Validea Joel Greenblatt Strategy Daily Upgrade Report - 7/12/2025
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jul 12 2025
0mins
Should l Buy OSPN?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Open Text Corp Rating Update: Open Text Corp (OTEX) received an upgrade from 80% to 90% in Validea's Earnings Yield Investor model, indicating strong interest based on its fundamentals and valuation in the Software & Programming industry.
OneSpan Inc Rating Update: OneSpan Inc (OSPN) saw its rating increase from 60% to 80% according to the same investment strategy, reflecting improved underlying fundamentals and stock valuation within the same sector.
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Analyst Views on OSPN
Wall Street analysts forecast OSPN stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 10.150
Low
15.00
Averages
18.50
High
22.00
Current: 10.150
Low
15.00
Averages
18.50
High
22.00
About OSPN
OneSpan Inc. provides secure authentication, identity, electronic signature and digital workflow solutions that protect and facilitate digital transactions and agreements. Its segments include Security Solutions and Digital Agreements. Security Solutions segment consists of its portfolio of software products, software development kits, and Digipass authenticator devices that are used to build applications designed to defend against attacks on digital transactions across online environments, devices, and applications. Its security products include authentication servers, mobile app security and mobile authenticators. Digital Agreements segment consists of solutions that enable its clients to secure and automate business processes associated with their digital agreement and customer transaction lifecycles that require consent, non-repudiation and compliance. These solutions, which are largely cloud-based, include OneSpan Sign e-signature, OneSpan Notary, and Identity Verification.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Industry Leadership: OneSpan has been recognized as an Overall Leader, Product Leader, Innovation Leader, and Market Leader in the 2026 KuppingerCole Leadership Compass, highlighting its robust capabilities in complex enterprise environments, particularly in supporting high-security and regulated use cases.
- Diverse Authentication Methods: The company offers a wide range of phishing-resistant authentication methods, including FIDO2 security keys, mobile biometrics, and adaptive authentication, enabling enterprises to confidently transition to passwordless MFA, enhancing security and user experience.
- Flexible Deployment Capabilities: OneSpan's authentication solutions support both on-premises and cloud deployments, covering various methods from OTP to FIDO, ensuring the security of users and transactions while seamlessly integrating with both modern and legacy identity systems, thereby enhancing market competitiveness.
- Strategic Vision Validation: CEO Victor Limongelli stated that this recognition validates the effectiveness of the company's long-term strategy, as enterprises accelerate their shift to phishing-resistant authentication, with OneSpan's portfolio facilitating password elimination while ensuring security and usability.
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- Dividend Increase: OneSpan has declared a quarterly dividend increase from $0.12 to $0.13 per share, representing an 8.3% rise, which not only reflects the company's stable cash flow but also boosts investor confidence in its future earnings.
- Yield Metrics: The forward yield of 4.57% provides shareholders with a relatively attractive return, further solidifying the company's appeal among investors, especially in the current market environment.
- Payment Schedule: The dividend is payable on March 27, with a record date of March 13 and an ex-dividend date also on March 13, ensuring that shareholders receive their returns promptly and enhancing trust between the company and its investors.
- Earnings Beat: OneSpan reported a non-GAAP EPS of $0.36 for Q4 2025, beating expectations by $0.07, with revenue of $62.9 million exceeding forecasts by $3.12 million, demonstrating the company's strong growth potential in software and services.
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- Earnings Performance Boost: OneSpan Inc. reported a net income of $43.54 million for Q4, translating to $1.13 per share, which marks a significant increase from last year's $28.79 million and $0.72 per share, indicating a robust enhancement in the company's profitability.
- Adjusted Earnings Growth: Excluding special items, OneSpan's adjusted earnings stood at $14.03 million or $0.36 per share, reflecting a solid performance in core operations that further bolsters investor confidence in the company's financial health.
- Revenue Growth: The company's revenue for the fourth quarter rose by 2.9% to $62.92 million compared to $61.17 million last year, suggesting an improvement in OneSpan's competitive position in the market, albeit with modest growth.
- Improved Financial Health: The overall improvement in financial metrics not only enhances the company's image among investors but also lays a solid foundation for future strategic investments and expansions, indicating potential for future growth.
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- Business Transformation: OneSpan anticipates that over 80% of its revenue in 2026 will come from software, a significant increase from over 50% in 2019, indicating a successful shift to a software-centric business model that enhances market competitiveness.
- Acquisition of Build38: The company announced the acquisition of Build38 to strengthen its app shielding capabilities, which will facilitate deeper integration with customer mobile applications and enhance the dynamic updating of detection methods, thereby improving customer satisfaction and market share.
- Strong Financial Performance: In 2025, OneSpan generated nearly $60 million in cash from operations and returned nearly $32 million to shareholders, completing acquisitions without drawing on credit, showcasing robust financial health.
- Optimistic Outlook: Management expects software and services revenue to grow by 4% to 5% in 2026, despite projected hardware revenue declines of 8% to 12%, indicating confidence in overall revenue growth of 0% to 2% for the year ahead.
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- Strong Earnings Performance: OneSpan reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.36, beating expectations by $0.07, indicating a sustained enhancement in profitability that is likely to positively impact stock prices.
- Stable Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenue of $62.9 million in Q4, reflecting a 2.8% year-over-year increase and surpassing market expectations by $3.12 million, demonstrating its competitive position and stable customer demand.
- Annual Recurring Revenue Increase: ARR grew by 11% year-over-year to $186.9 million, showcasing the company's success in customer retention and long-term contracts, which enhances revenue predictability for the future.
- Cash Flow and Buyback Strategy: As of December 31, 2025, OneSpan had cash and cash equivalents of $70.5 million, down from $83.2 million last year; however, the company repurchased approximately 560,000 shares, reflecting confidence in its value and commitment to shareholders.
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- Earnings Announcement: OneSpan is scheduled to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 26 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.29, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase of 20.8%, indicating strong profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: The expected revenue for Q4 is $59.78 million, representing a 2.3% year-over-year decline, which highlights competitive pressures that may affect the company's future growth strategies.
- Performance Beat Record: Over the past two years, OneSpan has exceeded EPS and revenue estimates 75% of the time, enhancing investor confidence in the company's future financial performance, which could positively impact its stock price.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Despite a softening market sentiment, OneSpan's strong cash flow and dividend performance stand out, demonstrating resilience in uncertain market conditions and potentially attracting investors seeking stable returns.
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