Methanex Announces Q3 Adjusted Earnings Per Share of 6 Cents, Below Consensus Estimate of 41 Cents
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 29 2025
0mins
Should l Buy MEOH?
Q3 Revenue Performance: Methanex reported Q3 revenue of $927 million, falling short of the consensus estimate of $969.79 million.
Net Loss Reported: The company experienced a net loss of $7 million attributable to shareholders in Q3 2025, a significant decline from a net income of $64 million in Q2 2025.
Factors Affecting Income: The decrease in net income was primarily due to lower average realized prices, increased finance costs, and higher depreciation, despite higher sales of produced products.
Market Conditions: The financial results were also impacted by the mark-to-market effect of share-based compensation and lower net proceeds from New Zealand gas sales.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy MEOH?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on MEOH
Wall Street analysts forecast MEOH stock price to fall
7 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 50.490
Low
38.00
Averages
49.67
High
65.00
Current: 50.490
Low
38.00
Averages
49.67
High
65.00
About MEOH
Methanex Corporation is a Canada-based producer and supplier of methanol globally. It serves customers in Asia Pacific, North America, Europe and South America. Its total annual operating capacity, including Methanex's interests in jointly owned plants, is over 10.6 million tons and is located in the United States, New Zealand, Trinidad and Tobago, Chile, Egypt, and Canada. In addition to the methanol produced at its sites, it purchases methanol produced by others under methanol offtake contracts and on the spot market. In the United States, its plants in Geismar, Louisiana, have the capability to serve global methanol demand. Its New Zealand production site supplies methanol primarily to customers in Asia Pacific. Its Chile production site supplies methanol to customers in South America and Asia Pacific. Its Egypt plant (Methanex interest 50%) is located on the Mediterranean Sea and primarily supplies methanol to domestic and European customers, but can also supply customers in Asia.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Share Acquisition: Orion Resource Partners acquired 77,291 shares of Methanex in Q4, with an estimated transaction value of $2.88 million, reflecting confidence in Methanex's future growth potential.
- Value Increase: The total position value in Methanex rose by $3.06 million due to both the increase in shares and price movements, indicating a positive market response to the company's performance.
- Financial Results: Methanex reported annual revenue of $3.6 billion, slightly down from the previous year, with net income of $145 million, showcasing significant achievements despite ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties.
- Market Outlook: Benefiting from rising methanol prices and improving supply dynamics, particularly amid U.S.-Iran tensions, Methanex's stock surged approximately 30% this year, highlighting its strong position in the chemical sector.
See More
- Share Acquisition: Orion Resource Partners acquired an additional 77,291 shares of Methanex in Q4 2026, with an estimated transaction value of $2.88 million, reflecting confidence in Methanex's future growth prospects.
- Increased Asset Allocation: This purchase raised Methanex's stake to 2.46% of Orion's 13F reportable AUM, indicating its growing significance within the investment portfolio.
- Strong Market Performance: Methanex's stock surged 45% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 21% gain, highlighting the company's competitive edge and robust market demand in the chemical sector.
- Solid Financial Health: Methanex reported annual revenue of $3.6 billion in its latest earnings, and despite a decline in net income, the company remains focused on its deleveraging plan, demonstrating resilience in an uncertain economic environment.
See More
- Stock Performance: Methanex Corp (Ticker: MEOH) recently traded at $53.01, surpassing the average analyst 12-month target price of $51.90, indicating a positive market sentiment regarding its future performance.
- Analyst Reactions: When a stock reaches its target price, analysts may either downgrade their valuation or raise their target price, reflecting confidence in Methanex's improving fundamentals, which could lead to upward adjustments in target prices.
- Target Price Distribution: Among analysts covered by Zacks, Methanex's target prices range from $38.00 to $65.00, with a standard deviation of $8.319, highlighting varying market perspectives on its future performance, necessitating cautious evaluation by investors.
- Investor Decision-Making: As the stock price exceeds the target price, investors are prompted to reassess Methanex's valuation, considering whether to hold or reduce their positions in response to potential market fluctuations.
See More
- Outstanding Safety Performance: Methanex's 2025 Sustainability Report highlights the global team's ongoing commitment to safety, showcasing strong safety performance that reflects the company's consistent focus on planning, hazard awareness, and operational excellence, thereby enhancing overall operational efficiency.
- Early Emission Reduction Achievement: The report indicates that Methanex achieved its greenhouse gas emissions intensity reduction target five years ahead of schedule, demonstrating significant progress in environmental management and laying a solid foundation for the company's transition to a low-carbon economy.
- Community Contribution and Workforce Development: Methanex emphasizes its efforts in protecting and developing its workforce and contributing to communities, showcasing a proactive stance on social responsibility that enhances brand image and market competitiveness.
- Advancement of Low-Carbon Solutions: The report mentions Methanex's active implementation of low-carbon solutions, aligning with global sustainability trends and providing new opportunities for future business growth, ensuring the company's leadership position in the industry.
See More
- Poor Financial Performance: Methanex reported a loss of $89 million in Q4 2025, translating to a loss of $1.15 per share, which is a significant decline from a profit of $45 million in the same quarter last year, indicating increasing pressure on profitability.
- Revenue Misses Expectations: Although revenues increased by approximately 2% year-over-year to $968.8 million, they fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $994.4 million, reflecting weakened market demand and intensified competition.
- Production and Sales Dynamics: The company produced 2.364 million tons in the quarter, up 26.7% year-over-year, exceeding the estimate of 2.338 million tons, while total sales volume reached 2.689 million tons, a 4.9% increase year-over-year, but still below the expected 2.809 million tons, indicating sluggish sales growth.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Methanex anticipates production of approximately 9 million tons of methanol and 0.3 million tons of ammonia in 2026, and while it expects slightly higher adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2026 compared to Q4 2025, it remains challenged by market fluctuations and uncertainties.
See More










