Company Expects Q1 2026 Revenue of Approximately $112-$114 Million
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 days ago
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Should l Buy XPEL?
The company said, "The company expects first quarter 2026 revenue of approximately $112-$114 million."
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Analyst Views on XPEL
About XPEL
XPEL, Inc. is a provider of protective films and coatings, including automotive paint protection film, surface protection film, automotive and architectural window films, and ceramic coatings. The Company also provides installation services for its products through various channels. Paint protection film, its flagship product, is a self-adhesive, clear film designed to be applied to painted surfaces of automobiles and other surfaces. It sells several lines of automotive window films, primarily under the XPEL PRIME brand name. It sells architectural glass solutions for commercial and residential buildings under the VISION brand name, representing its product set with a fully non-automotive use. Its architectural window films come in several categories, including solar, safety and security, and other. It sells a hydrophobic, self-cleaning coating that can be applied to a variety of surface types for automobiles, aircraft and marine applications. It offers a Design Access Platform.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Revenue Growth: In Q4 2025, XPEL's revenue increased by 13.7% to $122.3 million compared to $107.5 million in Q4 2024, reflecting robust sales growth amid strong market demand.
- Substantial Net Income Increase: The net income for Q4 rose by 50.7% to $13.4 million, with basic and diluted earnings per share at $0.49 and $0.48 respectively, showcasing a significant enhancement in profitability that further solidifies investor confidence.
- Strong EBITDA Performance: Q4 2025 EBITDA surged by 37.6% to $19.6 million, representing 16.0% of revenue, compared to $14.3 million in Q4 2024, indicating notable achievements in cost control and operational efficiency.
- International Market Expansion: In 2025, XPEL completed its international footprint development and will focus on driving sales growth and operating leverage across all regions, which is expected to provide sustained growth momentum for the company.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: XPEL reported a 13.7% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4 2025, reaching approximately $114 million, with EBITDA rising 37.6% to $19.6 million, demonstrating strong performance and enhanced profitability in global markets.
- China Market Outperformance: Following the acquisition of its China distribution, XPEL achieved $14 million in revenue in this market, exceeding expectations and indicating successful integration in the world's largest automotive market, with substantial future growth potential.
- Product Strategy Adjustment: The company has sharpened its product strategy to focus on core offerings while reducing incremental product launches, which is expected to further enhance gross margins, with Q4 gross margin reported at 41.9% and anticipated improvements into 2026.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management expects Q1 2026 revenue to range between $112 million and $114 million, despite challenges in the Canadian market and the expiration of EV credits, but signs of recovery in overall market demand are encouraging.
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- Earnings Growth: XPEL reported fourth-quarter earnings of $13.41 million, or $0.48 per share, marking a significant increase from last year's $8.89 million and $0.32 per share, indicating strong market performance.
- Revenue Increase: The company's revenue rose 13.7% year-over-year to $122.26 million, up from $107.52 million last year, reflecting sustained demand for its products and enhancing its competitive position.
- Future Guidance: XPEL's revenue guidance for the next quarter is set between $112 million and $114 million, demonstrating the company's confidence in future performance and providing investors with clear growth expectations.
- Market Reaction: The positive earnings report is likely to boost investor confidence, potentially driving up the company's stock price and reinforcing its leadership position in the automotive protective film market.
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- Earnings Beat Expectations: XPEL reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.48, exceeding estimates by $0.03, indicating robust profitability that enhances investor confidence in the company's financial health.
- Revenue Growth Slows: Despite a 13.7% year-over-year revenue increase to $122.27 million in Q4, the figure fell short of the market consensus of $124.04 million, suggesting intensified market competition may be impacting sales.
- Gross Margin Improvement: The gross margin for Q4 improved to 41.9% from 40.6% in the same quarter last year, reflecting positive advancements in cost control and pricing strategies, which could enhance future profitability.
- Significant EBITDA Growth: The company's EBITDA surged 37.6% to $19.6 million, representing 16.0% of revenue, demonstrating improved operational efficiency and profitability, laying a solid foundation for future investments and expansion.
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- Share Acquisition: On February 13, 2026, Alta Fox Capital Management disclosed a significant purchase of 1,384,769 shares of XPEL, valued at approximately $57.88 million based on the average closing price during Q4 2025, indicating strong confidence in the company's prospects.
- Increased Stake: Following this transaction, Alta Fox's stake in XPEL rose to 15.49%, reflecting a strategic focus on the company's growth potential and highlighting the concentration of its investment portfolio.
- Performance Metrics: As of February 12, 2026, XPEL shares were priced at $53.88, representing a 30.9% increase over the previous year and outperforming the S&P 500 by 18.03 percentage points, showcasing robust market performance and investor confidence.
- Future Goals: XPEL reported record third-quarter revenue of $125.4 million, an 11.1% year-over-year increase, and although net income dipped, management has outlined a path to achieve gross margins above 50% by 2028, indicating strong long-term growth ambitions.
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- New Investment Position: Alta Fox Capital Management disclosed a new position in Resideo Technologies by acquiring 1,266,700 shares in Q4 2026, with an estimated transaction value of $44.49 million, indicating strong confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Significant Asset Allocation: This acquisition accounts for 9.57% of Alta Fox's 13F reportable assets, reflecting the fund's preference for concentrated investment strategies, which may further enhance Resideo's market performance.
- Strong Financial Performance: Resideo reported $1.86 billion in revenue for Q3, a year-over-year increase of approximately 2%, while net income surged to $156 million, up 680%, showcasing a remarkable improvement in profitability.
- Positive Future Outlook: The company updated its 2025 revenue guidance to between $7.43 billion and $7.47 billion, coupled with ongoing gross margin expansion, indicating strong competitive positioning and growth potential in the market.
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