Should I Buy LADR? LADR 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Ladder Capital Corp (LADR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

10.870

1 Day change

-0.37%

52 Week Range

11.920

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

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BUY for a near-term technical move. LADR is in a bullish trend structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) with a positive, expanding MACD histogram, and it’s trading close to support (S1 ~10.981). Options positioning is strongly call-skewed (very low put/call OI ratio), which aligns with a bullish near-term bias. Fundamentals are weakening YoY (2025/Q3 revenue, net income, and EPS down materially), so this is more attractive as a tactical buy now rather than a fundamentals-driven accumulation.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) indicates an established uptrend. Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.00819) and expanding, supporting continuation. RSI_6 at 56.3 is neutral-to-slightly-bullish (not overbought). Levels: Pivot 11.146. Current price (~11.03) is slightly below pivot and sitting just above S1 10.981 (near-term support). Upside resistance levels: R1 11.31 then R2 11.411. Tactical read: Price near support with bullish trend + improving momentum suggests a reasonable immediate entry for a bounce toward 11.31–11.41. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): No signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock today.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Very call-heavy open interest (put/call OI 0.22) and no put volume today points to bullish sentiment.

Volatility: Implied vol (30D) 68.53 vs historical vol 17.73 with IV percentile 90.8 suggests options are priced for elevated uncertainty (likely earnings-related). Volume is light today (13 contracts) but open interest is meaningful (1659), so the skew is more about positioning than today’s flow.

Interpretation: Sentiment skew bullish, but options are expensive; market is paying up for near-term uncertainty.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Technical uptrend with positive momentum (bullish MA stack + expanding MACD). Call-skewed options positioning (low put/call OI). Price is near a defined support zone (around 10.98), improving near-term risk/reward for an immediate entry. Next earnings catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-05 (pre-market), with EPS estimate ~0.21.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

showed clear YoY deterioration: revenue -20.75%, net income -31.25%, EPS -31.82%, and gross margin down (-3.72% YoY). Implied volatility is extremely elevated (IV percentile 90.8), signaling the market expects sharp moves/uncertainty into upcoming events. No supportive newsflow in the last week to reinforce a fundamental re-rate.

Financial Performance

2025/Q3 results were weaker YoY: Revenue $101.94M (-20.75% YoY), Net Income $19.19M (-31.25% YoY), EPS $0.15 (-31.82% YoY), Gross Margin 43.7% (-3.72% YoY). Overall, growth trends are negative in the latest quarter, which limits the case for a long-term fundamentals-first buy and makes this more of a tactical/technical entry.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating trend or price target change data was provided, so a clear Wall Street consensus shift can’t be confirmed here. Pros view (based on available trading/positioning data): bullish options skew and constructive chart. Cons view (based on financials): declining YoY revenue/earnings and margin pressure, which can cap upside unless upcoming earnings show stabilization.

3 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast LADR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LADR is 12.33 USD with a low forecast of 11.5 USD and a high forecast of 13.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 10.910

Low

11.5

Averages

12.33

High

13.5

Current: 10.910

Low

11.5

Averages

12.33

High

13.5

Keefe Bruyette

Outperform

maintain

$12

AI Analysis

2025-07-25

Reason

Keefe Bruyette

Price Target

$12

AI Analysis

2025-07-25

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Keefe Bruyette raised the firm's price target on Ladder Capital to $12 from $11.75 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.

Keefe Bruyette

Jade Rahmani

Outperform

maintain

2025-07-10

Reason

Keefe Bruyette

Jade Rahmani

Price Target

2025-07-10

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Keefe Bruyette analyst Jade Rahmani raised the firm's price target on Ladder Capital to $11.75 from $11.50 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.

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LADR Should I Buy

LADR Should I Buy

Should You Buy Ladder Capital Corp (LADR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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