Interactive Brokers Q1 Earnings Preview
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Should l Buy IBKR?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Announcement Date: Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) is set to release its Q1 2023 earnings on April 21 after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.60, reflecting a significant 68.1% year-over-year decline, while revenue is expected to reach $1.68 billion, indicating a 17.5% year-over-year growth, showcasing resilience in revenue generation.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, IBKR has surpassed EPS and revenue estimates 75% of the time, indicating stability in profitability and market performance, which may bolster investor confidence in the stock.
- Expectation Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen four upward revisions and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have experienced three upward revisions with no downward adjustments, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's future performance and growth potential.
- Trading Activity Trends: IBKR reported a 25% year-over-year increase in daily average revenue trades in March, although there was a 1% sequential decline, which may influence investor expectations regarding the company's short-term performance and reflects the impact of market volatility on trading activities.
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Analyst Views on IBKR
Wall Street analysts forecast IBKR stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 81.250
Low
75.00
Averages
81.43
High
91.00
Current: 81.250
Low
75.00
Averages
81.43
High
91.00
About IBKR
Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. is an automated global electronic broker. The Company custodies and services accounts for hedge and mutual funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), registered investment advisors, proprietary trading groups, introducing brokers and individual investors. It specializes in routing orders and executing and processing trades in stocks, options, futures, foreign exchange instruments (forex), bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, precious metals, and forecast contracts on more than 160 electronic exchanges and market centers in 36 countries and 28 currencies around the world. In addition, its customers can use its trading platform to trade certain cryptocurrencies through third-party cryptocurrency service providers that execute, clear and custody the cryptocurrencies. Its trading platforms include IBKR Desktop, IBKR Trader Workstation, IBKR Mobile, IBKR Client Portal and others. Its key product offerings include IBKR Pro, IBKR Lite, and IBKR Universal Account.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
BARCLAYS INCREASES TARGET PRICE FOR INTERACTIVE BROKERS GROUP INC. TO $93, UP FROM $85
- Target Price Increase: Barclays has raised its target price for Interactive Brokers Group Inc. to $93 from $85.
- Market Implications: This adjustment reflects Barclays' positive outlook on the company's performance and potential growth in the market.
See More
IBKR Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript
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- Ceasefire Extension: President Trump has extended the ceasefire with Iran following a stock market decline due to canceled talks, aiming to stabilize market sentiment and prevent further geopolitical tensions.
- Market Reaction: The stock market's drop reflects investor uncertainty regarding future economic and political conditions, and Trump's decision may help restore confidence among investors.
- Tesla Earnings Upcoming: Amid this backdrop, Tesla is set to release its earnings report, which is expected to significantly impact the stock market, particularly in the current unstable economic environment.
- Geopolitical Implications: Trump's decision to extend the ceasefire not only adjusts U.S. policy towards Iran but may also affect diplomatic relations with other countries, potentially leading to far-reaching consequences for global markets.
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Interactive Brokers Q1 2026 Earnings Highlights
- Client Fund Growth: Despite weaker markets, Interactive Brokers reported a 35% year-over-year increase in client uninvested cash balances to a record $169 billion in Q1, indicating strong interest in account openings and funding, thereby enhancing the company's liquidity and market competitiveness.
- Profitability Improvement: The company achieved a pretax profit margin of 77%, marking the sixth consecutive quarter above 70%, and decided to raise the annual dividend to $0.35, reflecting a proactive approach to capital allocation and a commitment to shareholder returns.
- Surge in Trading Activity: Trading volumes nearly tripled year-over-year in Q1, reaching 8.1 million trades, demonstrating the company's success in expanding trading activities, particularly with the rollout of new products in crypto and prediction markets.
- Accelerated AI Investment: Management emphasized the active incorporation of AI across research and service workflows, enhancing customer service efficiency and automating processes to reduce operational costs, further strengthening the company's market adaptability and competitive edge.
See More
Mixed Earnings Reports from Multiple Companies
- United Airlines Guidance Cut: Despite beating first-quarter expectations, United Airlines expects adjusted earnings for 2026 to be between $7 and $11 per share, down from prior guidance of $12 to $14, indicating pressure from rising fuel prices on its outlook.
- Capital One Earnings Miss: Capital One Financial Group reported first-quarter earnings of $4.42 per share, falling short of the $4.55 estimate, with revenue of $15.23 billion also below the $15.36 billion forecast, leading to a nearly 4% drop in stock price.
- Interactive Brokers Revenue Shortfall: Interactive Brokers Group's first-quarter revenue of $1.68 billion missed the $1.71 billion expectation, although adjusted earnings of 60 cents per share met forecasts, resulting in a nearly 2% decline in shares.
- Adobe Stock Buyback Plan: Adobe's board approved a $25 billion stock repurchase program through April 2030, which comes as its stock has fallen over 29% year-to-date, yet shares rose more than 2% following the announcement.
