Passenger Car Registrations: EU passenger car registrations increased by 1.4% year-to-date by November 2025, but overall volumes remain below pre-pandemic levels.
Electric and Hybrid Market Share: Battery-electric cars accounted for 16.9% of the market, while hybrid-electric cars dominated with a 34.6% share, as petrol and diesel car registrations fell to 36.1%.
Sales Trends: In the first eleven months of 2025, 1.66 million new battery-electric cars and 3.41 million hybrid-electric cars were registered, while petrol car registrations dropped by 18.6%, particularly in France.
BYD's Performance: Chinese EV maker BYD sold 480,186 new energy vehicles in November, totaling 4.18 million units year-to-date, despite a 5.2% year-over-year decline in sales for the month.
Wall Street analysts forecast TSLA stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TSLA is 401.93 USD with a low forecast of 25.28 USD and a high forecast of 600.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
30 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TSLA stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TSLA is 401.93 USD with a low forecast of 25.28 USD and a high forecast of 600.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
12 Buy
11 Hold
7 Sell
Hold
Current: 431.440
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
Current: 431.440
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
GLJ Research
Gordon Johnson
Sell
maintain
2026-01-07
Reason
GLJ Research
Gordon Johnson
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-01-07
maintain
Sell
Reason
GLJ Research analyst Gordon Johnson raised the firm's price target on Tesla to $25.28 from $19.05 and keeps a Sell rating on the shares as the firm is adjusting Q4 estimates for "reality rather than narrative." With 418,000 in Q4 deliveries, a Q4 mix-shift toward heavily discounted Model Ys outside of China and Q4 being the first quarter in which U.S. automakers are no longer federally mandated to buy ZEV credits from Telsa, the "earnings math deteriorates quickly," says the analyst, who expects the company's decline in global deliveries to accelerate to 15.0% year-over-year in 2026.
Truist
William Stein
Hold
downgrade
$444 -> $439
2026-01-02
Reason
Truist
William Stein
Price Target
$444 -> $439
2026-01-02
downgrade
Hold
Reason
Truist analyst William Stein lowered the firm's price target on Tesla to $439 from $444 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares after the company announced it delivered 418k units in Q4 2025, below consensus and the firm's estimate. Truist interprets the stock's bounce as "better than feared." Energy storage deployments beat consensus. The firm asserts investors should be more focused on AI projects, especially FSD. Truist views AI developments as far more important than auto deliveries for Tesla's long-term cash generation and stock performance.
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Morgan Stanley
Andrew Percoco
Equal Weight
maintain
$425
2026-01-02
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Andrew Percoco
Price Target
$425
2026-01-02
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco notes that Tesla delivered 418,000 vehicles in Q4 2025, a slight 1% miss versus sell-side consensus but ahead of the firm's 402,000 estimate and buy-side expectations of roughly 400,000-410,000. Morgan Stanley maintains its 1.597M vehicles unit sales and 64 GWh ESS deployment estimate in 2026. The catalyst path for Tesla remains concentrated around its robotaxi business in the first half of 2026, although advancements in personal FSD - in many ways tied to a successful robotaxi roll-out - remain important drivers of future vehicle demand to support the firm's double-digit volume growth expectations in 2027 and beyond. Morgan Stanley has an Equal Weight rating on the stock with a price target of $425.
Baird
Baird
Outperform
maintain
$548
2025-12-30
Reason
Baird
Baird
Price Target
$548
2025-12-30
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Baird says Tesla shares are up 7% in the last month as attention turns to the company's potential catalysts in 2026. These include a broader robotaxi rollout, new product launches, and incremental details on Optimus commercialization, as well as non-Tesla items such as a SpaceX initial public offering, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Baird recommends owning the stock into the new year and continues to view the company as a core holding. It keeps an Outperform rating on Tesla with a $548 price target.
About TSLA
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, sells and leases high-performance fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, and offers services related to its products. Its segments include automotive, and energy generation and storage. The automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacturing, sales and leasing of high-performance fully electric vehicles, and sales of automotive regulatory credits. It also includes sales of used vehicles, non-warranty maintenance services and collisions, part sales, paid supercharging, insurance services revenue and retail merchandise sales. The energy generation and storage segment include the design, manufacture, installation, sales and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. Its consumer vehicles include the Model 3, Y, S, X and Cybertruck. Its lithium-ion battery energy storage products include Powerwall and Megapack.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
