Ladder Capital to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 5
- Earnings Announcement: Ladder Capital is set to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 5 before market open, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.24, reflecting an 11.1% year-over-year decline, which may impact investor sentiment.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $58.67 million, down 14.5% year-over-year, indicating challenges the company faces in the current economic environment, potentially leading to stock price volatility.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Ladder Capital has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, suggesting relative stability in profitability despite recent downward revisions in expectations.
- Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and four downward revisions, while revenue estimates have had no upward revisions and two downward revisions, reflecting analysts' cautious outlook on the company's future performance.
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- Earnings Announcement: Ladder Capital is set to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 5 before market open, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.24, reflecting an 11.1% year-over-year decline, which may impact investor sentiment.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $58.67 million, down 14.5% year-over-year, indicating challenges the company faces in the current economic environment, potentially leading to stock price volatility.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Ladder Capital has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, suggesting relative stability in profitability despite recent downward revisions in expectations.
- Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and four downward revisions, while revenue estimates have had no upward revisions and two downward revisions, reflecting analysts' cautious outlook on the company's future performance.
- Dividend Overview: Ladder Capital has announced a total dividend payment of $0.690 per share for its 2025 Class A common stock, with qualified dividends amounting to $0.651, indicating the company's robust cash flow and commitment to shareholder returns.
- Tax Treatment Details: The dividend payments for 2025 will be categorized into ordinary dividends and capital gains, with ordinary dividends set at $0.230 per share, reflecting the company's ongoing commitment to transparency and shareholder value.
- Company Background: Since its inception in 2008, Ladder has deployed over $49 billion in capital, focusing on commercial real estate financing in the middle market, showcasing its strong position and demand in the industry.
- Management and Shareholder Structure: Ladder is internally managed by a seasoned team, with over 11% insider ownership ensuring alignment of interests between management and all stakeholders, thereby enhancing corporate governance effectiveness.

- Rating Upgrade: S&P Global Ratings upgraded Ladder Capital's subsidiary issuers and unsecured notes from 'BB' to 'BB+', reflecting the company's improved leverage profile and strong business diversification, which is expected to enhance investor confidence and attract more capital inflow.
- Strong Liquidity: The company maintains ample liquidity and a largely unsecured capital structure, allowing it to remain stable amid market fluctuations and effectively respond to potential risks while seizing market opportunities.
- Investment Grade Status: Ladder Capital became the only investment grade-rated mortgage REIT in 2025, receiving Baa3 and BBB- ratings from Moody's and Fitch, respectively, further solidifying its leading position in the industry.
- Management Strength: The company is led by an experienced management team with a strong internal management model that ensures alignment of interests with all stakeholders, enhancing its competitiveness and execution capabilities in the capital markets.
- Rating Upgrade: S&P Global Ratings upgraded Ladder Capital's rating from 'BB' to 'BB+', reflecting the company's improved leverage profile and strong business diversification, which is expected to enhance its market competitiveness.
- Liquidity Advantage: The company boasts ample liquidity and a largely unsecured capital structure, enabling it to effectively manage risks and maintain stable operations in uncertain market conditions.
- Investment Grade Status: Ladder Capital is the only investment-grade-rated mortgage REIT, receiving Baa3 and BBB- ratings from Moody's and Fitch respectively, indicating its unique position and financial robustness in the industry.
- Management Strength: Led by an experienced management team, the internally managed structure and over 11% insider ownership ensure alignment of interests between management and shareholders, further boosting investor confidence.
Stock Performance Overview: Ladder Capital's stock has seen modest gains recently, with a 3.8% increase over the past week and 5.9% over the past month, but remains only 1.6% up year-to-date and 4.0% over the last year, despite significant long-term growth.
Valuation Concerns: The company scores 0 out of 6 on undervaluation checks, indicating it may be overvalued by approximately 20.3% based on the Excess Returns model, which suggests projected earnings do not cover the required return for investors.
Price-to-Earnings Analysis: Ladder Capital's current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 18.10x is above industry averages, suggesting the market may be pricing in more growth potential than the fundamentals support, as the fair PE ratio is estimated at 10.83x.
Narratives for Valuation: The article introduces the concept of "Narratives" as a tool for investors to articulate their assumptions about a company's future performance and compare it to current share prices, allowing for a more personalized valuation approach.
- Dividend Declaration: Ladder Capital announced a cash dividend of $0.23 per share payable on January 15, 2026, to shareholders of record as of December 31, 2025, reflecting the company's ongoing commitment to shareholder returns.
- Capital Deployment: Since its inception in 2008, Ladder has deployed over $49 billion across the real estate capital stack, focusing on the middle market, showcasing its robust position in commercial real estate financing.
- Investment Ratings: Ladder maintains a conservative capital structure, achieving investment-grade credit ratings of Baa3 from Moody's and BBB- from Fitch, providing a stable foundation for future financing.
- Management Team: The company is led by an experienced management team with deep industry expertise, and its internally managed structure ensures alignment of interests between management and shareholders, enhancing investor confidence.







