Company Sees FY26 Production at 41,000-44,000 boepd
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy HPK?
Sees FY26 production 41,000-44,000 boepd. Sees FY26 oil percent 67%-68%. The company said, "The Company plans to average one drilling rig and approximately one frac crew during 2026 under its current plan of development."
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Analyst Views on HPK
Wall Street analysts forecast HPK stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
0 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 5.500
Low
7.00
Averages
9.50
High
12.00
Current: 5.500
Low
7.00
Averages
9.50
High
12.00
About HPK
HighPeak Energy, Inc. is an independent crude oil and natural gas company. The Company is focused on the acquisition, development, exploration and exploitation of unconventional crude oil and natural gas reserves in the Midland Basin in West Texas. It focuses on the Midland Basin and specifically the Howard and Borden Counties area of the Midland Basin. The Company’s assets include certain rights, title and interests in crude oil and natural gas assets located primarily in Howard and Borden Counties, Texas, and to a lesser extent, Scurry and Mitchell Counties, Texas. The Company’s assets are located in the northeastern part of the Midland Basin. The Midland Basin is part of the Permian Basin of West Texas and Eastern New Mexico. The Permian Basin covers an area of about 96,000 square miles and comprises five sub-regions, including the Midland Basin, the Central Basin Platform, the Delaware Basin, the Northwest Shelf and the Eastern Shelf.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
HighPeak Energy to Announce Q4 Earnings on March 11
- Earnings Announcement Date: HighPeak Energy is set to release its Q4 earnings report on March 11, with consensus EPS estimates at -$0.07, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 136.8%, indicating substantial profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline Forecast: The anticipated revenue for Q4 stands at $190.56 million, representing an 18.6% year-over-year decrease, which highlights the company's struggles amid market volatility and could impact its future investment appeal.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past year, HighPeak Energy has exceeded EPS estimates 100% of the time, yet only 25% of revenue estimates, showcasing instability in its earnings performance that may raise concerns among investors.
- Risk Assessment: Despite some upgrades in ratings, HighPeak Energy is still viewed as a risky speculative bet on a potential oil rebound in 2027, necessitating careful evaluation of its future market performance and potential returns by investors.
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- Disappointing Earnings: HighPeak Energy reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of -$0.21, missing expectations by $0.14, indicating challenges in profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Significant Revenue Decline: The company generated $165.8 million in revenue for Q4, a 29.1% year-over-year decrease, falling short by $24.76 million, reflecting weak market demand and price volatility.
- Cash Cost Analysis: Q4 cash costs were $14.45 per Boe, including lease operating costs of $7.46 per Boe, demonstrating efforts to control expenses, yet unable to offset the pressure from declining revenues.
- Capital Expenditure Overview: HighPeak's total capital expenditures for 2025 were $511.8 million, with Q4 spending at $119.9 million, and the addition of a second rig set for mid-January 2026, indicating a commitment to future growth investments.
See More
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- Earnings Release Schedule: HighPeak Energy has announced that it will release its 2025 fourth quarter and year-end financial and operating results after the market closes on March 11, 2026, demonstrating the company's commitment to transparency and investor communication.
- Investor Conference Call: The company plans to host a conference call on March 12, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Central Time to discuss its financial results and operational highlights with investors and analysts, aiming to bolster market confidence.
- Webcast Availability: The earnings conference call will be available via live audio webcast on HighPeak Energy's website, with a replay option, ensuring that investors can access critical information conveniently and enhancing information accessibility.
- Company Background: HighPeak Energy is a publicly traded independent oil and natural gas company headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas, focused on the acquisition, development, exploration, and exploitation of oil and natural gas reserves in the Midland Basin in West Texas, showcasing its expertise and market positioning in the industry.
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- Significant Stock Surge: Following the earnings report, TG Therapeutics shares jumped 11.6% to $31.10 on Wednesday, reflecting investor optimism about the company's growth potential, which may attract more capital inflow.
- Positive Market Reaction: Despite a broader market decline with the Nasdaq Composite falling over 200 points, TG Therapeutics' strong financial data allowed it to stand out among numerous stocks, showcasing its competitiveness in the biopharmaceutical sector.
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- Wide Industry Distribution: These stocks span various subsectors including oil and gas exploration, equipment services, storage and transportation, and refining and marketing, suggesting that the entire energy sector is facing widespread challenges in the current economic environment, which may impact overall investor confidence.
- Consistent Analyst Ratings: All listed companies have been rated at the lowest level, demonstrating analysts' general concerns about their future profitability, which could lead to increased risk aversion among investors and negatively affect market performance.
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- Increased Competition Risk: With Venezuelan crude potentially returning, CNQ and SU, which send about a third of their daily output to U.S. Gulf Coast refineries, may face direct competition, further impacting their market share and profitability.
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- Earnings Announcement Date: HighPeak Energy is set to release its Q4 earnings report on March 11, with consensus EPS estimates at -$0.07, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 136.8%, indicating substantial profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline Forecast: The anticipated revenue for Q4 stands at $190.56 million, representing an 18.6% year-over-year decrease, which highlights the company's struggles amid market volatility and could impact its future investment appeal.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past year, HighPeak Energy has exceeded EPS estimates 100% of the time, yet only 25% of revenue estimates, showcasing instability in its earnings performance that may raise concerns among investors.
