HSBC Research Sets Target Price for ZHAOJIN MINING (01818.HK) at $23.7, Maintains Buy Rating
Company Performance: ZHAOJIN MINING reported a 51% year-on-year revenue increase for 1H25, with gold production rising by approximately 8% to 14 tons and attributable production increasing by about 14% to 10 tons.
Profit Growth: The average selling price of gold surged by around 39% to RMB722 per gram, contributing to a net profit that more than doubled year-on-year to RMB1.4 billion.
Analyst Ratings: UBS raised ZHAOJIN MINING's target price from $22.3 to $23.7, maintaining a "Buy" rating, citing geopolitical tensions and potential US Fed rate cuts as catalysts for growth.
Future Outlook: HSBC Global Research expressed optimism regarding ZHAOJIN MINING's operational performance due to new projects and a strategic alliance with Zijin, leading to higher earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026.
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Market Performance: The HSI closed down 518 points (2%) at 25,249, with the HSCEI and HSTECH also experiencing declines, totaling a market turnover of $364.304 billion.
Financial Sector Decline: Major financial stocks like HSBC and AIA saw significant losses, with HSBC down 3.7% and AIA down 4.7%, amidst high short selling activity.
Commodities Stocks Drop: Commodities stocks generally fell, with companies like SD GOLD and ZHAOJIN MINING losing between 2.8% and 3.3%, while MMG reported strong profits but still saw a 4.3% drop in share price.
Gainers Amidst Losses: Despite the overall market downturn, CHINAHONGQIAO and CHALCO gained 6% and 5.4% respectively, attributed to tightened aluminum supply following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Market Opening: Hong Kong stocks opened lower, with the HSI down 1.2% at 25,469, the HSCEI down 1.1% at 8,516, and the HSTECH down 1.2% at 4,816.
Commodity Prices Impact: Declines in gold and silver prices led to lower openings for commodities stocks, with significant drops in companies like SD GOLD and ZHAOJIN MINING.
Company Performance: MMG reported a significant increase in annual net profit but saw its stock price fall by 4%, while PACIFIC BASIN's net profit fell 56%, causing its stock to drop 2%.
Mixed Results: TECHTRONIC IND announced a record high net profit but experienced a 4.9% decline in stock price, while SINO BIOPHARM's subsidiary secured a licensing agreement but also saw a slight decrease in share price.

Southbound Capital Inflows: Southbound capital inflows into Hong Kong stocks slowed last week, with a net inflow of HK$6.7 billion, primarily in the information technology, consumer discretionary, and real estate sectors, while telecoms and utilities experienced net outflows.
Top Net Buys: The top net buys included MEITUAN-W, XIAOMI-W, and TENCENT, with significant short selling activity reported for these stocks.
ETF Inflows: There was an acceleration in net inflows into ETFs investing in the Hong Kong market, totaling HK$444.26 billion, with Southbound Stock Connect ETFs seeing a net inflow of HK$1.9 billion.
Top Net Sells: The top net sells over the past two weeks included ZIJIN MINING, CHINA LIFE, and POP MART, indicating a trend of capital outflow from these stocks.

Market Performance: Hong Kong stocks rose in early trading, with the HSI up 199 points (0.8%) to 26,789, and total market turnover reaching HKD122.273 billion.
HSBC Results: HSBC Holdings reported a 7.4% year-on-year decline in profit before tax to USD29.907 billion, with its stock price down 0.3% at HKD134.9, while declaring a quarterly dividend of USD0.45.
Commodity Stocks Surge: Several commodity stocks, including ZHAOJIN MINING and ZIJIN GOLD INTL, saw significant gains of over 2%, with CHINAGOLDINTL spiking 3.2%.
Consumer Sector Growth: Consumer stocks advanced, highlighted by MAOYAN ENT's forecast of RMB540 million profit, and notable increases in sportswear and catering stocks, with HAIDILAO jumping 5.8%.
Southbound Trading Inflows: Meituan-W (03690.HK) saw significant net inflows of HKD545.9 million, while SMIC (00981.HK) and YOFC (06869.HK) also experienced positive inflows.
Southbound Trading Outflows: Tencent (00700.HK) faced the highest net outflow of HKD1.4 billion, alongside Pop Mart (09992.HK) and Zhaojin Mining (01818.HK), which also reported outflows.
Short Selling Activity: Notable short selling was observed across several stocks, with Tencent leading at $1.50 billion, followed by Pop Mart and YOFC, indicating a high level of market speculation.
Market Overview: Overall, Southbound Trading net outflow totaled HKD0, accounting for 40.90% of the total transaction amount of HKD95.72 billion, reflecting a cautious market sentiment.

Accident Overview: A hoisting accident at ZHAOJIN MINING's Canzhuang Gold Mine in Shandong Province resulted in 7 fatalities on Saturday morning.
Investigation and Detentions: Local authorities have initiated an investigation into the accident and the company's failure to report it, leading to the detention of 11 individuals, including key management personnel.






