Home Depot and Chevron: Steady Dividend Stocks
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 28 2026
0mins
Source: Fool
- Home Depot's Profitability: As the world's largest home improvement retailer, Home Depot (HD) experienced a slight dip in earnings in its latest quarter, yet maintains a robust EBITDA margin of 15.4% and a net profit margin of 8.7%, indicating strong profitability and the potential for continued dividend increases.
- Stable Dividend Policy: Home Depot pays a quarterly dividend of $2.30 per share, totaling $9.20 annually, with a current yield of 2.4%; although its payout ratio of 62% is slightly above historical averages, it still has ample room to continue paying and potentially increasing dividends.
- Chevron's Cash Flow Advantage: Chevron (CVX) boasts the highest cash flow from operations and production growth among its peers, with both metrics projected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10% from 2024 to 2026, providing strong support for its ongoing dividend payments.
- Sustainability of Dividend Growth: Despite a high payout ratio of 95%, Chevron is expected to maintain its 38-year streak of annual dividend increases, having raised its free cash flow guidance by $12.5 billion for 2026, showcasing its strong performance and growth potential in the oil and gas sector.
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Analyst Views on CVX
Wall Street analysts forecast CVX stock price to fall
19 Analyst Rating
15 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 197.410
Low
158.00
Averages
176.95
High
206.00
Current: 197.410
Low
158.00
Averages
176.95
High
206.00
About CVX
Chevron Corporation is an integrated energy company. The Company produces crude oil and natural gas; manufactures transportation fuels, lubricants, petrochemicals and additives; and develops technologies that enhance its business and industry. The Company’s segments include Upstream and Downstream. Upstream operations consist primarily of exploring for, developing, producing and transporting crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation and regasification associated with LNG; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage and marketing of natural gas; carbon capture and storage; and a gas-to-liquids plant. Downstream operations consist primarily of the refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing crude oil, refined products, and lubricants; manufacturing and marketing of renewable fuels, and transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment and rail car.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Strong Profitability: Despite oil prices exceeding $100 per barrel, Chevron maintains high profitability with a breakeven level below $50 per barrel, demonstrating flexibility in capital expenditures and dividend payments, having recently increased its dividend for the 39th consecutive year.
- Cost Control and Growth Outlook: Chevron achieved $1.5 billion in cost reductions in 2025 and plans to lower capital expenditures for 2026, while also expecting to cut costs by another $3 billion to $4 billion this year, driving an anticipated average annual earnings-per-share growth of at least 10%, indicating robust earnings growth potential.
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- Chevron's Stock Lag: Although Chevron's stock has risen about 40% this year, it has not kept pace with crude oil prices due to market expectations of an end to the war and falling oil prices, leading to cautious investor sentiment regarding its future performance.
- Capital Spending Strategy Shift: Chevron has set its 2026 capital spending budget at $18 to $19 billion, focusing on high-return opportunities, and if the war escalates and damages more energy infrastructure, it is expected to increase investments in U.S. shale to quickly address global supply shortages.
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See More
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- Market Resilience: Chevron's oil and gas primarily sourced from the U.S., Kazakhstan, and Australia provides relative insulation from Middle Eastern conflicts, and rising oil prices will enhance its upstream profits, generating more cash for dividends and buybacks while improving the economics of its costly megaprojects.
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- Future Growth Potential: Analysts expect Chevron's EPS to grow at a 16% CAGR from 2025 to 2028, primarily driven by the expansion of the Tengiz Field in Kazakhstan and ongoing development in the Permian Basin, which will significantly enhance its profitability.
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- Airlines' Response Strategies: Some operators are mitigating costs by refueling in countries with cheaper fuel, even if it results in longer flight times; however, clients continue to prefer private flights to avoid long airport lines, especially during disruptions caused by government shutdowns.
See More
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- Growing Natural Gas Demand: As the largest U.S. natural gas producer, Chevron is well-positioned to benefit from strong demand for natural gas and natural gas liquids from data centers, further solidifying its market position.
- Enterprise Products Partners' Strength: Enterprise Products Partners' pipelines and terminals are critical to U.S. NGL exports, and its approximately 5.9% distribution yield along with 27 consecutive years of distribution growth make it particularly robust amid market turmoil.
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