Blue Owl's Decision to Limit Redemptions at Private Credit Fund Affects Alternative Asset Manager Stocks
Blue Owl Capital's Decision: Blue Owl Capital has decided to halt quarterly redemptions at one of its private-credit funds, impacting its share prices.
Market Reaction: The move has negatively affected the shares of other alternative asset managers, including Blackstone, Ares Management, and Apollo Global Management, who are also involved in private credit.
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- Redemption Suspension: Blue Owl Capital announced the permanent halt of redemptions for its retail private credit fund, with investors set to receive capital through episodic payments as assets are sold, involving a $1.4 billion asset sale, including $600 million from OBDC II, which constitutes 30% of its total assets.
- Market Reaction: Following this announcement, Blue Owl's stock closed up 1.90% on Wednesday, but fell 4.22% in premarket trading on Thursday, indicating market concerns regarding its liquidity issues.
- Short Interest Dynamics: Short interest in Blue Owl Capital slightly decreased from 78.84 million to 78.61 million shares, representing 14.42% of publicly available shares, and with an average daily trading volume of 14.01 million shares, short sellers would require approximately 5.61 days to cover their positions without materially impacting the stock price.
- Economist's Warning: Economist Mohamed El-Erian remarked on social media that this event could be a 'canary-in-the-coalmine' moment, noting that while systemic risks are not at the level of the 2008 financial crisis, a significant valuation hit for specific assets is imminent.
- Klarna Guidance Miss: Klarna's shares plummeted about 25% as its first-quarter operating income guidance of $5 million to $35 million fell significantly short of Wall Street's expectation of $61.9 million, indicating potential challenges in future financing capabilities.
- Blue Owl Loan Sale: Blue Owl Capital's stock dropped nearly 10% after announcing the sale of $1.4 billion in loans at 99.7% of par value, with proceeds aimed at debt repayment and capital return, highlighting liquidity pressures and a halt on redemptions for retail investors.
- Omnicom Buyback Plan: Omnicom's shares surged 13% after reporting fourth-quarter revenue of $5.5 billion, a nearly 28% year-over-year increase, alongside a $5 billion share buyback authorization, reflecting strong financial performance and confidence in future growth.
- Deere Earnings Beat: Deere's stock rose 13% as it reported first-quarter earnings of $2.42 per share on $8 billion in revenue, both exceeding analyst expectations, indicating robust demand for agricultural equipment and potential market share growth ahead.

Blue Owl Capital's Decision: Blue Owl Capital has decided to halt quarterly redemptions at one of its private-credit funds, impacting its share prices.
Market Reaction: The move has negatively affected the shares of other alternative asset managers, including Blackstone, Ares Management, and Apollo Global Management, who are also involved in private credit.

Investment Strategy: The Blue Owl president emphasizes a proactive approach to investing, focusing on buying stock rather than just deploying capital in the market.
Market Engagement: The statement reflects a commitment to actively engage with market opportunities, suggesting a strategic shift in how capital is managed and utilized.

- Investor Expectations: Investors in non-traded debt funds should anticipate a quarterly evaluation of a 5% return on capital from the firm.
- Firm's Commitment: The firm is committed to providing consistent returns to its investors every quarter.

Credit Quality in Traded Debt: Craig Packer, head of credit, emphasizes that the quality of traded debt remains strong.
Expectations for Continued Strength: Packer expresses confidence that this strong credit quality is expected to continue.







