Eli Lilly's Stock Soars 225%, Attracting Attention
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
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Should l Buy LLY?
Source: Fool
- Eli Lilly's Strong Performance: Eli Lilly's stock has surged 225% over the past three years, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 66% gain, indicating robust market performance and investor confidence.
- Novo Nordisk's Market Challenge: Although Novo Nordisk was first to market with a GLP-1 weight-loss drug, Eli Lilly's offerings have been better received, resulting in a 66% drop in Novo Nordisk's stock from its 2024 highs, highlighting competitive pressures.
- Medtronic's Business Restructuring: Medtronic plans to spin off its diabetes business in 2026; despite rapid growth in this division, its lower margins compared to other operations suggest that the spinoff will enhance overall profitability and growth potential.
- Future Growth Potential: Eli Lilly's past success does not guarantee future dominance, as Novo Nordisk's GLP-1 pill could revitalize its sales, while Medtronic's restructuring may unlock higher growth opportunities.
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Analyst Views on LLY
Wall Street analysts forecast LLY stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LLY is 1192 USD with a low forecast of 950.00 USD and a high forecast of 1500 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
20 Analyst Rating
18 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 1020.840
Low
950.00
Averages
1192
High
1500
Current: 1020.840
Low
950.00
Averages
1192
High
1500
About LLY
Eli Lilly and Company is a medicine company, which discovers, develops, manufactures, markets, and sells pharmaceutical products worldwide. Its cardiometabolic health products include Basaglar; Humalog, Humalog Mix 75/25, Humalog U-100, Humalog U-200, Humalog Mix 50/50, insulin lispro, and others; Humulin, Humulin 70/30, and others; Jardiance; Mounjaro; Trulicity; Zepbound; VERVE-102; VERVE-201, and VERVE-301. Its oncology products include Cyramza, Erbitux, Tyvyt, and Verzenio. Its immunology products include Ebglyss, Olumiant, Omvoh, and Taltz. Its neuroscience products include Emgality and Kisunla. The Company is also engaged in radiopharmaceutical discovery, development, and manufacturing efforts, and clinical and pre-clinical radioligand therapies in development for the treatment of cancer. It is also developing an oral small molecule inhibitor of a4b7 integrin for inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). It is evaluating its novel gene therapy candidate, ixoberogene soroparvovec.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Strong Earnings Beat: Eli Lilly reported sales of $19.292 billion and earnings of $7.54 per share, exceeding consensus estimates of $17.944 billion and $6.91 per share, indicating robust market performance and profitability.
- Sales Growth Highlights: Zepbound sales reached $4.261 billion, surpassing Street expectations of $3.880 billion, while Mounjaro sales stood at $7.409 billion, also beating the consensus of $6.820 billion, reflecting strong product demand.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management guided for 2026 sales of $80-$83 billion and earnings per share of $33.50-$35.00, higher than consensus estimates of $77.64 billion and $33.04, showcasing the company's growth potential.
- Prominent Growth Profile: The analyst noted that Eli Lilly has the best growth profile in their coverage universe, with projected top-line growth of approximately 20% and bottom-line growth of around 40% by 2026, establishing a clear runway for sustained growth into the next decade.
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- Eli Lilly's Strong Performance: Eli Lilly's stock has surged 225% over the past three years, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 66% gain, indicating robust market performance and investor confidence.
- Novo Nordisk's Market Challenge: Although Novo Nordisk was first to market with a GLP-1 weight-loss drug, Eli Lilly's offerings have been better received, resulting in a 66% drop in Novo Nordisk's stock from its 2024 highs, highlighting competitive pressures.
- Medtronic's Business Restructuring: Medtronic plans to spin off its diabetes business in 2026; despite rapid growth in this division, its lower margins compared to other operations suggest that the spinoff will enhance overall profitability and growth potential.
- Future Growth Potential: Eli Lilly's past success does not guarantee future dominance, as Novo Nordisk's GLP-1 pill could revitalize its sales, while Medtronic's restructuring may unlock higher growth opportunities.
See More
- Eli Lilly's Strong Performance: Eli Lilly's stock (NYSE: LLY) has surged 225% over the past three years, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 66% gain, reflecting robust market performance and investor confidence.
- GLP-1 Market Competition: While Eli Lilly excels in the GLP-1 drug sector, competitor Novo Nordisk (NYSE: NVO) is also launching new GLP-1 medications, which are expected to attract more consumers and drive long-term market growth.
- Medtronic's Strategic Shift: Medtronic (NYSE: MDT) plans to spin off its diabetes division in 2026; although this segment has been growing rapidly, it has lower margins, and the spinoff is expected to enhance overall profitability and accelerate company growth.
- Future Outlook: Despite Eli Lilly's past successes, future market competition remains fierce, with Novo Nordisk's GLP-1 drugs and Medtronic's business restructuring potentially reshaping the industry landscape, prompting investors to carefully assess risks and opportunities.
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- Nasdaq Rebound: The Nasdaq gained over 2% on Friday, yet still posted a 1.8% decline for the week, indicating ongoing investor concerns about tech stocks and the need to monitor future market trends.
- Dow Hits All-Time High: The Dow surged more than 1,200 points on Friday, closing at 50,115 with a weekly gain of 2.5%, reflecting a shift of funds from growth to value stocks, which may influence future investment strategies.
- Surge in Capital Expenditures: Alphabet announced that its capital expenditures for 2026 could exceed double the previous year, and despite a 0.5% drop in shares on Thursday, market confidence in its AI investments remains strong, signaling expectations for future growth.
- Software Stocks Crushed: Software stocks faced significant declines due to fears of AI encroaching on traditional SaaS companies, leading to pressure on the entire tech sector, prompting investors to remain vigilant about potential risks and opportunities within the industry.
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- High Valuations: While the healthcare sector's forward P/E is 18.7, Eli Lilly's forward P/E stands at 30.6, indicating excessive market optimism about its growth, thus increasing investment risks.
- Demand and Pressure: Healthcare demand remains relatively stable during economic slowdowns, but high inflation and slowing growth may lead to political pressures that could alter drug pricing and reimbursement policies, impacting revenues and earnings.
- Stability of Payment System: The U.S. healthcare payment system, comprising private insurance, public payers, and out-of-pocket spending, is not expected to change fundamentally in 2026; however, the implementation of drug price negotiations could pressure drugmakers' margins.
- Cautious Investment: Understanding how a business generates revenue and the potential legal or policy changes that could affect profitability is crucial for investors considering healthcare stocks, to avoid blindly following trends at market peaks.
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- Future Growth Outlook: Tom Lee from Fundstrat predicts that the S&P 500 index will reach 15,000 by 2030, implying a 120% upside from its current level of 6,830, presenting significant potential returns for investors.
- ETF Investment Advantage: The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF provides exposure to approximately 80% of U.S. equities and 50% of global equities by market value, offering broad access to many of the world's most influential stocks, particularly in the technology sector, enhancing portfolio diversity and potential returns.
- Strong Historical Performance: Over the past two decades, the S&P 500 has advanced 439%, compounding at an annual rate of 8.7%, and with dividends included, the total return reached 700%, compounding at 10.9%, demonstrating the wealth creation capability of long-term holding.
- Generational Wealth Transfer: Millennials are set to inherit $80 trillion and are reshaping the economy as they enter their peak earning years, combined with a predicted global labor shortage, which is expected to drive demand for technology stocks, further boosting the performance of the S&P 500 index.
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