Jefferies Report: Missouri Casinos Anticipated to Gain from Low Base in First Half of 2026 and Conservative State Projections
Macau Gaming Industry Performance: Jefferies reported a positive outlook for Macau's gaming industry, with a 14.8% year-over-year increase in GGR for September 2025, contributing to an annual growth of 9.1% YoY, aligning with market expectations.
Future Growth Expectations: The report suggests that Macau's casinos are well-positioned for growth in 2026, despite the government's conservative low single-digit growth forecast, due to a low base until May 2026.
Preferred Casino Stocks: Jefferies favors Wynn Resorts and Las Vegas Sands Corp. among US-listed casinos, anticipating they will outperform peers due to opportunities in Singapore and the UAE, as well as positive trends in Macau.
Attractive Valuations for Hong Kong Stocks: The broker remains optimistic about Galaxy Entertainment and Sands China, citing attractive enterprise value ratios of 6-10x for Macau's casinos, indicating potential for upside.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on 00027
About the author
<Midday Update> HSI Falls 717 Points; HSTI Declines 95 Points; PING AN Drops More Than 4%; BABA Decreases Over 4%
Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 717 points (2.8%) to 25,051, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced declines of 2.0% and 2.4%, respectively.
Notable Stock Movements: Major companies like Ping An, Alibaba, and AIA saw significant drops in their stock prices, with Ping An down 4.6% and Alibaba down 4.2%.
Short Selling Activity: High short selling volumes were reported for several stocks, including Alibaba ($1.56B) and Tencent ($1.91B), indicating bearish sentiment among investors.
Gainers and Losers: While many stocks declined, XIAOMI showed a slight increase of 1.5%, and XXF surged by 22.8%, contrasting with significant losses from companies like DALIPAL HLDG and COSCO SHIP ENGY, which dropped over 10%.
Jefferies Reports February GGR for MO Falls Short of Expectations; GALAXY ENT (00027.HK) Maintains Buy Rating
Macau Gaming Revenue: Macau's GGR for February reached MOP20.6 billion, reflecting a 4% year-over-year increase and a 1% month-over-month increase, although it fell short of market estimates.
Broker Insights: Jefferies reported a preference for premium operators like GALAXY ENT and Wynn Resorts, despite the GGR data being below initial market expectations.
Visitor Activity: HSBC Research maintained a Buy rating on GALAXY ENT, citing strong visitor and commercial activity during the Lunar New Year, indicating resilience in travel spending.
Market Performance: The report noted short selling activity of $188.25 million with a ratio of 36.397%, highlighting ongoing market dynamics.
<Full-day Summary> HSI Falls 570 Points; HSTI Declines 148 Points; XIAOMI Drops More Than 5%; MEITUAN Decreases Over 4%; BABA Falls Over 4%; XINYI GLASS, CNOOC, PETROCHINA, OOIL, and CHINA SHENHUA Reach New Highs; Market Turnover Increases
Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 570 points (2.1%) to 26,059, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) dropped 148 points (2.9%) to 4,989, with a total market turnover of $357.68 billion.
Declining Heavyweights: Major stocks like Xiaomi, Meituan, and Alibaba experienced significant declines, with Xiaomi down 5% and Alibaba down 4.5%, amidst high short selling ratios.
Gainers in the Market: Xinyi Glass and CNOOC were notable gainers, with Xinyi Glass rising 12.4% to a new high, while CNOOC increased by 5.6%.
Volatile Stocks: Several stocks faced sharp declines, including Guofuhee, which plummeted 19.2%, and Dmall, which fell 13.1%, indicating a volatile trading environment.
JPM Suggests Focused Investment Strategy, Identifies GALAXY ENT as Preferred Choice; February GGR Exceeds Expectations
Macau's GGR Performance: Macau's gross gaming revenue (GGR) for February increased by 4% year-on-year to MOP20.6 billion, exceeding market expectations, with a notable surge in the last week of February driven by high-end customer demand.
Investor Recommendations: JPMorgan advised investors to be selective, favoring GALAXY ENT with a target price of HKD52, while rating SJM HOLDINGS and MELCO INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT as Underweight with lower target prices.
<Research>CLSA: February GGR Exceeds Expectations; Preferred Stocks GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT and MGM CHINA
Macau's GGR Performance: Macau's Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) for February rose by 4.5% year-on-year to MOP20.6 billion, exceeding market expectations of 1% growth, driven by strong demand towards the end of the month.
Market Analysis: The gaming sector in Macau is currently valued at 10.1 times the projected 2026 EV/EBITDA, with GALAXY ENT and MGM CHINA identified as top picks by CLSA, despite recent short selling activity.
CLSA Projects March GGR in Macau to Increase 9.7% Year-on-Year to MOP21.6 Billion
Macau's GGR Performance: Macau's Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) for February increased by 4.5% year-on-year to MOP20.6 billion, surpassing a downgraded market forecast of 1% but falling short of CLSA's expectation of 7.4%.
