First Quantum makes progress towards Panama mine restart - Bloomberg
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 20 2025
0mins
Source: SeekingAlpha
Cobre Panama Mine Developments: First Quantum Minerals is preparing to ship 120K metric tons of stranded copper from its Cobre Panama mine, which was shut down in late 2023. Franco-Nevada has agreed to halt arbitration against Panama, facilitating negotiations for a potential restart of the mine.
Community and Government Response: A march by mine workers and local communities is planned to advocate for the resumption of operations at Cobre Panama, amidst ongoing anti-mining sentiment that contributed to its closure. The ability of the Panamanian government to address these sentiments remains uncertain.
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Analyst Views on FNV
Wall Street analysts forecast FNV stock price to rise
10 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 230.170
Low
210.00
Averages
236.43
High
270.00
Current: 230.170
Low
210.00
Averages
236.43
High
270.00
About FNV
Franco-Nevada Corporation is a Canada-based gold-focused royalty and streaming company. The Company’s segments include precious metals, other mining and energy. The Company’s portfolio is diversified by commodity, geography and asset. Its assets include Candelaria, Antapaccay, Antamina, Condestable, Tocantinzinho, Cerro Moro, Salares Norte, Cascabel (Alpala), Posse (Mara Rosa), CentroGold (Gurupi), Calcatreu, and San Jorge. Its other mining assets include NuevaUnion, Taca Taca, Caserones, Copper World Project, Ring of Fire, Mt Keith, Crawford, Robinson, EaglePicher, Copper World Project, and Milpillas. Its United States assets include Stillwater, Goldstrike, Gold Quarry, Marigold, Bald Mountain, South Arturo, Mesquite, Castle Mountain, Stibnite Gold, Sterling, Granite Creek (Pinson) and Arthur Gold Project. Its Canadian assets include Detour Lake, Sudbury, Hemlo, Brucejack, Macassa (Kirkland Lake), Dublin Gulch (Eagle), Musselwhite, and Timmins West.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Legal Dispute Escalation: Franco-Nevada Corporation disputes the Burkina Faso court's ruling nullifying the stream agreement, asserting that the judgment lacks validity and is actively seeking to have it vacated to protect its rights.
- Legal Action Strategy: The company is pursuing legal remedies not only in Ontario but also against Riverstone Karma SA and its parent Néré Mining SA to ensure its legal rights under the agreement are upheld.
- Business Model Strength: As a leading gold-focused royalty and streaming company, Franco-Nevada boasts a diversified portfolio of cash-flow producing assets, providing investors with optionality amid gold price fluctuations while mitigating cost inflation risks.
- Financial Robustness: The company is debt-free and utilizes its free cash flow to expand its portfolio and pay dividends, showcasing strong financial health that enhances its competitive position in the gold investment market.
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- Legal Dispute Intensifies: Franco-Nevada Corporation expresses dissatisfaction with a Burkina Faso court ruling that purportedly nullifies the stream agreement for the Karma Mine, asserting that the ruling lacks validity and demonstrating its firm stance in legal matters.
- Pursuing Legal Remedies: The company is seeking legal action in Ontario and elsewhere in accordance with the dispute resolution provisions of the agreement to protect its legal rights, indicating its commitment to safeguarding business interests.
- Financial Stability: As a leading gold-focused royalty and streaming company, Franco-Nevada boasts a diversified portfolio of cash-flow producing assets and is debt-free, utilizing its free cash flow to expand its portfolio and pay dividends, enhancing its market competitiveness.
- Investor Confidence: Despite facing legal challenges, Franco-Nevada remains committed to providing investors with gold price and exploration optionality, showcasing its strong appeal and stability in the gold investment sector.
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- Legal Dispute Escalation: Franco-Nevada Corporation is contesting a Burkina Faso court ruling that purportedly nullifies its stream agreement, asserting the judgment lacks validity and intends to seek its vacatur to protect its legal rights.
- Multi-faceted Legal Actions: The company is pursuing legal remedies not only in Ontario but also against Riverstone Karma SA and its parent Néré Mining SA, demonstrating a proactive strategy in addressing the legal dispute.
- Robust Business Model: As a leading gold-focused royalty and streaming company, Franco-Nevada boasts a diversified portfolio of cash-flow producing assets, maintaining a debt-free status while leveraging free cash flow to expand its portfolio and pay dividends despite legal challenges.
- Market Confidence Maintenance: The legal actions taken by Franco-Nevada aim to uphold investor confidence and ensure its competitive position in the gold market, demonstrating commitment to providing investors with gold price and exploration optionality despite external legal challenges.
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- Gold Investment Misconception: While purchasing physical gold or gold ETFs like SPDR Gold Trust offers direct exposure to precious metals, long-term investors may find this approach overly reliant on gold price fluctuations, making effective asset diversification challenging.
- Mining Company Advantages: For instance, Newmont Mining generated $3.1 billion in free cash flow in Q1 2026, benefiting from high gold prices, showcasing the profit potential of mining companies during price surges, although their operational risks and capital-intensive nature cannot be overlooked.
- Streaming and Royalty Companies: Companies like Franco-Nevada, Royal Gold, and Wheaton Precious Metals mitigate operational risks by providing upfront cash to miners in exchange for the right to purchase gold at favorable prices, enabling long-term growth potential while maintaining diversified portfolios.
- Learning About Streaming Investments: Although streaming and royalty companies are relatively niche in the investment landscape, understanding these firms and their unique business models will be worthwhile for long-term investors looking to add gold exposure in 2026, as they offer better protection and profitability amid market volatility.
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- Gold Investment Options: Short-term investors can opt for gold bullion or gold ETFs, while long-term investors should consider mining companies like Newmont, which generated $3.1 billion in free cash flow in Q1 2026, reflecting strong profitability from high gold prices.
- Mining Company Advantages: Newmont's production capacity grows with rising gold prices, and despite the complexities and capital intensity of mining operations, its long-term growth potential makes it a noteworthy investment choice.
- Streaming and Royalty Companies: Companies like Franco-Nevada, Royal Gold, and Wheaton Precious Metals provide upfront funding to miners in exchange for the right to purchase gold at favorable prices in the future, thereby reducing operational risks and achieving diversified revenue streams.
- Investor Recommendations: For long-term investors looking to add gold in 2026, streaming and royalty companies offer a more attractive business model; although they are relatively niche in the market, their stable profit margins and growth potential warrant further exploration.
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- Rating Upgrade: TD Cowen has upgraded Franco-Nevada from Hold to Buy with a price target of $291, citing that the stock trades near a five-year valuation trough despite its strong balance sheet and robust deal flow.
- Balance Sheet Strength: Franco-Nevada's balance sheet is considered the best positioned in the sector, with approximately $4.1 billion in financial capacity, enabling the company to pursue large-scale deal opportunities without capital restrictions.
- Strong Deal Execution: Over the past 24 months, Franco-Nevada has deployed more than $3.3 billion, with recent transactions skewed towards producing mines, resulting in an estimated addition of about 67,000 gold equivalent ounces to 2026 production.
- Cobre Panama Progress: Although the Cobre Panama restart is largely priced into the stock, the analyst notes that a full restart decision is unlikely until H2 of this year, as the environmental audit is still pending, with minimal economic impact expected from any amendments.
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