See More
IBKR Shares Drop as Q1 Earnings Miss Expectations
- Earnings Shortfall: Interactive Brokers reported adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.60 for Q1, which, while higher than $0.47 a year ago, fell short of the $0.60 consensus, leading to a 2.26% drop in post-market trading to $77.82.
- Revenue Growth Challenges: The company generated $1.67 billion in revenue for the quarter, reflecting a 16.8% year-over-year increase, yet it missed the consensus by $10 million, indicating revenue growth pressures in a competitive market.
- Commission Revenue Surge: Despite the overall revenue miss, commission revenue rose by 19% to $613 million, driven by increased customer trading volumes, suggesting heightened client activity that could support future revenue growth.
- Dividend Increase: Interactive Brokers raised its quarterly cash dividend from $0.08 to $0.0875 per share, reflecting confidence in its profitability, with payments scheduled for June 12 to shareholders of record as of June 1.
See More
BARCLAYS INCREASES TARGET PRICE FOR INTERACTIVE BROKERS GROUP INC. TO $93, UP FROM $85
- Target Price Increase: Barclays has raised its target price for Interactive Brokers Group Inc. to $93 from $85.
- Market Implications: This adjustment reflects Barclays' positive outlook on the company's performance and potential growth in the market.
See More
IBKR Q1 2026 Earnings Transcript
See More
Trump Extends Iran Ceasefire Amid Market Decline
- Ceasefire Extension: President Trump has extended the ceasefire with Iran following a stock market decline due to canceled talks, aiming to stabilize market sentiment and prevent further geopolitical tensions.
- Market Reaction: The stock market's drop reflects investor uncertainty regarding future economic and political conditions, and Trump's decision may help restore confidence among investors.
- Tesla Earnings Upcoming: Amid this backdrop, Tesla is set to release its earnings report, which is expected to significantly impact the stock market, particularly in the current unstable economic environment.
- Geopolitical Implications: Trump's decision to extend the ceasefire not only adjusts U.S. policy towards Iran but may also affect diplomatic relations with other countries, potentially leading to far-reaching consequences for global markets.
See More
Interactive Brokers Q1 2026 Earnings Highlights
- Client Fund Growth: Despite weaker markets, Interactive Brokers reported a 35% year-over-year increase in client uninvested cash balances to a record $169 billion in Q1, indicating strong interest in account openings and funding, thereby enhancing the company's liquidity and market competitiveness.
- Profitability Improvement: The company achieved a pretax profit margin of 77%, marking the sixth consecutive quarter above 70%, and decided to raise the annual dividend to $0.35, reflecting a proactive approach to capital allocation and a commitment to shareholder returns.
- Surge in Trading Activity: Trading volumes nearly tripled year-over-year in Q1, reaching 8.1 million trades, demonstrating the company's success in expanding trading activities, particularly with the rollout of new products in crypto and prediction markets.
- Accelerated AI Investment: Management emphasized the active incorporation of AI across research and service workflows, enhancing customer service efficiency and automating processes to reduce operational costs, further strengthening the company's market adaptability and competitive edge.
See More
Mixed Earnings Reports from Multiple Companies
- United Airlines Guidance Cut: Despite beating first-quarter expectations, United Airlines expects adjusted earnings for 2026 to be between $7 and $11 per share, down from prior guidance of $12 to $14, indicating pressure from rising fuel prices on its outlook.
- Capital One Earnings Miss: Capital One Financial Group reported first-quarter earnings of $4.42 per share, falling short of the $4.55 estimate, with revenue of $15.23 billion also below the $15.36 billion forecast, leading to a nearly 4% drop in stock price.
- Interactive Brokers Revenue Shortfall: Interactive Brokers Group's first-quarter revenue of $1.68 billion missed the $1.71 billion expectation, although adjusted earnings of 60 cents per share met forecasts, resulting in a nearly 2% decline in shares.
- Adobe Stock Buyback Plan: Adobe's board approved a $25 billion stock repurchase program through April 2030, which comes as its stock has fallen over 29% year-to-date, yet shares rose more than 2% following the announcement.
See More
IBKR Shares Drop as Q1 Earnings Miss Expectations
- Earnings Shortfall: Interactive Brokers reported adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.60 for Q1, which, while higher than $0.47 a year ago, fell short of the $0.60 consensus, leading to a 2.26% drop in post-market trading to $77.82.
- Revenue Growth Challenges: The company generated $1.67 billion in revenue for the quarter, reflecting a 16.8% year-over-year increase, yet it missed the consensus by $10 million, indicating revenue growth pressures in a competitive market.
- Commission Revenue Surge: Despite the overall revenue miss, commission revenue rose by 19% to $613 million, driven by increased customer trading volumes, suggesting heightened client activity that could support future revenue growth.
- Dividend Increase: Interactive Brokers raised its quarterly cash dividend from $0.08 to $0.0875 per share, reflecting confidence in its profitability, with payments scheduled for June 12 to shareholders of record as of June 1.
See More