Strong End to February: Despite a weak performance in mid-February, GGR showed a strong average of MOP1.053 billion from February 23 to 28, indicating a positive outlook for March.
March GGR Forecast: CLSA anticipates a 9.7% year-on-year growth in Macau's GGR for March, projecting it to reach MOP21.6 billion, although this is 3% lower than market expectations.
Top Stock Picks: CLSA identifies Galaxy Entertainment and MGM China as its top stock picks, with notable short selling activity reported for both companies.
<Midday Update> HSI Falls 717 Points; HSTI Declines 95 Points; PING AN Drops More Than 4%; BABA Decreases Over 4%
Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 717 points (2.8%) to 25,051, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced declines of 2.0% and 2.4%, respectively.
Notable Stock Movements: Major companies like Ping An, Alibaba, and AIA saw significant drops in their stock prices, with Ping An down 4.6% and Alibaba down 4.2%.
Short Selling Activity: High short selling volumes were reported for several stocks, including Alibaba ($1.56B) and Tencent ($1.91B), indicating bearish sentiment among investors.
Gainers and Losers: While many stocks declined, XIAOMI showed a slight increase of 1.5%, and XXF surged by 22.8%, contrasting with significant losses from companies like DALIPAL HLDG and COSCO SHIP ENGY, which dropped over 10%.
Jefferies Reports February GGR for MO Falls Short of Expectations; GALAXY ENT (00027.HK) Maintains Buy Rating
Macau Gaming Revenue: Macau's GGR for February reached MOP20.6 billion, reflecting a 4% year-over-year increase and a 1% month-over-month increase, although it fell short of market estimates.
Broker Insights: Jefferies reported a preference for premium operators like GALAXY ENT and Wynn Resorts, despite the GGR data being below initial market expectations.
Visitor Activity: HSBC Research maintained a Buy rating on GALAXY ENT, citing strong visitor and commercial activity during the Lunar New Year, indicating resilience in travel spending.
Market Performance: The report noted short selling activity of $188.25 million with a ratio of 36.397%, highlighting ongoing market dynamics.
<Full-day Summary> HSI Falls 570 Points; HSTI Declines 148 Points; XIAOMI Drops More Than 5%; MEITUAN Decreases Over 4%; BABA Falls Over 4%; XINYI GLASS, CNOOC, PETROCHINA, OOIL, and CHINA SHENHUA Reach New Highs; Market Turnover Increases
Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 570 points (2.1%) to 26,059, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) dropped 148 points (2.9%) to 4,989, with a total market turnover of $357.68 billion.
Declining Heavyweights: Major stocks like Xiaomi, Meituan, and Alibaba experienced significant declines, with Xiaomi down 5% and Alibaba down 4.5%, amidst high short selling ratios.
Gainers in the Market: Xinyi Glass and CNOOC were notable gainers, with Xinyi Glass rising 12.4% to a new high, while CNOOC increased by 5.6%.
Volatile Stocks: Several stocks faced sharp declines, including Guofuhee, which plummeted 19.2%, and Dmall, which fell 13.1%, indicating a volatile trading environment.
JPM Suggests Focused Investment Strategy, Identifies GALAXY ENT as Preferred Choice; February GGR Exceeds Expectations
Macau's GGR Performance: Macau's gross gaming revenue (GGR) for February increased by 4% year-on-year to MOP20.6 billion, exceeding market expectations, with a notable surge in the last week of February driven by high-end customer demand.
Investor Recommendations: JPMorgan advised investors to be selective, favoring GALAXY ENT with a target price of HKD52, while rating SJM HOLDINGS and MELCO INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT as Underweight with lower target prices.
<Research>CLSA: February GGR Exceeds Expectations; Preferred Stocks GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT and MGM CHINA
Macau's GGR Performance: Macau's Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) for February rose by 4.5% year-on-year to MOP20.6 billion, exceeding market expectations of 1% growth, driven by strong demand towards the end of the month.
Market Analysis: The gaming sector in Macau is currently valued at 10.1 times the projected 2026 EV/EBITDA, with GALAXY ENT and MGM CHINA identified as top picks by CLSA, despite recent short selling activity.
CLSA Projects March GGR in Macau to Increase 9.7% Year-on-Year to MOP21.6 Billion
Macau's GGR Performance: Macau's Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) for February increased by 4.5% year-on-year to MOP20.6 billion, surpassing a downgraded market forecast of 1% but falling short of CLSA's expectation of 7.4%.
Strong End to February: Despite a weak performance in mid-February, GGR showed a strong average of MOP1.053 billion from February 23 to 28, indicating a positive outlook for March.
March GGR Forecast: CLSA anticipates a 9.7% year-on-year growth in Macau's GGR for March, projecting it to reach MOP21.6 billion, although this is 3% lower than market expectations.
Top Stock Picks: CLSA identifies Galaxy Entertainment and MGM China as its top stock picks, with notable short selling activity reported for both companies.
