Company Revises Fiscal 2026 Sales Guidance to $750M-$760M
The company is revising its fiscal 2026 sales guidance to between $750 million and $760 million, impacted by the previously noted reduced ordering by a large customer, due to its closure of stores and consolidation of distribution centers. Operating income is expected to be between $72 million and $79 million, with depreciation and amortization of approximately $10 million. These estimates reflect the expected impact of tariffs enacted as of February 9, 2026, and do not include certain non-cash items and one-time expenses.
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MPAA Adjusts Q3 2026 Earnings Outlook Amid Customer Purchase Reductions
- Performance Decline: MPAA's Q3 results fell short of expectations primarily due to a significant customer reducing purchases, leading to an estimated $50 million impact on annual sales, prompting the company to revise its fiscal 2026 sales guidance down to between $750 million and $760 million.
- Margin Fluctuations: The gross margin for Q3 was reported at 19.6%, down from 24.1% year-over-year, yet it increased from 18.0% in the first quarter, indicating potential for further improvement in the fourth quarter as customer orders rebound.
- Cash Flow and Debt Management: The company generated $23.7 million in cash over the past nine months, reducing net bank debt by $10.9 million to $70.5 million, with strong liquidity of approximately $146 million in total cash and availability, reflecting robust financial management.
- Strategic Adjustments: Management is exploring strategic alternatives for its EV emulator business, which, despite its strong market reputation, is being deprioritized in favor of focusing on core aftermarket operations to ensure alignment with overall business strategy.
Motorcar Parts of America Reports Disappointing Q3 Earnings
- Disappointing Earnings: Motorcar Parts of America reported a Q3 non-GAAP EPS of $0.12, missing expectations by $0.11, indicating a significant decline in profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Decline: The company's revenue for Q3 was $167.7 million, down 9.9% year-over-year and missing estimates by $21.3 million, reflecting weak market demand and increasing competitive pressures.
- Cash Flow Situation: In the fiscal 2026 third quarter, the company used approximately $8.2 million in cash from operating activities, primarily for inventory buildup for new business, which may impact future liquidity and investment capacity.
- Stock Buyback Plan: Despite the poor financial performance, the company has increased its stock buyback plan to $57 million, demonstrating management's confidence in the long-term value of the company, which may provide short-term support for the stock price.
Key Earnings Reports and Economic Outlook This Week
- DuPont Earnings Expectations: DuPont is expected to report earnings of $0.43 per share and revenue of $1.69 billion for Q4 2025, with analysts noting ongoing pressure in short-cycle businesses, while slight improvements in the automotive sector may influence investor sentiment.
- Cisco's AI Focus: Cisco anticipates earnings of $1.02 per share and revenue of $15.1 billion for Q2 FY2026, with CEO highlighting a major multi-year campus networking refresh, making AI infrastructure demand a critical growth driver.
- Importance of Employment Report: The January employment report is expected to show an addition of 80,000 nonfarm payrolls and an unchanged unemployment rate of 4.4%, directly impacting private consumption and U.S. GDP, making it crucial for investors to monitor.
- Consumer Price Index Insights: The January CPI is projected to increase by 2.5% year-over-year, with core CPI rising by 2.6%, providing essential inflation details despite not being the Fed's preferred measure, particularly regarding persistent shelter cost inflation.
Is Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (NASDAQ:MPAA) Currently Priced 48% Below Its Value?
Valuation Overview: Motorcar Parts of America has an estimated fair value of US$26.24, indicating a potential 48% undervaluation compared to its current share price of US$13.77.
Discounted Cash Flow Model: The valuation was conducted using a 2-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, which estimates future cash flows and discounts them to present value, resulting in a total equity value of US$513 million.
Financial Health Insights: The company shows strengths in cash flow coverage of debt, but interest payments are not well covered; annual earnings are expected to grow faster than the American market.
Investment Considerations: While the DCF model provides insights into valuation, it is essential to consider other factors such as financial health, future earnings growth, and alternative investment opportunities before making decisions.
MPAA Increases Share Buyback Authorization to $57 Million
Share Repurchase Authorization Increased: Motorcar Parts of America (MPAA) has raised its share repurchase authorization from $37 million to $57 million, allowing for the buyback of common stock.
Focus on Shareholder Value: CEO Selwyn Joffe stated that the decision aims to enhance shareholder value, leveraging the company's strong financial position in the automotive aftermarket.
Current Trading Status: MPAA shares are currently trading at $13.47, reflecting a 5.77% increase on the NasdaqGS.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Nasdaq, Inc.
Daily Upgrade Report for Validea's Joel Greenblatt Strategy - November 11, 2025
Validea's Earnings Yield Investor Model: The model, based on Joel Greenblatt's strategy, identifies stocks with high return on capital and earnings yields, with several companies recently receiving upgraded ratings from 70% to 80%.
Motorcar Parts of America Inc (MPAA): This small-cap growth stock in the Auto & Truck Parts industry has shown improved fundamentals and valuation, indicating potential interest from investors.
Harmony Biosciences Holdings Inc (HRMY): A small-cap value stock in the Biotechnology & Drugs sector, HRMY has also seen its rating rise to 80%, reflecting strong fundamentals and a focus on rare neurological disease therapies.
