Iran War Expected to Boost EV Demand Gradually
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy STLA?
Source: Newsfilter
- Surge in Consumer Interest: Since the onset of the Iran war, car-selling platforms in the U.S. and Europe have reported a significant increase in inquiries for electric vehicles (EVs), with Autotrader noting a 28% rise in new EV inquiries and a 15% increase in used EV inquiries, indicating a growing consumer focus on EVs despite traditional automakers adjusting their strategies.
- Impact of Oil Prices: The sharp rise in oil prices has made owning a battery electric vehicle (BEV) more appealing for high-mileage drivers, with analysts suggesting that while the shift to EVs will be gradual, heightened oil prices and energy security concerns are likely to provide mid-term support for BEV demand, potentially encouraging consumers to abandon internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles.
- Sales Forecasts: Despite the rising consumer interest in EVs, Cox Automotive forecasts that U.S. EV sales will decline by 28% in the first quarter to 212,600 units, indicating that high gas prices have not immediately translated into increased EV sales, while sales of electrified vehicles, including hybrids, are expected to rise, accounting for 26% of new vehicle sales.
- Accelerated Global Transition: The energy shock from the Iran war is expected to facilitate a faster transition to EVs in Europe and Asia, particularly in countries like Vietnam, Thailand, and Indonesia, where affordable models from Chinese manufacturers are likely to drive a quicker shift away from fossil fuel dependency.
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Analyst Views on STLA
Wall Street analysts forecast STLA stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 7.090
Low
9.33
Averages
11.81
High
15.15
Current: 7.090
Low
9.33
Averages
11.81
High
15.15
About STLA
Stellantis N.V., formerly Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N.V., is a holding Company based in the Netherlands and operates as an automaker and a mobility provider. The Company is engaged in designing, engineering, manufacturing, distributing and selling vehicles, components and production systems. The Company has industrial operations in more than 30 countries and sells its vehicles directly or through distributors and dealers in more than 130 countries. The Company designs, manufactures, distributes and sells vehicles for the mass-market under the Abarth, Alfa Romeo, Chrysler, Dodge, Fiat, Fiat Professional, Jeep, Lancia and Ram brands. In addition, the Company designs, manufactures, distributes and sells luxury vehicles under the Maserati brand. The Company's brand portfolio also includes Peugeot, Citroen, DS Automobiles, Opel and Vauxhall. It offers a wide variety of vehicle choices from luxury and mainstream passenger vehicles to pickup trucks, sport utility vehicle (SUVs).
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Surge in EV Interest: Since the onset of the Iran war, inquiries for new electric vehicles in the U.S. have surged by 28%, while used EV inquiries rose by 15%, indicating a significant consumer shift towards EVs, even as traditional automakers pivot back to internal combustion engines.
- Fuel Prices Impact Buying Behavior: Elevated gas prices have made electric vehicles more appealing for long-distance drivers; however, Cox Automotive anticipates that consumer buying habits will require over six months of sustained high gas prices to change significantly, highlighting the slow pace of market transition.
- Decline in EV Sales: Despite increased inquiries, Cox forecasts a 28% drop in U.S. EV sales for the first quarter, down to 212,600 units, reflecting limited market acceptance of electric vehicles amidst shifting consumer preferences.
- Global Market Transformation: The energy shock from the Iran war is expected to accelerate EV adoption in Europe and Asia, particularly in countries like Vietnam, Thailand, and Indonesia, where consumers are increasingly inclined to choose affordable models from Chinese manufacturers.
See More
- Surge in Consumer Interest: Since the onset of the Iran war, car-selling platforms in the U.S. and Europe have reported a significant increase in inquiries for electric vehicles (EVs), with Autotrader noting a 28% rise in new EV inquiries and a 15% increase in used EV inquiries, indicating a growing consumer focus on EVs despite traditional automakers adjusting their strategies.
- Impact of Oil Prices: The sharp rise in oil prices has made owning a battery electric vehicle (BEV) more appealing for high-mileage drivers, with analysts suggesting that while the shift to EVs will be gradual, heightened oil prices and energy security concerns are likely to provide mid-term support for BEV demand, potentially encouraging consumers to abandon internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles.
- Sales Forecasts: Despite the rising consumer interest in EVs, Cox Automotive forecasts that U.S. EV sales will decline by 28% in the first quarter to 212,600 units, indicating that high gas prices have not immediately translated into increased EV sales, while sales of electrified vehicles, including hybrids, are expected to rise, accounting for 26% of new vehicle sales.
- Accelerated Global Transition: The energy shock from the Iran war is expected to facilitate a faster transition to EVs in Europe and Asia, particularly in countries like Vietnam, Thailand, and Indonesia, where affordable models from Chinese manufacturers are likely to drive a quicker shift away from fossil fuel dependency.
See More
- EV Collaboration Talks: Stellantis is in early discussions with China's Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology to produce electric vehicles, aiming to leverage Leapmotor's low-cost EV platforms to enhance competitiveness in the North American market.
- Policy Support Context: Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney's agreement with President Xi Jinping to reduce tariffs on Chinese-made EVs indicates the Canadian government's openness to joint ventures with trusted Chinese partners, fostering a conducive environment for investment.
- Equity Investment: Stellantis acquired approximately a 20% stake in Leapmotor for about €1.5 billion, which not only strengthens the partnership but also provides Stellantis with crucial funding to expand its presence in the electric vehicle sector.
- Strategic Market Implications: Despite past warnings from the Trump administration about potential retaliation, the ongoing collaboration between Stellantis and Leapmotor reflects the growing momentum of Chinese EV manufacturers in the Americas, potentially reshaping the competitive landscape of the North American electric vehicle market.
See More
- EV Collaboration Talks: Stellantis is reportedly in discussions with Chinese partner Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology Co. to produce electric vehicles in Canada, indicating an accelerated strategic push into the EV market.
- Plant Utilization Improvement: The talks are focused on an idled Stellantis assembly plant in Ontario, which, if an agreement is reached, would effectively enhance the plant's utilization and create job opportunities.
- Tariff Policy Impact: These negotiations are taking place against the backdrop of Canada’s agreement with China to reduce tariffs on Chinese-made electric vehicles, highlighting the positive influence of policy changes on multinational collaborations.
- Positive Stock Reaction: Following the news of the talks, Stellantis's stock rose by 4%, reflecting market optimism regarding the company's future prospects in the electric vehicle sector.
See More