- Risk Assessment: Despite some upgrades in ratings, HighPeak Energy is still viewed as a risky speculative bet on a potential oil rebound in 2027, necessitating careful evaluation of its future market performance and potential returns by investors.
See More
HighPeak Energy Q4 Earnings Miss Expectations
- Disappointing Earnings: HighPeak Energy reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of -$0.21, missing expectations by $0.14, indicating challenges in profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Significant Revenue Decline: The company generated $165.8 million in revenue for Q4, a 29.1% year-over-year decrease, falling short by $24.76 million, reflecting weak market demand and price volatility.
- Cash Cost Analysis: Q4 cash costs were $14.45 per Boe, including lease operating costs of $7.46 per Boe, demonstrating efforts to control expenses, yet unable to offset the pressure from declining revenues.
- Capital Expenditure Overview: HighPeak's total capital expenditures for 2025 were $511.8 million, with Q4 spending at $119.9 million, and the addition of a second rig set for mid-January 2026, indicating a commitment to future growth investments.
See More
HighPeak Energy Announces Q4 and Year-End Financial Results Release Plan
- Earnings Release Schedule: HighPeak Energy has announced that it will release its 2025 fourth quarter and year-end financial and operating results after the market closes on March 11, 2026, demonstrating the company's commitment to transparency and investor communication.
- Investor Conference Call: The company plans to host a conference call on March 12, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Central Time to discuss its financial results and operational highlights with investors and analysts, aiming to bolster market confidence.
- Webcast Availability: The earnings conference call will be available via live audio webcast on HighPeak Energy's website, with a replay option, ensuring that investors can access critical information conveniently and enhancing information accessibility.
- Company Background: HighPeak Energy is a publicly traded independent oil and natural gas company headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas, focused on the acquisition, development, exploration, and exploitation of oil and natural gas reserves in the Midland Basin in West Texas, showcasing its expertise and market positioning in the industry.
See More
TG Therapeutics Reports $616 Million Revenue for FY 2025, Shares Surge 11.6%
- Strong Financial Performance: TG Therapeutics reported preliminary total global revenue of approximately $616 million for FY 2025, with Q4 U.S. net product revenue for BRIUMVI at about $182 million, indicating robust market performance that is expected to boost shareholder confidence.
- Significant Stock Surge: Following the earnings report, TG Therapeutics shares jumped 11.6% to $31.10 on Wednesday, reflecting investor optimism about the company's growth potential, which may attract more capital inflow.
- Positive Market Reaction: Despite a broader market decline with the Nasdaq Composite falling over 200 points, TG Therapeutics' strong financial data allowed it to stand out among numerous stocks, showcasing its competitiveness in the biopharmaceutical sector.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Although the financial figures are unaudited, the preliminary results suggest that the company is poised for continued growth, particularly in the marketing of its BRIUMVI product, which could further enhance its market share.
See More
Mid-to-Low Cap Energy Stocks Face Weak EPS Revisions
- Pessimistic Earnings Outlook: Mid-to-low cap energy stocks like Advantage Energy and Forum Energy Technologies have received an 'F' grade for EPS revisions, indicating significant downward adjustments by analysts, reflecting a lack of market confidence in these companies.
- Wide Industry Distribution: These stocks span various subsectors including oil and gas exploration, equipment services, storage and transportation, and refining and marketing, suggesting that the entire energy sector is facing widespread challenges in the current economic environment, which may impact overall investor confidence.
- Consistent Analyst Ratings: All listed companies have been rated at the lowest level, demonstrating analysts' general concerns about their future profitability, which could lead to increased risk aversion among investors and negatively affect market performance.
- Potential Market Reaction: As the earnings season kicks off, investors may remain cautious regarding these stocks, especially against the backdrop of widespread EPS downgrades by analysts, potentially leading to further pressure on their stock prices.
See More
Oil Stocks Losing Appeal: Analysts Downgrade CNQ and SU
- Market Uncertainty: Analysts highlight that Canadian heavy oil miners like Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) and Suncor Energy (SU) saw significant stock declines following Maduro's overthrow, reflecting market concerns about their future, particularly amid a crash in Western Canadian Select (WCS) prices.
- Increased Competition Risk: With Venezuelan crude potentially returning, CNQ and SU, which send about a third of their daily output to U.S. Gulf Coast refineries, may face direct competition, further impacting their market share and profitability.
- Small Company Risks: Analyst Long Player warns that current economic uncertainty could lead to longer recovery times for smaller oil and gas companies like HighPeak Energy (HPK) and Prairie Operating (PROP), especially with weakening commodity prices, prompting investors to be cautious with stocks under $1 billion market cap.
- Investment Strategy Shift: Given the political uncertainty and unclear economic outlook, analysts recommend avoiding investments in small-cap oil and gas stocks, particularly those without income like New Era Energy & Digital (NUAI), to mitigate investment risks.
See More
