Company Lowers Q4 Guidance to Net Sales Down 4%-6%
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 12 2026
0mins
Q4 consensus $133.87M. For Q4, the company now expects the following: Net Sales to be down approximately 4% to 6% compared to fiscal 2024; Comparable Sales to be down approximately 6% to 8% compared to fiscal 2024; Adjusted EBITDA of $5M-$6M. The above guidance incorporates approximately $5M of incremental cost impact from tariffs, net of vendor negotiated offsets, based on current tariff policies and consistent with prior expectations. The updated outlook for Q4 compares to the previous guidance of total net sales down 5% to 7%, total comparable sales down 6.5% to 8.5%, and Adjusted EBITDA of $3M-$5M.
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Analyst Views on JILL
Wall Street analysts forecast JILL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for JILL is 19.50 USD with a low forecast of 18.00 USD and a high forecast of 21.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 15.610
Low
18.00
Averages
19.50
High
21.00
Current: 15.610
Low
18.00
Averages
19.50
High
21.00
About JILL
J.Jill, Inc. is a national lifestyle brand, which provides apparel, footwear and accessories. The Company’s operating segments consist of its retail and direct channels. Its products are marketed under the J.Jill brand name and sold primarily through two channels: its ecommerce platform and catalog (Direct) and its retail stores (Retail). Direct channel consists of its Website and catalog orders. Its Website also provides customers with a range of colors and sizes than available in its stores. In addition to its core assortment, the Company has three sub-brands, Pure Jill, Wearever, and Fit. It also offers accessory collections, such as scarves and jewelry. Wearever is all day refined dressing designed for work, travel, and home. Its products are available across the full range of sizes including regular, petite, and tall, and it provides one, size-integrated shopping destination for customers with sizes from extra small up to 2X in store and 4X online.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
J.Jill Raises Q4 Fiscal 2025 Guidance Following Strong Holiday Season
- Guidance Upgrade: J.Jill has raised its Q4 Fiscal 2025 guidance, now expecting total net sales to decline by 5% to 7%, compared to the previous forecast of a 6.5% to 8.5% decline, indicating stronger-than-expected holiday sales and a rebound in market demand.
- Cost Impact Assessment: The updated guidance incorporates approximately $5 million in incremental tariff costs, net of vendor negotiations, demonstrating the company's flexibility and adaptability in managing external economic pressures.
- Full Year Outlook: The company anticipates a total net sales decline of about 3% for Fiscal 2025, with adjusted EBITDA expectations of $80 million to $82 million, reflecting stable profitability amidst challenges.
- Investor Meeting Schedule: J.Jill is set to participate in a fireside chat at the ICR Conference on January 13, 2026, which is expected to further elaborate on its strategic plans and future growth directions, thereby enhancing market confidence.
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J.Jill Completes $75 Million Refinancing, Expects $2 Million Annual Interest Savings
- Successful Refinancing: J.Jill has completed a $75 million senior secured five-year term loan, replacing its previous credit agreement from April 5, 2023, thereby enhancing the company's financial flexibility and improving terms.
- Interest Expense Savings: The refinancing is expected to yield approximately $2 million in annual cash interest expense savings, which not only alleviates financial burdens but also enhances the company's operational and strategic flexibility.
- Legal Advisory Support: Morgan, Lewis & Bockius LLP served as legal advisor for the refinancing transaction, ensuring compliance and smooth execution of the deal.
- Strengthened Brand Positioning: As a national lifestyle brand, J.Jill is committed to providing high-quality apparel and accessories, further solidifying its competitive position in the market, particularly among female consumers.
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