China Warns of Potential Global Chip Supply Crisis
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 09 2026
0mins
Should l Buy ASML?
Source: seekingalpha
- Chip Supply Crisis Warning: China's commerce ministry has raised alarms about a potential global chip supply chain crisis due to new conflicts between Dutch chipmaker Nexperia and its Chinese unit, particularly after export controls were imposed on Nexperia chips in October 2025, which severely disrupted the global auto manufacturing sector.
- Production Disruption: The Dutch headquarters of Nexperia has been accused of seriously disrupting normal production operations, impacting the assembly and testing facility in Guangdong, China, and if this situation persists, it could trigger another global semiconductor production and supply chain crisis for which the Netherlands would bear full responsibility.
- Declaration of Independence and Accusations: Following the removal of Wingtech's control, Nexperia's Chinese unit declared itself independent and has exchanged accusations of bad-faith negotiations with its Dutch headquarters, escalating tensions that hinder company-to-company negotiations.
- Diplomatic Negotiations and Accountability: China has criticized the Netherlands for failing to effectively facilitate a compromise from Nexperia's Dutch headquarters or to end court proceedings that transferred Wingtech's shares to a Dutch lawyer in October 2025, highlighting the complex international relations that pose potential threats to the chip industry.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy ASML?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on ASML
Wall Street analysts forecast ASML stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 1544.740
Low
1385
Averages
1583
High
1911
Current: 1544.740
Low
1385
Averages
1583
High
1911
About ASML
ASML Holding N.V. is a holding company based in the Netherlands. The Company operates through its subsidiaries in the Netherlands, the United States, Italy, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Belgium, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, China, Hong Kong, Japan, Malaysia and Israel. The Company operates through one business segment which is engage in development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems, consisting of lithography, metrology and inspection systems. The Company offers TWINSCAN systems, equipped with lithography system with a mercury lamp as light source (i-line), Krypton Fluoride (KrF) and Argon Fluoride (ArF) light sources for processing wafers for manufacturing environments for which imaging at a small resolution is required. TWINSCAN systems also include immersion lithography systems (TWINSCAN immersion systems).
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
ASML Updates on Share Buyback Program Execution
- Buyback Program Execution: ASML released an update on May 4 regarding its share buyback program, detailing transactions from April 27 to May 1, reflecting the company's ongoing commitment to its capital return strategy.
- Stable Trading Volume: During this period, ASML repurchased shares over four consecutive trading days, with volumes ranging from 12,895 shares on April 27 to 13,383 shares on April 29, indicating sustained market demand for its stock.
- Consistent Expenditure: The daily expenditure for the buybacks was approximately €15.87 million, demonstrating financial consistency and stability in executing the buyback plan, which helps bolster investor confidence.
- Price Fluctuation: The weighted average price during the buyback period fluctuated from €1,230.88 on April 27 to €1,186.05 on April 29, before slightly recovering to €1,199.81 on April 30, reflecting the market's dynamic response to ASML's stock.
See More
US Stocks Surge as Tech Stocks Lead Gains
- Tech Stocks Rally: The Nasdaq 100 surged 2.08% to reach an all-time high on Wednesday, driven by stellar earnings from chipmakers and AI infrastructure firms, particularly Advanced Micro Devices, which rose over 17% as it raised its full-year sales forecast, reflecting strong investor optimism about ongoing AI investments.
- Crude Oil Plunge: WTI crude oil prices fell more than 7% to a two-week low as market expectations for a US-Iran peace agreement increased, easing inflation fears and contributing to stock market gains, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping to a one-week low of 4.33%.
- Employment Data Impact: The April ADP employment report indicated that US companies added 109,000 jobs, below the expected 120,000, yet the market remains optimistic about the Fed's monetary policy, believing it will help maintain a low interest rate environment.
- International Market Surge: Overseas stock markets closed sharply higher, with the Euro Stoxx 50 rising 2.68% and China's Shanghai Composite gaining 1.17%, indicating a positive global market response to the US economic recovery, further boosting investor confidence.
See More
US Stocks Surge to New Highs Led by Tech Earnings
- Tech Stock Rally: The Nasdaq 100 index surged over 1.44% to reach an all-time high, driven by strong earnings from chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks, reflecting market optimism about sustained investment growth in artificial intelligence.
