Citi's 2026 Semiconductor Forecast: MCHP as Top Choice, with AVGO, ADI, MU, NXPI, and TXN Rated as Buys
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 23 2025
0mins
Should l Buy AVGO?
Source: SeekingAlpha
AI Supercycle Outlook: Citi Research predicts the AI supercycle will last until 2026 but warns of increasing volatility and risks as costs related to OpenAI emerge and debt concerns grow.
Top Stock Picks: The brokerage favors NVIDIA, Broadcom, and Micron Technology within the AI ecosystem, with Microchip Technology identified as the top pick due to its potential for significant upside.
Earnings Projections: Citi expects substantial earnings growth for Microchip Technology and Texas Instruments, projecting MCHP EPS to rise over fourfold by 2027 and TXN EPS to increase by 77% in the same timeframe.
Preference for Synopsys: Citi prefers Synopsys over Cadence Design Systems, anticipating better operating margin expansion for Synopsys due to cost-cutting measures and a favorable software mix.
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Analyst Views on AVGO
Wall Street analysts forecast AVGO stock price to rise
30 Analyst Rating
29 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 333.510
Low
370.00
Averages
457.75
High
525.00
Current: 333.510
Low
370.00
Averages
457.75
High
525.00
About AVGO
Broadcom Inc. is a global technology firm that designs, develops, and supplies a range of semiconductors, enterprise software and security solutions. The Company operates through two segments: semiconductor solutions and infrastructure software. Its semiconductor solutions segment includes all of its product lines and intellectual property (IP) licensing. It provides a variety of radio frequency semiconductor devices, wireless connectivity solutions, custom touch controllers, and inductive charging solutions for mobile applications. Its infrastructure software segment includes its private and hybrid cloud, application development and delivery, software-defined edge, application networking and security, mainframe, distributed and cybersecurity solutions, and its FC SAN business. It provides a portfolio of software solutions that enable customers to plan, develop, automate, manage and secure applications across mainframe, distributed, mobile and cloud platforms.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Accelerating Revenue Growth: Broadcom anticipates total revenue of approximately $19.1 billion for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, representing a 28% year-over-year increase, with AI semiconductor revenue expected to reach $8.2 billion, showcasing strong growth in AI hardware sales.
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- Surging Market Demand: Broadcom has seen skyrocketing demand for its data center chips and networking equipment, with its stock soaring 49% last year, significantly outperforming rival Nvidia's 38% gain, highlighting its strong position in the AI market.
- Robust Customer Orders: Major AI companies like Google and Anthropic have placed orders totaling $21 billion for Broadcom's Ironwood chips, indicating the increasing importance of its hardware in AI development and further solidifying its market share.
- Accelerating Revenue Growth: Broadcom anticipates total revenue of approximately $19.1 billion for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, representing a 28% year-over-year increase, with AI semiconductor revenue expected to reach $8.2 billion, showcasing strong growth in AI hardware sales.
- Valuation and Investment Advice: Despite Broadcom's high P/E ratio of 68, which is more than double the Nasdaq-100's 32, investors should note its projected 50% annual revenue growth, suggesting a long-term hold strategy for better returns.
See More
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- Stake Increase Transaction: On February 4, 2026, Valley Wealth Managers increased its stake in Nexstar Media Group by purchasing 24,243 shares for approximately $4.73 million, reflecting confidence in Nexstar's future growth potential.
- Asset Management Growth: This acquisition raises Nexstar's share to 1.72% of Valley Wealth Managers' assets under management, with a quarter-end value increase of $5.50 million, indicating a positive stock price trend.
- Strong Market Performance: As of February 3, 2026, Nexstar's stock price stood at $208.11, marking a 42.5% increase over the past year and outperforming the S&P 500 by 27.07 percentage points, showcasing its sustained competitiveness in the media sector.
- Significant Acquisition Impact: Nexstar's recent $6.2 billion acquisition of Tegna is expected to increase its television station count to 265, with an anticipated net benefit of approximately $300 million, further solidifying its market position and enhancing profitability.
See More
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- Digital Advertising Growth: Walmart's digital business grew by 27% in the U.S. in the fourth quarter and has posted double-digit percentage gains for 15 consecutive quarters, indicating strong performance in e-commerce and a focus on higher-margin businesses, despite losing its market leadership.
- AI Strategic Initiatives: Walmart's partnerships with OpenAI and Google to launch the AI shopping assistant Sparky enhance customer experience, with users reporting a 35% higher average order value, highlighting the potential and importance of AI in retail.
- Amazon's AI Investments: Amazon plans to spend up to $200 billion on AI infrastructure in 2023, and despite market skepticism regarding its capital expenditures, its AI assistant Rufus has generated nearly $12 billion in incremental annualized sales, demonstrating its strong commitment to AI development.
See More
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- Share Sale Details: Valley Wealth Managers, Inc. disclosed in its February 4, 2026 SEC filing the sale of 479,832 shares of Sonoco Products Company, with an estimated transaction value of $19.9 million, indicating a significant $20.7 million decline in the fund's position due to market fluctuations during the quarter.
- Position Reduction: Following this transaction, Valley Wealth's stake in Sonoco was reduced to just 475 shares, valued at $20,729 at the end of the quarter, suggesting a waning confidence in Sonoco's future performance, which may impact its investment strategy moving forward.
- Market Performance Analysis: As of February 3, 2026, Sonoco's stock was priced at $49.01, reflecting a 7.9% increase over the past year, yet underperforming the S&P 500 by 9 percentage points, indicating sluggish growth that may prompt investors to reassess its investment value.
- Investor Strategy Shift: In conjunction with the sale of Sonoco shares, Valley Wealth increased its investments in the Vanguard Russell 1000 Growth ETF and Apple, reflecting a strategic shift from underperforming traditional sectors to higher-growth tech stocks, aiming to mitigate risk and capitalize on market opportunities through diversification.
See More
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- Stake Reduction: Valley Wealth Managers disclosed in its February 4, 2026 SEC filing that it sold 479,832 shares of Sonoco Products Company, with the transaction valued at $19.9 million, reflecting a cautious outlook on the company's future growth potential.
- Asset Value Decline: The fund's position value dropped by $20.7 million quarter-over-quarter due to both the share sale and stock price fluctuations, indicating poor market performance and impacting investor confidence in Sonoco.
- Industry Context: Despite Sonoco's revenue surge of 42% in 2025, its historical low growth trajectory has led investors to be wary of its future prospects, prompting a shift of funds towards more promising tech stocks.
- Investment Strategy Shift: While reducing its stake in Sonoco, Valley Wealth increased investments in other top positions like the Vanguard Russell 1000 Growth ETF and Apple, indicating a strategy to seek broader growth opportunities in the current bull market.
See More
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- Growing Market Demand: Analyst James Schneider from Goldman Sachs highlights a surge in demand for high-speed, short-range connectivity in AI data centers, which is expected to further drive growth for Credo Technology Group, showcasing the company's strong market potential.
- Buy Rating and Price Target: Goldman Sachs initiates coverage on Credo with a buy rating and sets a 12-month price target of $165, indicating a 29% upside from Wednesday's close, reflecting the analyst's confidence in the company's future performance.
- Significant Technological Advantage: Credo's Active Electrical Cables (AECs) technology offers low-cost, high-bandwidth, and highly reliable connectivity solutions, and Schneider believes this technology will remain mainstream for at least the next five years, further solidifying the company's market position.
- Diversification Strategy: Schneider commends Credo's diversification efforts into optical solutions, which he believes will support long-term growth, while also appreciating the company's carefully managed guidance and investor messaging.
See More
