Comstock Resources Short Interest Hits Record High of 37.1%
Welcome to this week's installment of "The Short Interest Report" - The Fly's weekly recap of short interest trends among some of the most widely followed high-short-float stocks. Using the data from our partner, which utilizes the latest information from stock lenders to estimate short interest changes for thousands of publicly traded companies, this report will screen for some of biggest changes in short interest as a percentage of free float and days-to-cover ratios while also considering the short interest data on some of the more volatile and heavier-traded names of the week. Based on the availability of data from Ortex, the report tracks the trading period that covers prior Friday through Thursday of this week, excluding holidays. As a basis of comparison for stocks discussed below, the S&P 500 index was up 0.6%, the Nasdaq Composite was up 0.4%, the Russell 2000 index was up 2.4%, the Russell 2000 Growth ETFwas up 1.8%, and the Russell 2000 Value ETFwas up 3.0% in the five-day trading session range through December 11.SHORT INTEREST GAINERSOrtex-reported short interest on Comstock Resourceshad tracked in a 23%-24% range from the final week of September through the first week of November. Shares went on a 55% run over the course of November prior to an abrupt reversal this month that has taken about two thirds of those gains away, but through the entire movement, bearish positioning increased for five consecutive weeks. This week, shorts as a percentage of free float jumped from 28.3% to 37.1%, a record high, even as days-to-cover slipped from 9.5 to 8.7 due to outsized trading volume in the name. The stock was down about 20% in the five-day period covered through Thursday, though year-to-date, the energy name remains higher by 19%.Ortex-reported short interest on Kura Sushihas oscillated along with the stock price for much of 2025, with a trough of about 17% in March coinciding with the bottom in shares, and the subsequent runup to 2025 highs just above 30% tracking Kura Sushi's bounce. This week, a budding divergence has emerged as the stock fell about 4% while shorts as a percentage of free float spiked three percentage points to 29.0% toward the top of the range. Shares are looking to recover from another disappointing earnings report in early November that sent Kura Sushi to test the April lows, and the bears appear to be positioning for a test to the downside.Ortex-reported short interest on Grouponis breaking out of a three-and-a-half month long 30%-35.5% range, rising from 32.7% to 36%. That level of bearish positioning is now within two percentage points of the first week of August when the stock registered a multi-year high in the wake of a much stronger than expected earnings report. The stock, meanwhile, was down 10% in the five-day period covered through Thursday, and with another near-4% in losses on Friday is now trading within a dollar of March lows. The company's most recent appearance at the Raymond James TMT/Consumer Conference has referred to Cyber-Monday to December period as accounting for 40% of the Groupon's business for the year, and traders are potentially positioning for disappointment in terms of spending activity among the macro-distressed lower end consumer.SHORT INTEREST DECLINERSOrtex-reported short interest on Intuitive Machinespeaked around 28% in the final week of November as the stock hit its lowest level in seven months around $8 per share, with the subsequent two weeks of declining bearish positioning against a jump of over 50% in the stock price suggesting an effective short squeeze. This week, shorts as a percentage of free float on Intuitive Machines plunged from 26.1% to 22.8% - the lowest level since late August. Days-to-cover on the name retreated from 7.1 to 6.7 - a less dramatic margin as trading volumes from October and on remained relatively elevated. The stock was up 10.1% in the five-day period covered through Thursday and, inclusive of Friday's 5% pullback, has now bounced 54% from November's intra-day lows, though year-to-date, Intuitive Machines is still down 34%.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on CRK
About CRK
About the author

- RSI Ranking Overview: REX American Resources Corporation (REX) leads the list with an RSI of 44, indicating relatively stable market performance, which may attract investor interest.
- Following Companies: Diversified Energy Company (DEC), RPC, Inc. (RES), and Sabine Royalty Trust (SBR) each have an RSI of 47, suggesting a higher relative strength in the market, potentially facing short-term price fluctuations.
- Mid-Ranking Companies: Sable Offshore Corp. (SOC), TETRA Technologies (TTI), and Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) rank in the middle with an RSI of 48, indicating stable performance in the market, suitable for risk-averse investors.
- Significance of RSI: The RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and magnitude of price changes, with readings above 70 typically indicating overbought conditions, prompting investors to carefully assess the timing of investments in these small-cap energy stocks.
- RSI Overview: Comstock Resources (CRK) leads the list with an RSI of 34, indicating an oversold condition that may present a buying opportunity for investors looking for value.
- Sector Distribution: The top ten stocks span various energy sub-sectors, including oil and gas exploration and production, coal and consumable fuels, oil and gas refining, and drilling services, reflecting the diversity and potential investment opportunities within the energy market.
- RSI Interpretation: With RSI values ranging from 34 to 51, these stocks are generally trading below overbought levels, potentially attracting value-seeking investors amid volatility in the oil and gas sector.
- Market Trends: As U.S.-Iran talks progress, crude oil prices drift lower, which may impact the short-term performance of energy stocks, prompting investors to monitor market dynamics for strategic adjustments.
- Strong Earnings Performance: Comstock Resources reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.16, beating expectations by $0.05, which reflects the company's robust profitability and enhances investor confidence.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenues of $789.81 million in Q4, marking a 115.5% year-over-year increase, primarily driven by strong demand for natural gas and oil sales, indicating sustained market demand for energy products.
- Robust Cash Flow: Operating cash flow stood at $222 million, or $0.75 per diluted share, demonstrating the company's effective cost control and operational efficiency, thereby providing financial support for future investments and expansion.
- Adjusted EBITDAX Improvement: The adjusted EBITDAX for the quarter was $277 million, indicating ongoing improvements in profitability and cash flow management, which strengthens its position in the competitive energy market.
- Earnings Preview: Major earnings reports are expected after the bell on Wednesday from companies such as Cisco Systems (CSCO), QuantumScape Corporation (QS), and AppLovin Corporation (APP), all of which hold significant positions in their respective markets.
- Industry Impact: Cisco, as a giant in networking equipment, will influence investor sentiment across the tech sector, while QuantumScape's focus on electric vehicle batteries may affect related stock performances.
- Market Reaction: Investors will closely monitor these earnings to assess company performance and future outlooks, especially given the current economic climate where expectations for profitability are high.
- Additional Reports: In addition to the aforementioned companies, earnings from Albemarle (ALB) and STAG Industrial (STAG) will also be released on Wednesday, further enriching market information and aiding investor decision-making.
- Earnings Announcement Schedule: Comstock Resources, Inc. is set to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 11 after market close, with consensus EPS estimates at $0.11, reflecting a 31.3% year-over-year decline, while revenue estimates stand at $487.98 million, indicating a 33.1% year-over-year increase.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Comstock has surpassed EPS estimates 63% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, demonstrating a relatively stable performance in managing market expectations.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen four upward revisions and seven downward adjustments, while revenue estimates have experienced four upward revisions and two downward adjustments, indicating market uncertainty regarding the company's future performance.
- Cash Flow Risk Warning: Analysts have highlighted that Comstock Resources may face significant cash burn by 2026, prompting investors to closely monitor the company's financial health and future fundraising strategies.