- Crude Oil Plunge: WTI crude oil prices fell more than 6% to a two-week low as the US nears a peace agreement with Iran, which is expected to lift restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz, thereby reducing energy costs and enhancing profitability prospects for airlines and cruise lines.
- Employment Data Impact: The April ADP employment change report indicated that US companies added 109,000 jobs, below the expected 120,000, yet the market remains optimistic about the Fed's monetary policy, suggesting a lower likelihood of interest rate hikes.
- Earnings Optimism: So far, 84% of the 375 S&P 500 companies that reported earnings have exceeded expectations, with Q1 earnings projected to rise 12% year-over-year, indicating strong corporate profitability that further supports the stock market's upward trend.
See More
US Stocks Reach All-Time Highs as AI Investments Surge
- Market Performance: The S&P 500 index rose by 0.76% and the Nasdaq 100 index increased by 1.19%, reaching all-time highs, reflecting strong market optimism regarding ongoing investments in artificial intelligence, which are expected to continue driving stock prices higher.
- Chipmakers' Strong Earnings: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) saw its stock price surge over 16% after raising its full-year sales forecast significantly due to robust data center spending, indicating a strong growth trajectory and reinforcing its competitive position in the semiconductor market.
- Crude Oil Price Plunge: WTI crude oil prices fell more than 5% to a two-week low as the US nears a peace agreement with Iran, which may help lower inflation expectations and improve profitability prospects for airlines and cruise operators amid declining fuel costs.
- Employment Data Impact: The April ADP employment change report indicated that US companies added 109,000 jobs, below the expected 120,000, yet the market remains optimistic about the Fed's monetary policy, which is likely to continue supporting stock market gains.
See More
SMH ETF 52-Week Price Analysis
- Price Fluctuation Analysis: The SMH ETF has a 52-week low of $214.19 and a high of $544.87, with the latest trade at $535.82, indicating stability near its high, which may attract investor interest in its technical performance.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the latest share price to the 200-day moving average provides investors with deeper insights into market trends and potential buying opportunities, thereby optimizing investment decisions.
- ETF Unit Trading Mechanism: ETF units trade similarly to stocks, where investors are buying and selling 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on investor demand, reflecting changes in market interest for the ETF.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in ETF shares outstanding highlights significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), which can impact the individual stocks held within the ETF and subsequently affect overall market performance.
See More
U.S. Stocks Close Higher, Led by Tech Gains
- Tech Stock Surge: Intel's stock soared over 12% after Apple held exploratory talks with Intel and Samsung Electronics for U.S. processor production, indicating strong market confidence in tech stocks and driving gains across chipmakers.
- Oil Price Decline: WTI crude oil prices fell more than 3% as the ceasefire in the Middle East eased geopolitical risks, providing support for the stock market and reflecting market demand for stability amid fluctuating oil prices.
- New Home Sales Growth: U.S. March new home sales rose 7.4% month-over-month to 682,000, surpassing expectations of 652,000, indicating a robust recovery in the housing market that could bolster economic confidence.
- Positive Earnings Outlook: As of Tuesday, 83% of the 354 S&P 500 companies that reported Q1 earnings exceeded estimates, with projected earnings growth of 12% year-over-year, demonstrating sustained corporate profitability that may further drive stock market gains.
See More
ASML Updates on Share Buyback Program Execution
- Buyback Program Execution: ASML released an update on May 4 regarding its share buyback program, detailing transactions from April 27 to May 1, reflecting the company's ongoing commitment to its capital return strategy.
- Stable Trading Volume: During this period, ASML repurchased shares over four consecutive trading days, with volumes ranging from 12,895 shares on April 27 to 13,383 shares on April 29, indicating sustained market demand for its stock.
- Consistent Expenditure: The daily expenditure for the buybacks was approximately €15.87 million, demonstrating financial consistency and stability in executing the buyback plan, which helps bolster investor confidence.
- Price Fluctuation: The weighted average price during the buyback period fluctuated from €1,230.88 on April 27 to €1,186.05 on April 29, before slightly recovering to €1,199.81 on April 30, reflecting the market's dynamic response to ASML's stock.
See More
US Stocks Surge as Tech Stocks Lead Gains
- Tech Stocks Rally: The Nasdaq 100 surged 2.08% to reach an all-time high on Wednesday, driven by stellar earnings from chipmakers and AI infrastructure firms, particularly Advanced Micro Devices, which rose over 17% as it raised its full-year sales forecast, reflecting strong investor optimism about ongoing AI investments.