Genpact Ltd (G): This mid-cap value stock in the Business Services industry has improved its rating to 80%, showcasing its advanced technology solutions and diverse service offerings across various sectors.
MPAA Adjusts Q3 2026 Earnings Outlook Amid Customer Purchase Reductions
- Performance Decline: MPAA's Q3 results fell short of expectations primarily due to a significant customer reducing purchases, leading to an estimated $50 million impact on annual sales, prompting the company to revise its fiscal 2026 sales guidance down to between $750 million and $760 million.
- Margin Fluctuations: The gross margin for Q3 was reported at 19.6%, down from 24.1% year-over-year, yet it increased from 18.0% in the first quarter, indicating potential for further improvement in the fourth quarter as customer orders rebound.
- Cash Flow and Debt Management: The company generated $23.7 million in cash over the past nine months, reducing net bank debt by $10.9 million to $70.5 million, with strong liquidity of approximately $146 million in total cash and availability, reflecting robust financial management.
- Strategic Adjustments: Management is exploring strategic alternatives for its EV emulator business, which, despite its strong market reputation, is being deprioritized in favor of focusing on core aftermarket operations to ensure alignment with overall business strategy.
Motorcar Parts of America Reports Disappointing Q3 Earnings
- Disappointing Earnings: Motorcar Parts of America reported a Q3 non-GAAP EPS of $0.12, missing expectations by $0.11, indicating a significant decline in profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Decline: The company's revenue for Q3 was $167.7 million, down 9.9% year-over-year and missing estimates by $21.3 million, reflecting weak market demand and increasing competitive pressures.
- Cash Flow Situation: In the fiscal 2026 third quarter, the company used approximately $8.2 million in cash from operating activities, primarily for inventory buildup for new business, which may impact future liquidity and investment capacity.
- Stock Buyback Plan: Despite the poor financial performance, the company has increased its stock buyback plan to $57 million, demonstrating management's confidence in the long-term value of the company, which may provide short-term support for the stock price.
Key Earnings Reports and Economic Outlook This Week
- DuPont Earnings Expectations: DuPont is expected to report earnings of $0.43 per share and revenue of $1.69 billion for Q4 2025, with analysts noting ongoing pressure in short-cycle businesses, while slight improvements in the automotive sector may influence investor sentiment.
- Cisco's AI Focus: Cisco anticipates earnings of $1.02 per share and revenue of $15.1 billion for Q2 FY2026, with CEO highlighting a major multi-year campus networking refresh, making AI infrastructure demand a critical growth driver.
- Importance of Employment Report: The January employment report is expected to show an addition of 80,000 nonfarm payrolls and an unchanged unemployment rate of 4.4%, directly impacting private consumption and U.S. GDP, making it crucial for investors to monitor.
- Consumer Price Index Insights: The January CPI is projected to increase by 2.5% year-over-year, with core CPI rising by 2.6%, providing essential inflation details despite not being the Fed's preferred measure, particularly regarding persistent shelter cost inflation.
Is Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (NASDAQ:MPAA) Currently Priced 48% Below Its Value?
Valuation Overview: Motorcar Parts of America has an estimated fair value of US$26.24, indicating a potential 48% undervaluation compared to its current share price of US$13.77.
Discounted Cash Flow Model: The valuation was conducted using a 2-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, which estimates future cash flows and discounts them to present value, resulting in a total equity value of US$513 million.
Financial Health Insights: The company shows strengths in cash flow coverage of debt, but interest payments are not well covered; annual earnings are expected to grow faster than the American market.
Investment Considerations: While the DCF model provides insights into valuation, it is essential to consider other factors such as financial health, future earnings growth, and alternative investment opportunities before making decisions.
MPAA Increases Share Buyback Authorization to $57 Million
Share Repurchase Authorization Increased: Motorcar Parts of America (MPAA) has raised its share repurchase authorization from $37 million to $57 million, allowing for the buyback of common stock.
Focus on Shareholder Value: CEO Selwyn Joffe stated that the decision aims to enhance shareholder value, leveraging the company's strong financial position in the automotive aftermarket.
Current Trading Status: MPAA shares are currently trading at $13.47, reflecting a 5.77% increase on the NasdaqGS.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Nasdaq, Inc.
Daily Upgrade Report for Validea's Joel Greenblatt Strategy - November 11, 2025
Validea's Earnings Yield Investor Model: The model, based on Joel Greenblatt's strategy, identifies stocks with high return on capital and earnings yields, with several companies recently receiving upgraded ratings from 70% to 80%.
Motorcar Parts of America Inc (MPAA): This small-cap growth stock in the Auto & Truck Parts industry has shown improved fundamentals and valuation, indicating potential interest from investors.
Harmony Biosciences Holdings Inc (HRMY): A small-cap value stock in the Biotechnology & Drugs sector, HRMY has also seen its rating rise to 80%, reflecting strong fundamentals and a focus on rare neurological disease therapies.
Genpact Ltd (G): This mid-cap value stock in the Business Services industry has improved its rating to 80%, showcasing its advanced technology solutions and diverse service offerings across various sectors.
