Hedge Fund Increases $15 Million Investment in NESR Following Significant Stock Rise
GeoSphere Capital Management's Investment: GeoSphere Capital Management increased its stake in National Energy Services Reunited Corp. (NESR) by 481,228 shares in Q3, raising its total holdings to nearly 1.5 million shares valued at $15.3 million, making NESR the fund's largest position.
Performance of NESR: NESR shares have risen 67% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, despite a year-over-year revenue decline; however, the company reported a sequential net income growth of 16.7%.
Future Outlook for NESR: The company is expected to benefit from major contract wins, including a significant award in Saudi Arabia, which could enhance its growth profile and earnings durability in the coming years.
Investment Strategy: GeoSphere's move to increase its NESR position indicates a focus on improving fundamentals rather than short-term momentum, suggesting confidence in the company's long-term prospects amidst a challenging operating environment.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on NESR
About NESR
About the author

- Earnings Beat: National Energy Services Reunited reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.32, exceeding expectations by $0.07, indicating a robust profitability trend that may boost investor confidence.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $398.3 million, a 15.9% year-over-year increase, surpassing estimates by $27.86 million, reflecting strong market performance and rising customer demand.
- Improved Adjusted EBITDA: For the quarter ending December 31, 2025, adjusted EBITDA reached $84.4 million, up 32.0% sequentially, demonstrating significant progress in cost control and operational efficiency, enhancing future profitability prospects.
- Strong Free Cash Flow: The free cash flow for the year ending December 31, 2025, was $120.8 million, showcasing effective capital management and providing flexibility for future investments and shareholder returns.
- Price Target Surpassed: National Energy Services Reunited Corp (NESR) shares recently traded at $24.17, exceeding the average analyst 12-month target price of $22.14, indicating strong market optimism regarding the company's prospects.
- Diverse Analyst Reactions: Among the 7 analysts covered by Zacks, target prices range from $16.00 to $30.00, with a standard deviation of $4.775, highlighting significant divergence in market expectations for NESR's future performance.
- Clear Investor Signal: The stock's rise above the target price provides investors with a clear signal to reassess the company, prompting them to consider whether the current valuation is justified or if it’s time to take profits.
- Wisdom of Crowds: The average target price reflects the collective insights of multiple analysts, encouraging investors to pay attention to this dynamic as they navigate market trends and the company's potential.
- Record Performance: National Energy Services Reunited Corp. reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $398.3 million, reflecting a 34.9% sequential increase and a 15.9% year-over-year rise, driven by mobilization of the Jafurah contract and increased activity in North Africa, showcasing the company's strong market performance and growth potential.
- Stable EBITDA: The adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $84.4 million, with a margin of 21.2%, remaining broadly in line with third-quarter levels, indicating the company's ongoing efforts in cost control and operational efficiency, which bolster confidence in future profitability.
- Optimistic Outlook: The company anticipates achieving an annualized revenue run rate of approximately $2 billion in 2026, supported by a growing contract portfolio and consistent operational delivery, reflecting management's strong confidence in future growth prospects.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Projected capital expenditures for 2026 are approximately $165 million, with free cash flow conversion expected to be around 35% to 40% of adjusted EBITDA, providing the company with necessary financial flexibility in a rapidly changing market environment.
- Strong Price Growth: National Energy Services Reunited (NESR) has seen its stock price increase by 59.3% over the past 12 weeks, reflecting investors' sustained confidence in its potential upside, thereby enhancing its market appeal.
- Short-Term Trend Sustained: The stock has gained 26.4% in the last four weeks, indicating that the price trend remains solid, potentially providing investors with a favorable short-term investment opportunity.
- High Trading Signal: NESR is currently trading at 97.6% of its 52-week high-low range, suggesting that the stock may be on the verge of a breakout, further attracting investor attention.
- Strong Fundamental Support: With a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy), NESR ranks in the top 5% of over 4,000 stocks, indicating robust fundamentals driven by earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, which are expected to propel its stock price upward in the near term.
- Guess Earnings Estimate Up: Guess, Inc. (GES) holds a Zacks Rank #1, with its current year earnings estimate rising by 5.6% over the past 60 days, indicating strong growth potential in the apparel sector that may enhance its market competitiveness.
- National Energy Services Growth: National Energy Services Reunited Corp. (NESR) also carries a Zacks Rank #1, with next year's earnings estimate increasing by 4.1% in the last 60 days, reflecting a recovery trend in the oilfield services industry that could drive stock price appreciation.
- Alkermes Earnings Forecast Improvement: Alkermes plc (ALKS) maintains a Zacks Rank #1, with its current year earnings estimate up by 3.1% over the past 60 days, suggesting that ongoing innovations in the biopharmaceutical sector will enhance its investment appeal.
- Strong Value Scores: All three companies exhibit low price-to-earnings ratios, with Guess at 9.93, NESR at 11.85, and Alkermes at 19.23, all below their industry averages, highlighting their investment value and attracting more attention from value investors.
- Price Target Adjustment: Goldman Sachs has cut its price target for Netflix from $130 to $112, reflecting a cautious outlook ahead of the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to show solid performance by the end of 2025 as management executes its core strategic focus.
- Content Strategy: Goldman emphasizes that Netflix will continue to rely on original and returning original content to drive user engagement and growth, a strategy that may impact user retention and market share in the competitive streaming landscape.
- Market Expectations: While Goldman maintains a neutral rating on Netflix, the market's reaction to the forthcoming earnings report could lead to stock price volatility, particularly given the uncertainties in the macroeconomic environment.
- Competitive Pressure: Netflix faces competitive pressures from other streaming platforms, especially regarding content richness and user experience, which could affect its growth potential moving forward.