- Crude Oil Plunge: WTI crude oil prices fell more than 7% to a two-week low as market expectations for a US-Iran peace agreement increased, easing inflation fears and contributing to stock market gains, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping to a one-week low of 4.33%.
- Employment Data Impact: The April ADP employment report indicated that US companies added 109,000 jobs, below the expected 120,000, yet the market remains optimistic about the Fed's monetary policy, believing it will help maintain a low interest rate environment.
- International Market Surge: Overseas stock markets closed sharply higher, with the Euro Stoxx 50 rising 2.68% and China's Shanghai Composite gaining 1.17%, indicating a positive global market response to the US economic recovery, further boosting investor confidence.
See More
US Stocks Surge to New Highs Led by Tech Earnings
- Tech Stock Rally: The Nasdaq 100 index surged over 1.44% to reach an all-time high, driven by strong earnings from chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks, reflecting market optimism about sustained investment growth in artificial intelligence.
- Crude Oil Plunge: WTI crude oil prices fell more than 6% to a two-week low as the US nears a peace agreement with Iran, which is expected to lift restrictions on the Strait of Hormuz, thereby reducing energy costs and enhancing profitability prospects for airlines and cruise lines.
- Employment Data Impact: The April ADP employment change report indicated that US companies added 109,000 jobs, below the expected 120,000, yet the market remains optimistic about the Fed's monetary policy, suggesting a lower likelihood of interest rate hikes.
- Earnings Optimism: So far, 84% of the 375 S&P 500 companies that reported earnings have exceeded expectations, with Q1 earnings projected to rise 12% year-over-year, indicating strong corporate profitability that further supports the stock market's upward trend.
See More
US Stocks Reach All-Time Highs as AI Investments Surge
- Market Performance: The S&P 500 index rose by 0.76% and the Nasdaq 100 index increased by 1.19%, reaching all-time highs, reflecting strong market optimism regarding ongoing investments in artificial intelligence, which are expected to continue driving stock prices higher.
- Chipmakers' Strong Earnings: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) saw its stock price surge over 16% after raising its full-year sales forecast significantly due to robust data center spending, indicating a strong growth trajectory and reinforcing its competitive position in the semiconductor market.
- Crude Oil Price Plunge: WTI crude oil prices fell more than 5% to a two-week low as the US nears a peace agreement with Iran, which may help lower inflation expectations and improve profitability prospects for airlines and cruise operators amid declining fuel costs.
- Employment Data Impact: The April ADP employment change report indicated that US companies added 109,000 jobs, below the expected 120,000, yet the market remains optimistic about the Fed's monetary policy, which is likely to continue supporting stock market gains.
See More
SMH ETF 52-Week Price Analysis
- Price Fluctuation Analysis: The SMH ETF has a 52-week low of $214.19 and a high of $544.87, with the latest trade at $535.82, indicating stability near its high, which may attract investor interest in its technical performance.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the latest share price to the 200-day moving average provides investors with deeper insights into market trends and potential buying opportunities, thereby optimizing investment decisions.
- ETF Unit Trading Mechanism: ETF units trade similarly to stocks, where investors are buying and selling 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on investor demand, reflecting changes in market interest for the ETF.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in ETF shares outstanding highlights significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), which can impact the individual stocks held within the ETF and subsequently affect overall market performance.
See More
U.S. Stocks Close Higher, Led by Tech Gains
- Tech Stock Surge: Intel's stock soared over 12% after Apple held exploratory talks with Intel and Samsung Electronics for U.S. processor production, indicating strong market confidence in tech stocks and driving gains across chipmakers.
- Oil Price Decline: WTI crude oil prices fell more than 3% as the ceasefire in the Middle East eased geopolitical risks, providing support for the stock market and reflecting market demand for stability amid fluctuating oil prices.
- New Home Sales Growth: U.S. March new home sales rose 7.4% month-over-month to 682,000, surpassing expectations of 652,000, indicating a robust recovery in the housing market that could bolster economic confidence.
- Positive Earnings Outlook: As of Tuesday, 83% of the 354 S&P 500 companies that reported Q1 earnings exceeded estimates, with projected earnings growth of 12% year-over-year, demonstrating sustained corporate profitability that may further drive stock market gains.
See More
