Gap (GAP) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy GAP?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
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Analyst Views on GAP
Wall Street analysts forecast GAP stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 27.740
Low
25.00
Averages
31.07
High
41.00
Current: 27.740
Low
25.00
Averages
31.07
High
41.00
About GAP
The Gap, Inc. is a specialty apparel company in America. The Company offers apparel, accessories and personal care products for women, men, and children. Its Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta brands offer clothing, accessories and lifestyle products for men, women, and children. It is an omni-channel retailer, with sales to customers both in stores and online, through Company-operated and franchise stores, websites, and third-party arrangements. Its omni-channel services, including buying online pick-up in-store, order-in-store, find-in-store, and ship-from-store, as well as enhanced mobile-enabled experiences, are tailored across its collection of brands. Gap includes adult apparel and accessories; GapKids, babyGap, Gap Maternity, GapBody, and GapFit collections. Banana Republic is a premium lifestyle retailer celebrating exploration and self-expression through timeless quality, versatile fabrics, and exceptionally made womenswear, menswear, and home designs.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Announcement: Gap is scheduled to release its Q4 2023 earnings on March 5th after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.46 and revenue forecast at $4.24 billion, reflecting a 3.4% year-over-year growth, which will provide crucial insights into the company's financial health.
- Performance Beat: Over the past year, Gap has consistently exceeded EPS and revenue estimates 100% of the time, showcasing its robust profitability and market adaptability, which may bolster investor confidence and drive stock price appreciation.
- Expectation Adjustments: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen five upward revisions and one downward revision, while revenue estimates have experienced four upward revisions and one downward revision, indicating a growing optimism among analysts regarding Gap's future performance and reflecting market recognition of its growth potential.
- Market Opportunity: Despite some prevailing pessimism, Gap is viewed as a buying opportunity in the current market environment, as its ongoing earnings growth and the introduction of a new membership program could attract more investor interest and further enhance market confidence.
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- Dow Jones Decline: The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1.6% to close at 47,954.74, indicating investor concerns about economic outlook, which may lead to decreased market confidence.
- Costco Earnings Beat: Costco reported second-quarter revenue of $69.60 billion, exceeding the $69.29 billion consensus estimate, although shares dropped 2.40% to $982.57, reflecting strong sales growth and increased membership revenue.
- Gap Stock Drop: Gap's stock decreased by 1.96% to $27.20, despite fourth-quarter EPS meeting expectations, indicating market skepticism about future growth, leading to further declines in after-hours trading.
- Samsara Strong Performance: Samsara's stock surged by 3.07% to close at $29.58, with fourth-quarter revenue of $444.3 million surpassing estimates and a 28% year-over-year growth, showcasing the company's robust growth potential in the IoT sector.
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- Earnings Report: GAP's Q4 GAAP EPS stands at $0.45, aligning with expectations, while revenue reaches $4.24 billion, reflecting a 3.4% year-over-year increase, indicating stable performance amidst competitive pressures.
- Fiscal 2026 Outlook: The company anticipates net sales growth of 2% to 3% year-over-year for fiscal 2026, reaching $15.4 billion, which reflects confidence in future growth while maintaining gross margins around 40.8%, showcasing effective cost control.
- Operational Efficiency: Adjusted operating expenses are expected to remain flat year-over-year at 33.5% of net sales, indicating ongoing efforts to optimize operations that will continue to support profitability despite inflationary pressures.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Projected capital expenditures for fiscal 2026 are approximately $650 million, an increase from $470 million in 2025, signaling the company's intent to invest continuously in expanding and enhancing its business capabilities.
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- Performance Decline: Gap (GAP) faced a disappointing fourth quarter due to winter storms causing store closures, reporting net sales of $4.236 billion, slightly below the $4.24 billion estimate, leading to a 10% drop in after-hours trading.
- Weak Sales Growth: Although the company achieved its second consecutive year of revenue growth and eighth straight quarter of positive comparable sales, overall comparable store sales growth of 3% fell short of the 3.43% consensus estimate, indicating increasing market competition pressures.
- Brand Performance Disparity: Comparable sales increased by 3% for Old Navy and 4% for Banana Republic, while Athleta unexpectedly saw a 10% decline, negatively impacting Gap's overall performance and reflecting uneven market dynamics among its brands.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Gap expects first-quarter net sales to rise by 1% to 2%, with FY26 net sales projected between $15.7 billion and $15.86 billion; however, the midpoint is above estimates while EPS expectations fall short of analyst forecasts, indicating a cautious outlook for the company.
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- Performance Decline: Gap reported a net income of $171 million for the holiday quarter, translating to earnings per share of 45 cents, down from $206 million and 54 cents a year earlier, indicating a direct impact from 800 temporary store closures due to winter storms.
- Sales Growth Struggles: Although total revenue reached $4.24 billion, up about 2% year-over-year, it failed to exceed analyst expectations, highlighting the company's challenges in navigating adverse weather and competitive pressures.
- Brand Performance Discrepancies: Old Navy saw a 3% sales increase to $2.3 billion, missing the expected 4.3%, while Gap's namesake brand excelled with an 8% sales rise to $1.1 billion, surpassing the 4.6% forecast, indicating early success in brand revitalization efforts.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Gap anticipates revenue growth of 1% to 2% for the upcoming quarter, below the market expectation of 2%, and has not factored in recent tariff changes, reflecting a cautious approach in an uncertain market environment.
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