
- Surge in Trading Volume: Today's trading volume reached 87.3 million shares, 122% above the three-month average, reflecting heightened market interest in Netflix's future performance, which could impact short-term price volatility.
- Market Expectations: Investors are reviewing conservative 2027 pricing projections and second-quarter outlooks, especially as they await the July 16 earnings report, putting increased pressure on Netflix to deliver stronger operational catalysts.
- Profitability Challenge: While Netflix maintains scale, pricing power, and buyback support, investors seek evidence of ad-tier growth, margin discipline, and free cash flow to drive gains beyond mere price increases.
- Intel Stock Surge: Following President Trump’s announcement that Intel will collaborate with Apple to design and produce semiconductors, Intel shares jumped 10.6%, enhancing the company's market value and confirming months of deal speculation, which underscores the competitive strength of this government-backed chipmaker.
- Market Rally: The S&P 500 rose 1.1%, the Nasdaq 100 increased by 2.5%, and the Dow Jones added 0.1%, reflecting investor optimism around a US-Iran peace deal that offset concerns about a potential rate hike by the Federal Reserve, thus driving positive market sentiment.
- Oil Price Decline: Both Brent and WTI crude futures traded below $80 per barrel, influenced by the preliminary agreement signed between the US and Iran to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which could potentially boost global oil supplies and impact market dynamics.
- Strong ETF Performance: Among ETFs tracking benchmark indices, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF gained 1.2%, the Invesco QQQ Trust rose 2.5%, and the VanEck Semiconductor ETF soared 6%, indicating strong investor interest and confidence in technology stocks.
- New Fed Chair: Kevin Warsh's assertive tone at his first press conference indicates a potential shift in monetary policy, leading to an overreaction in the market, as evidenced by rising futures this morning, which may influence investor sentiment moving forward.
- Apple Price Increase: Apple plans to raise prices on its iPhone Pro model by approximately $270 due to surging memory costs, while carriers may still offer attractive deals to cushion the impact on consumers, which could affect Apple's competitive positioning in the market.
- Intel Collaboration News: President Trump announced on social media that Apple has agreed to collaborate with Intel to design and manufacture chips in America, resulting in a surge in Intel's stock price, reflecting a strong support for domestic manufacturing and potential growth opportunities.
- Marvell Price Target Increase: KeyBanc raised Marvell's price target from $260 to $385, with analysts expressing optimism about the company's prospects in server networking, indicating strong confidence in its future growth potential.
- Peace Agreement Signed: The U.S. and Iran have signed a 14-point Memorandum of Understanding that extends the ceasefire and establishes a framework for a peace agreement, with a 60-day negotiation period that could enhance stability and economic recovery in the Middle East.
- Significant Economic Impact: As part of the deal, the U.S. will lift its naval blockade of Iran and restore pre-war military deployments within 30 days, while Iran will facilitate the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, allowing commercial shipping to resume, which is expected to stabilize global oil prices.
- Federal Reserve Policy Dynamics: At Kevin Warsh's first meeting, the Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged, although it now projects a rate hike in 2026, with inflation expectations raised to 3.6%, indicating a cautious stance that may affect future market liquidity.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the signing of the U.S.-Iran peace agreement, U.S. stock futures rose broadly, with S&P 500 futures up about 0.81%, reflecting market optimism about future economic improvements, particularly against the backdrop of energy prices and inflation pressures.











